The First Week of Jan..Bitter cold,Balls drop as we ring in 2013

[OSUmetstud]

Was Kevin's post deleted forky?

 

 

part of it was...yes.  

[CoastalWx]

Euro op is a CONUS furnace by mid week

Next week.

[ChrisM]

You need to move up northwest a couple towns to regularly get more than his area. You are probably only slightly better than 50/50 to get more than his backyard in any given season.

 

You think we average the same?  A couple towns NW puts me almost in MA.  I'll circle exactly where I live, my front yard is literally the corner of Harwinton in the NW most part...I think people think I'm further SE than I am.

 

Actually, a couple of towns NW would put me in Norfolk...wouldn't that be nice?  haha

 

 

[Allsnow]

<blockquote class='ipsBlockquote'data-author="CoastalWx" data-cid="1977485" data-time="1357151720"><p>

Euro op is a CONUS furnace by mid week<br />

Next week.</p></blockquote>

Holy torch.

[Damage In Tolland]

Toss Euro. Nothing points to that

[weathafella]

Euro op is a CONUS furnace by mid week

Next week.

Yes by Thursday we go high or go home....hope it's wrong.

[TalcottWx]

Snowish looking sky to my east / ne? It almost looks like some snow might be falling

[CoastalWx]

Snowish looking sky to my east / ne? It almost looks like some snow might be falling

 

Flurries and snow showers to the north along the front moving south.

[weatherwiz]

Euro op is a CONUS furnace by mid week

Next week.

 

It's crazy seeing +10C 850 temps get as far north as PA/NJ for a time next week and possibly with little in the way of cloud cover as well.  Wish I could see 925 temps b/c it can be difficult mixing all the way to 850 this time of year but that could support temps into the 50's for at least areas to our south.

 

The cold behind the front looks pretty interesting though and could potentially be a bit more potent than the shot we're having now.  

[CoastalWx]

Yes by Thursday we go high or go home....hope it's wrong.

 

 

It's certainly the warmest yet...we'll see what the ensembles do, but the pattern supports mild weather.

[Allsnow]

+12 850's to the south coast at 198. Huge torch next week verbatim on euro

[ag3]

Big cutoff low.

It looks like a middle of March map.

[OSUmetstud]

Euro op is a CONUS furnace by mid week

Next week.

 

it seems reasonable imo with a poor pacific...a positive AO....positive NAO, the PV over northern Canada and the MJO in phase 5.

[Allsnow]

Just brutal. What is this January 06?

[CoastalWx]

Wow. Record highs everywhere if that happened...lol. 

[Tropopause_Fold]

dear lord...+12C 850s. 

[Allsnow]

January over on 12z euro

[ChrisM]

1-800-273-8255

[Tropopause_Fold]

the euro is a full on SNE torch middle of next week. low level W BL flow with >+10C 850s. wow. 

[CoastalWx]

the euro is a full on SNE torch middle of next week. low level W BL flow with >+10C 850s. wow. 

 

Stay the course.

[weatherMA]

If we had no snow on the ground, I wouldn't mind the torch...would be nice for hiking. But, in this case all it will do is melt snow and make it muddy and gross so I'll pass on this torch.

[OSUmetstud]

not boring.

 

 

[Mr Torchey]

analogs

[pondo1000]

1-800-273-8255

 

LMAO

[Damage In Tolland]

Funny how we're told not to take day 8 maps verbatim in snow events, yet when a bogus mild run shows up at 8-9 days its correct. Tossed until there's an ounce of support from anything else

[ChrisM]

LMAO

 

[weatherMA]

Funny how we're told not to take day 8 maps verbatim in snow events, yet when a bogus mild run shows up at 8-9 days its correct. Tossed because I will have a meltdown if its correct.

 

fixed

[CoastalWx]

Funny how we're told not to take day 8 maps verbatim in snow events, yet when a bogus mild run shows up at 8-9 days its correct. Tossed until there's an ounce of support from anything else

 

Who says it is? The pattern does support mild wx as we said numerous times...but I mentioned to wait to see what the ensembles have. We are commenting on it because it's ridiculously warm...the same would happen if it had 492 thicknesses shoved into SNE.

[pondo1000]

 

OY!

[Tropopause_Fold]

Stay the course.

 

what a nightmare that run was.

some places probably wouldn't dip below freezing monday night just looking at that synoptic set-up with WAA and W/SW flow and would hold above freezing through Saturday...with likely near record warmth in the heart of the week. 

 

no thanks.