The First Week of Jan..Bitter cold,Balls drop as we ring in 2013

[Allsnow]

flurries for most coverings to an inch in higher elevations berks and up north.........what a wretched winter coming up for you down there what a difference 100 miles can make.........good look Timothy

That happens every night in the Berks. I just okx, was not buying into weenie radars. Ll fail

[Mr Torchey]

That happens every night in the Berks. I just okx, was not buying into weenie radars. Ll fail

 

what?

[Snowlover76]

That happens every night in the Berks. I just okx, was not buying into weenie radars. Ll fail

 

When doesn't he fail?

 

Wasn't Sandy going OTS?

[HoarfrostHubb]

For those that say this is year is like last...well it's not

Hi Mr. Tolleris!

[moneypitmike]

For those that say this is year is like last...well it's not

Looking at that map, this year's like last year in mby. 

 

Seriously though, that's a nice comparitive map.

 

24.2/12

[N. OF PIKE]

Driving the car thru n conway, lookin at a view of the arctic chill blowin over mt. Wash. Light snows tonite, another reinforcing shot by am.

[moneypitmike]

Temps beginning to drop a little more aggressivley, down a degree in the last 20 minutes.  Of course, dwindling sun helping to move things along.

[Allsnow]

<blockquote class='ipsBlockquote'data-author="litchfieldlibations" data-cid="1976162" data-time="1357071548"><p>

what?</p></blockquote>

So quick to jump on Kevin's blown forecast, might as well own up to yours.

[CT Rain]

The record warmth at BDL this year was just incredible.

 

53.7º broke the old record by 0.8º set in 2010. I mean that's a staggering way to break the record.

 

Since records have been kept at BDL these are the warmest years on record:

 

2012 - 53.7

2010 - 52.9

1990 - 52.8

1991 - 52.5 

2006 - 52.4

1973 - 52.3

2002 - 51.7

 

I hope we like our new climate regime

[Great Snow 1717]

http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/saisons/image_e.html?img=spfe1t

 

 

[CoastalWx]

Hope the euro ensembles are wrong.

[CT Rain]

The forum is acting funny this afternoon. When on the last page of a thread it's only showing it being on the first page. 

[ORH_wxman]

The forum is acting funny this afternoon. When on the last page of a thread it's only showing it being on the first page. 

 

 

 

Just had a software upgrade...there's prob a couple small bugs that need to be worked out.

[CT Rain]

Hope the euro ensembles are wrong.

 

 

SWFE potential D11-D15 otherwise a warm pattern for us.

[Ginx snewx]

Most reliable says next ten days averages out pretty normal.

[CoastalWx]

SWFE potential D11-D15 otherwise a warm pattern for us.

 

I could see that...just looks ugly. Even a compromise witht he GEFS would be better.

[CoastalWx]

Steve, it's beyond day 10 that's the issue.

[Ginx snewx]

Steve, it's beyond day 10 that's the issue.

 

boy this upgrade sucks. I was posting about the next ten days, not making any reference to beyond that although I see the 18Z GFS  ENS  is really backing off for the 11-15 day period, substantial 850 temp changes 

[radarman]

but I'll believe it inside 10 days.

 

 

 

Steve, it's beyond day 10 that's the issue.

 

Who cares about beyond 10 day progs?  Not you

[CoastalWx]

Who cares about beyond 10 day progs?  Not you

 

Pretty good agreement. 

[CT Rain]

I don't know the pattern just sort of sucks. 

 

Near normal D1-D5 but bone dry. Above normal D6-D10 but dry. Potential for a torch/runner D11-D15. Pretty awful sounding to me.

 

Also remember climo is 18/34 at BDL by this weekend. 

[N. OF PIKE]

Hope the lr can be muted or wrong. And if not I hope nne mtns can avoid rainers. Does lr look mild and dry or wet

[CoastalWx]

boy this upgrade sucks. I was posting about the next ten days, not making any reference to beyond that although I see the 18Z GFS  ENS  is really backing off for the 11-15 day period, substantial 850 temp changes 

 

The GEFS are what we want to hope for, but they may be rushing things. The front literally looks overhead...like I said earlier..I bet someone will have a mixed event or some sort of wintry deal during part of this time. However, there probably will be a rather sharp temp gradient where you go from 25-30 to near 50 in less than 100 miles. Kind of has that look. 

[ORH_wxman]

Hopefully there is something that starts to look like a threat....tracking whether it will be 35F or 45F sucks. Reminds me of summer when the debate is 86F vs 91F at BDL.

[Damage In Tolland]

That threat on Jan 6-7 is really looking better and better each set of runs. That looks like our next one to track. Someone start a thread

[N. OF PIKE]

I don't know the pattern just sort of sucks.

Near normal D1-D5 but bone dry. Above normal D6-D10 but dry. Potential for a torch/runner D11-D15. Pretty awful sounding to me.

Also remember climo is 18/34 at BDL by this weekend.

for the cp of sne its pretty much suck'd for snow since 12/2. The cp snuck a cple inches on the 29/30th but b4 that they endured like 5 rainers. Meh. Hopefully nne can escape unscathed. What's bos snowfall so far 3.5?

[Mr Torchey]

for the cp of sne its pretty much suck'd for snow since 12/2. The cp snuck a cple inches on the 29/30th but b4 that they endured like 5 rainers. Meh. Hopefully nne can escape unscathed. What's bos snowfall so far 3.5?

 

BDR had its snowiest November ever, and currently has half of its normal yearly snowfall one month into winter.

[ORH_wxman]

That threat on Jan 6-7 is really looking better and better each set of runs. That looks like our next one to track. Someone start a thread

 

 

 

I don't think the threat is thread-worthy yet. Its a pretty low probability threat.

[N. OF PIKE]

BDR had its snowiest November ever, and currently has half of its normal yearly snowfall one month into winter.

point taken ll. I have a e sne cp bias. What's bos at

[Logan11]

I'm annoyed also that we are entering a very boring week or 10 days...  But for interior people, having just got close to 20" over this Xmas/New Years period, we need to have reasonable expectations. It doesn't snow constantly. You get a few weeks on and a few weeks off etc. Beyond that I have no trust in any of these models post day 10.