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The First Week of Jan..Bitter cold,Balls drop as we ring in 2013

Damage In Tolland

By Damage In Tolland,
in New England

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SJonesWX

SJonesWX

Posted
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this NE forum is tough because there is such a huge variation in climo in the region. Just this morning when I left my house in CNE it was barely above 0. an hour later when I got into mass it was over 30 on the car thermo, and almost 35 in BOS. That is a 30 degree spread in a 60 mile drive.

so it is tough to delineate between above normal, torch, normal etc in this region. In MY area next week, I expect above normal with temps approaching 40, but no higher than 45. to me that is not a torch, even though it may be way above climo. But that is just MY interpretation.

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ag3

ag3

Posted
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Well for the few of us who enjoy snowpack this is promising from Joey D

@JoeDawg42: Despite a "warmup" #snow will be slow to erode thru next week w/ dry air & subfreezing nights.

 

 

TOL stays plenty cold through Tuesday.

Wed and Thursday soundings are in the upper 30s and low 40s.

Fri and Saturday are approaching 50 degrees.

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ORH_wxman

ORH_wxman

Posted
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The Euro actually sets up the polar boundary in CNE next weekend...NNE would likely get out of this with minimal damage if that happened. Just the two shots during the cutters. I'm not convinced the first one doesn't end up a big CAD-fest though.

 

 

There's an awful lot of cold to get unloaded down here after that, so hopefully we can tap into some of that. Pretty large area of -30C or colder H85 temps in Canada.

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Clinch Leatherwood

Clinch Leatherwood

Posted
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Yes, thank you for taking the time to bump them.

 

Those comments were about the SPECIFIC run that was coming out. Those model runs were disasters for people who want a snowstorm. There's really no denying that. If we can't post about a model run unless it's cold and snowy then that's a problem. It's too bad the weenies are only able to handle news that is good for them. 

 

Ryan you're preaching mainly to the choir.  I think there's a compulsion by many to respond when no response is really needed.  The majority understand the pattern, understand the ramifications and what is ahead and what follows after.  Those that want to live in their refrigerators next week are entitled to do so.  

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Tropopause_Fold

Tropopause_Fold

Posted
Posted
The Euro actually sets up the polar boundary in CNE next weekend...NNE would likely get out of this with minimal damage if that happened. Just the two shots during the cutters. I'm not convinced the first one doesn't end up a big CAD-fest though.

There's an awful lot of cold to get unloaded down here after that, so hopefully we can tap into some of that. Pretty large area of -30C or colder H85 temps in Canada.

Yeah arctic unloads there later in the run. Gfs basically plows it east with time - hopefully it's got the right idea.

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NJwinter23

NJwinter23

Posted
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Multiply your amount by 0.1 and that's my seasonal total. Bring on the toooooooorch (touchy subject I know lol).

 

 

Numbers like that mean more of the same down my way...no snow. I'm still hoping to see some snowflakes this weekend but it probably will go north. Between missing out on the 12/29 event and this 1/6 wave failing, I'm feeling cold and annoyed. That's worse than any torch feeling.

 

LOL i hope you didn't just read through the horror that's been the last few pages of this thread. Holding out hope for end of jan/feb (such a god damn depressing thing to have to say on jan 4th)...stay the course

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Ji

Ji

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Well that's why you live in the south. It rarely snows and when it does its quickly gone. Those that live in the north enjoy winter and snow.

 

snow on the ground is annoying after the storm ends. Its only really fun right before the starts and during the event and a few hours after when the snow is still pure.

 

once its off the trees..slushy....and black.... who cares?

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The_Global_Warmer

The_Global_Warmer

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LOL i hope you didn't just read through the horror that's been the last few pages of this thread. Holding out hope for end of jan/feb (such a god damn depressing thing to have to say on jan 4th)...stay the course

 

 

The great discussions between the red taggers have made this sub forum a good weekly, sometimes a couple days per week go to place to read everyday around 12z.

 

But nothing, is as gold as reading these last few days of weenie fodder.

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ORH_wxman

ORH_wxman

Posted
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ok it looked to me like maybe that cutter was farther east than 00z had it

 

The 2nd cutter at the end of the run is def further east and actually produces a winter storm for NNE....the first one though is further west and warmer for all of us. The 00z run had the first one even start as frozen north of the pike for a time and tracked a secondary over ACK....not on this run.

 

All of this is over 6 days out though...really not worth getting invested into yet.

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Damage In Tolland

Damage In Tolland

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snow on the ground is annoying after the storm ends. Its only really fun right before the starts and during the event and a few hours after when the snow is still pure.

once its off the trees..slushy....and black.... who cares?

Well again in the north where its cold that doesn't happen. Typically it snows its cold after a storm and we play in it and enjoy looking at it. Our snow doesn't turn slushy or black. We use salt not tar to clear the roads
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Clinch Leatherwood

Clinch Leatherwood

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Today's 12z euro is probably the most sustained warmth of any of it's previous runs. It delays the 2nd lakes cutter and it's fropa to day 10+ again.

 

This is kind of what Phil has been hinting at for a bit with a protracted period of the more mild weather.  We'll have to see how it breaks long term, but we are going to get at least 7 days of unseasonable departures, maybe as many as 10-15.

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Tropopause_Fold

Tropopause_Fold

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Posted
Well that's why you live in the south. It rarely snows and when it does its quickly gone. Those that live in the north enjoy winter and snow.

snow on the ground is annoying after the storm ends. Its only really fun right before the starts and during the event and a few hours after when the snow is still pure.

once its off the trees..slushy....and black.... who cares?

It's Friday - snowed here almost a week ago...still on some of the trees...still looks nice:

post-218-135732757446.jpg

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Damage In Tolland

Damage In Tolland

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The 2nd cutter at the end of the run is def further east and actually produces a winter storm for NNE....the first one though is further west and warmer for all of us. The 00z run had the first one even start as frozen north of the pike for a time and tracked a secondary over ACK....not on this run.

All of this is over 6 days out though...really not worth getting invested into yet.

Thats the cutter in most worried about. The first one I don't think ends up being a true cutter. I think that's more of a cad and then sort of moves overhead. It's the 2 bad one that worries me
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