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The First Week of Jan..Bitter cold,Balls drop as we ring in 2013

Damage In Tolland

By Damage In Tolland,
in New England

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CoastalWx

CoastalWx

Posted
Posted
<blockquote class='ipsBlockquote'data-author="ORH_wxman" data-cid="1976364" data-time="1357078727"><p>

I don't think the threat is thread-worthy yet. Its a pretty low probability threat.</p></blockquote>I suspect after the 00z runs and ens come out more folks will start picking up on it

 

It looks like a fropa. Too progressive.

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Mr Torchey

Mr Torchey

Posted
Posted
point taken ll. I have a e sne cp bias. What's bos at

 

:) no idea, I think its pretty cool to get snow in a well above normal pattern besides a year like 10-11 its tough to get a sustained pack down here, so if its not snowing and its warmer I am all for it. Just give me the snow when its cold..........was looking at some ski resort cams and man are they killing it at just the right time.  

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snowman21

snowman21

Posted
Posted
for the cp of sne its pretty much suck'd for snow since 12/2. The cp snuck a cple inches on the 29/30th but b4 that they endured like 5 rainers. Meh. Hopefully nne can escape unscathed. What's bos snowfall so far 3.5?

 

Parts of coastal New London Co. had a foot of snow in December, just shy of 200% of normal. Pretty good for a warm month in a typical snow hole spot.

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Logan11

Logan11

Posted
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JB has shut up about it for the last day or so....  I took that as a bad sign because he can never drop a threat and hypes a lot as we know...

<blockquote class='ipsBlockquote'data-author="ORH_wxman" data-cid="1976364" data-time="1357078727"><p>
I don't think the threat is thread-worthy yet. Its a pretty low probability threat.</p></blockquote>I suspect after the 00z runs and ens come out more folks will start picking up on it

 

 

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ORH_wxman

ORH_wxman

Posted
Posted
Yeah... let's start a thread about a storm that has a very low chance of even dropping an inch of snow lol.

 

Why is the forum acting so funny? all the quotes are mushed together.

 

 

 

Its the upgrade. The issue has been raised in the staff forum, so hopefully its back to normal soon.

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CoastalWx

CoastalWx

Posted
Posted
<blockquote class='ipsBlockquote'data-author="CoastalWx" data-cid="1976372" data-time="1357079080"><p>

It looks like a fropa. Too progressive.</p></blockquote>We heard that about Saturdays storm

 

Too progressive for a KU 7 days out, nobody ruled out at least a 3-6" event. Why start something on this? 

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ORH_wxman

ORH_wxman

Posted
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Dec 2012 goes down as pretty strange for being so warm but high snowfall....ORH was +4.7 on the month but had 18.5" of snow. Certainly not totally unheard of though. December 1996 was around +4 for the month and had 28.2" of snow.

 

One of the strangest ones was January 2006. That month was +8.6 IIRC but had 24.5" of snow. BDL also had over 20" of snow that month. January 1975 was also a pretty solid torch with good snowfall around 2 feet here. Ditto January 1983.

 

Def a bit tougher to pull it off in December though because of climo.

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weathafella

weathafella

Posted
Posted
<blockquote class='ipsBlockquote'data-author="weathafella" data-cid="1976402" data-time="1357080165"><p>

I will be surprised if we don't get a spell of 1-3 days 50-60 before the pattern reloads.</p></blockquote>:lol:

It may be hard to bump this the way the forum is acting but all signs point to it.

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Logan11

Logan11

Posted
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Yeah 82-83 was a pretty strong El Nino as I recall. I didn't include it among the better winters of the 80's because it was just so mild much of the time.  That said....if you just went by snowfall it came in a bit above normal. I believe I was over 60" in the Mid Hudson Valley. We got 11" in that massive KU storm..less than places east and south.

 

 

Dec 2012 goes down as pretty strange for being so warm but high snowfall....ORH was +4.7 on the month but had 18.5" of snow. Certainly not totally unheard of though. December 1996 was around +4 for the month and had 28.2" of snow.

 

One of the strangest ones was January 2006. That month was +8.6 IIRC but had 24.5" of snow. BDL also had over 20" of snow that month. January 1975 was also a pretty solid torch with good snowfall around 2 feet here. Ditto January 1983.

 

Def a bit tougher to pull it off in December though because of climo.

 

 

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ORH_wxman

ORH_wxman

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Yeah 82-83 was a pretty strong El Nino as I recall. I didn't include it among the better winters of the 80's because it was just so mild much of the time.  That said....if you just went by snowfall it came in a bit above normal. I believe I was over 60" in the Mid Hudson Valley. We got 11" in that massive KU storm..less than places east and south.

 

 

 

'82-'83 also sandwiched between two pretty cold winters in '81-'82 and '83-'84. That 3 year stretch was actually not that bad compared to the rest of the decade.

 

'82-'83 was pretty much a one month winter...but it was a pretty productive period for the interior between Jan 15th and that KU storm. There were three very large storms in there...its just that the other two were not very good along the coast so only the KU storm is really remembered.

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Mr Torchey

Mr Torchey

Posted
Posted
Fall well short? My forecast highs over thr next three days don't get above 25 and the lows are just above zero. Not sure when anything less was shown.

OKX had lows in the mid teens here with highs in the mid 20s two short days ago thats been bumped to lows in the 20s and highs in the 30s here, obviously each area is different depending on climo.  The modification has been discussed by amateurs and Mets both, well documented.  The Euro and GFS have backed way off of there initial -20+ 850 temperatures.  Its still a chilly week a few below normal but nothing at all out of the ordinary and likely wiped out with ease next week. ho hum

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ORH_wxman

ORH_wxman

Posted
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Fall well short? My forecast highs over thr next three days don't get above 25 and the lows are just above zero. Not sure when anything less was shown.

 

 

 

 

It looked more impressive on some of the model runs a few days ago. The further north you go, the cold will be more impressive from a departure standpoint. LL's backyard will almost certainly have the lowets impact from these cold shots.

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OKpowdah

OKpowdah

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It's always entertaining every year when there is a SSW threat the discussion that ensues. There's always the people who are discovering what a SSW is for the first time, and start posting very excitedly about a major/historic arctic outbreak in store. (See the main forum)

 

I know that was me with the 2006 warming lol

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ORH_wxman

ORH_wxman

Posted
Posted
It's always entertaining every year when there is a SSW threat the discussion that ensues. There's always the people who are discovering what a SSW is for the first time, and start posting very excitedly about a major/historic arctic outbreak in store.

 

I know that was me with the 2006 warming lol

 

 

 

Well at least Feb 2007 delievered very impressive cold. That was a true massive change in sensible wx to go along with the actual longwave pattern changes. Last February, we had a big longwave pattern change hemispherically, but the same sensible wx torch in the CONUS, lol.

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