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The First Week of Jan..Bitter cold,Balls drop as we ring in 2013

Damage In Tolland

By Damage In Tolland,
in New England

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CoastalWx

CoastalWx

Posted
Posted

<blockquote class='ipsBlockquote'data-author="CT Rain" data-cid="1977715" data-time="1357156792"><p>

Yeah was just talking about that with another met here. Total sneaky cold. NAM MOS is 24F for the high with a WSW flow and 2M temps even higher.<br />

<br />

Even with a nice subsidence inversion hard to stay in the teens with a wind out of the WSW.</p></blockquote>

It has 23 for BOS. I would guess its too cold for BDL, but maybe it sees something.

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wx2fish

wx2fish

Posted
Posted

<blockquote class='ipsBlockquote'data-author="CT Rain" data-cid="1977715" data-time="1357156792"><p>

Yeah was just talking about that with another met here. Total sneaky cold. NAM MOS is 24F for the high with a WSW flow and 2M temps even higher.<br />

<br />

Even with a nice subsidence inversion hard to stay in the teens with a wind out of the WSW.</p></blockquote>

It has 23 for BOS. I would guess its too cold for BDL, but maybe it sees something.

 

Given the mixing on the NAM soundings (atleast around my area) I wouldn't be surprised if we undercut NAM mos by a degree or 2 on the high around here.

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ORH_wxman

ORH_wxman

Posted
Posted

This is your classic cutting below MOS type setup...esp the further north you go. We have fairly shallow cold and fresh snow cover with weak mixing.

 

That screams undercutting MOS a bit on low temps. Or even high temps. Those GFS highs though looks pretty darn cold.

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moneypitmike

moneypitmike

Posted
Posted

Not sure how things have been around the rest of the region.  But, we've been having snow most of the day--mostly light but ranging from weenie flakes to borderline moderate at times. 

 

Currently at 21.0/14 off my high of 23.2.

 

I guess we should enjoy the cold and snow while it lasts based on the last several pages of posts I just read.

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Ginx snewx

Ginx snewx

Posted
Posted

Not sure how things have been around the rest of the region.  But, we've been having snow most of the day--mostly light but ranging from weenie flakes to borderline moderate at times. 

 

Currently at 21.0/14 off my high of 23.2.

 

I guess we should enjoy the cold and snow while it lasts based on the last several pages of posts I just read.

 

Nice Mike, how may days below 32 now? Take what is posted with a grain of salt, its sad that the near term is ignored pretty much. Enjoy winter conditions for the next week.

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CT Rain

CT Rain

Posted
Posted

This is your classic cutting below MOS type setup...esp the further north you go. We have fairly shallow cold and fresh snow cover with weak mixing.

 

That screams undercutting MOS a bit on low temps. Or even high temps. Those GFS highs though looks pretty darn cold.

 

It's funny... MOS went from 30F from the 12z run yesterday to 18F at the 12z run today for Thursday's high. That's a huge jump.

I still think BDL will get to 20 but that's a big change in a couple runs.

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mahk_webstah

mahk_webstah

Posted
Posted

Who was asking where the cold was?  This goes through the 9th.

 

 

TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR THIS EVENING...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.COLD WITH LOWS AROUND 9 BELOW. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITHGUSTS UP TO 25 MPH THIS EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE..THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING MOSTLYCLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 11. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS..THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 4 ABOVE. LIGHT ANDVARIABLE WINDS..FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.NOT AS COLD WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPHWITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH..FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 18. WEST WINDS 10 TO15 MPH..SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S..SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMINGMOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 10 ABOVE..SUNDAY...CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S..SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 15. HIGHS INTHE MID 20S..MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20..TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING MOSTLYCLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S..TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHSIN THE LOWER 30S.
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tamarack

tamarack

Posted
Posted

Both sets of MOS have -20s at LEB and BML and the MAV has -30F for HIE.

from GYX afternoon AFD, boldface mine:

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...

CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL ALLOW FOR THE COLDEST NIGHT OF

THE WINTER THUS FAR. EXPECT MOST AREAS TO DECOUPLE AFTER SUNSET AS

STRONG LOW LEVEL TEMPERATURE INVERSION SETS UP OVER THE REGION.

EXPECT TO SEE LOWS BY THURSDAY MORNING OF 20 TO 30 BELOW ZERO IN

NORTHERN ZONES. SUB ZERO READINGS WILL EXTEND ALL THE WAY TO THE

COAST WHERE IT WILL BE SOMEWHAT WARMER BUT WILL STILL SEE LOWS OF

ZERO TO 10 BELOW.

 

That's colder than the forecast for northern Aroostook, because the wind is expected to continue all night up there.  Forecast for my zone (So.Franklin) is -15.  If GYX has the conditions pegged, that should put my cold-pocket location at -20 or below.  No big thing, as about 80% of Januarys here reach that threshold.

 

 

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DavisStraight

DavisStraight

Posted
Posted

Not sure how things have been around the rest of the region.  But, we've been having snow most of the day--mostly light but ranging from weenie flakes to borderline moderate at times. 

 

Currently at 21.0/14 off my high of 23.2.

 

I guess we should enjoy the cold and snow while it lasts based on the last several pages of posts I just read.

 

Ive had some weenie flakes, I saw the snow your getting on radar, looks like streamers from the lakes.

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MaineJayhawk

MaineJayhawk

Posted
Posted

from GYX afternoon AFD, boldface mine:

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...

CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL ALLOW FOR THE COLDEST NIGHT OF

THE WINTER THUS FAR. EXPECT MOST AREAS TO DECOUPLE AFTER SUNSET AS

STRONG LOW LEVEL TEMPERATURE INVERSION SETS UP OVER THE REGION.

EXPECT TO SEE LOWS BY THURSDAY MORNING OF 20 TO 30 BELOW ZERO IN

NORTHERN ZONES. SUB ZERO READINGS WILL EXTEND ALL THE WAY TO THE

COAST WHERE IT WILL BE SOMEWHAT WARMER BUT WILL STILL SEE LOWS OF

ZERO TO 10 BELOW.

That's colder than the forecast for northern Aroostook, because the wind is expected to continue all night up there. Forecast for my zone (So.Franklin) is -15. If GYX has the conditions pegged, that should put my cold-pocket location at -20 or below. No big thing, as about 80% of Januarys here reach that threshold.

Balls going back up after they came down. Outies become innies.

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moneypitmike

moneypitmike

Posted
Posted

Nice Mike, how may days below 32 now? Take what is posted with a grain of salt, its sad that the near term is ignored pretty much. Enjoy winter conditions for the next week.

Do you mean how many in a row?  I got screwed the night before last in advance of the cold front.  Spiked to 33.2 iirc.

 

 

Balls going back up after they came down. Outies become innies.

LOL

 

Down to 19.8/15, so still a ways to go.

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