CarlislePaWx Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 Well.....very light snow kept falling all evening long...only now looking like it's coming to an end. Picked up an additional 0.5" over the past 6 hours for final total of 2.5". Like everyone else I've got incredibly cyrystallized flakes reflecting my deck light and nearly looking prismatic. Has to be the very cold conditions aiding in the crystal formations. Nice event again. Temp down to 14 now. No wind. Very peaceful out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 26, 2013 Author Share Posted January 26, 2013 It had stopped but took the dog out and it was snowing again. Clouds covering the moon, and looking at radar, band of snow has developed. Yea that band's kept the snow going here lightly. Most roads are still a mess with alot of icy patches and a few of the back roads (including mine) haven't really been touched by a plow truck all day Looks like maybe 2001kx could be seeing a pretty good burst of snow currently. Those Laurels ski resorts (esp Seven Springs) could have several more inches of Rocky Mountain grade powder overnight given the optimal snow structure (dendrites) and the extra orographic lift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yorkpa25 Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 Light snow here in york currently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 Yea that band's kept the snow going here lightly. Most roads are still a mess with alot of icy patches and a few of the back roads (including mine) haven't really been touched by a plow truck all day Looks like maybe 2001kx could be seeing a pretty good burst of snow currently. Those Laurels ski resorts (esp Seven Springs) could have several more inches of Rocky Mountain grade powder overnight given the optimal snow structure (dendrites) and the extra orographic lift. I missed it...was being lazy and just laying around watching tv.. I did check my security cams and it did pick up around that time but didnt look to heavy. my total so far is 1.5" so i have picked up .5" since the main storm passed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 26, 2013 Author Share Posted January 26, 2013 GFS and Euro had differing takes tonight on the main system set to affect us in the middle of this coming week and reestablish the cold regime that briefly gets kicked out Tues/Wed. GFS continues to wind up a pretty significant GLC that gives the region alot of rain. The European is more progressive with the front and doesn't have the deep Lakes low. It actually runs a low pressure along the front up the coast bringing the potential of a rain to snow type deal. We could have either scenario, but one should keep in mind this winter has had a pretty progressive theme thus far... which could end up favoring a more Euro type solution as we get closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 Looks like my gut was wrong, nws switched to rain and snow showers...seems weird as 850s look warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 Really going to backpeddle on my Monday predictions...thinking a four hour freezing rain adv. may be sufficient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 Mag thanks for the update. Looks like some decent QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 Nam looks icy...gfs precip is lighter...guessing we get at least 2 hours of ice? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 Haven't had a storm bring 1" of QPF in a while, not since the Dec 27 storm for some. But I have found while crunching some COOP numbers that 1" QPF storms typically occur at the 1 month interval especially in the spring through fall, so this would be spot on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 Both models increase precip, guessing a glaze of ice is possiblev? LOL lost without u guys chiming in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 WWA out for some locations in Central PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 I am doubting the snow a bit, as upper levels scour out quickly. Now low levels will def. take some time to warm up...fzra could make it messy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 Might be a tricky work day for tomorrow drivng the truck. Main roads I'd suspect will be ok, but the little farm road I take to get back to our water pump house might be a different story. Yesteday morning it was snow covered and untouched. We shall see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 To me it appears the Euro is showing colder temps than the GFS. edit: " It also appears the GFS is warmer than the NAM" Anybody else have thoughts on that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 Gfs is weird with precip. only gives us a bit. This will be a freezing rain event. Only question is how much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 Going to be a nasty day tomorrow across the region. Got to hope for a fast warm up and avoid extensive zr. ... Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect from 4 am to 3 PM EST Monday... * locations... most of central Pennsylvania. * Hazard types... snow and sleet changing to a period of freezing rain. * Accumulations... 1 or 2 inches of snow and sleet... followed by a tenth of an inch of ice accretion. * Timing... predawn hours Monday through early Monday afternoon. * Impacts... snow covered and slushy roads... then a light accumulation of ice on outdoor objects and untreated Road surfaces and walkways. * Temperatures... warming to above freezing Monday afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 ugh, my wife has to drive to NYC tomorrow and rescheduling isn't an option Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 Got down to 1 here today cant remember a ice storm preceded by such cold. 19 now...Will be interesting to say the least. Good to see some board activity! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 ugh, my wife has to drive to NYC tomorrow and rescheduling isn't an optionCan she come up and take the train from HBG/Middletown/Lancaster? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 Got down to 1 here today cant remember a ice storm preceded by such cold. 19 now...Will be interesting to say the least. Good to see some board activity! Got down to 3 here this morning, but rebounded nicely to the current 31 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 27 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 Can she come up and take the train from HBG/Middletown/Lancaster? She's playing it safe, I booked a hotel for her, she left a few minutes ago. The train would have arrived too late tomorrow morning, she would have had to leave tonight anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 Given what went down just a week or so ago where the cold air held off a "torch" for the most part, the trend this winter seems to feature colder solutions winning out over warmer guidances. Given the timing of this event I'm wondering if a more significant icing event could take place in some areas here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 It will be messy, but I wouldn't think .25" of ice is going to cause to many major issues. Bad roads yes, power outages? probably not. Interesting weather to track though, it beats the lame weather pattern we have been in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 Feeling same way atomix thinking this will be way worse than they are saying maybe .2 to .3 inches of ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 Yes Potter that wont happen but roads will be very slippery. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 Here's one thing I have observed in years past. Many significant ice storms were preceded by very high barometric pressures. The barometer this morning peaked around 30.60" which tied for the highest pressure of the entire winter thus far. Regardless of what the models say, I think it is possible that the amount of freezing rain may turn out to be more than they currently expect. Here in the Cumberland Valley the cold air likes to hang on for a long time even as areas surrounding us are warming above freezing. Harrisburg could easily be 33 with rain while Carlisle is 31 with freezing rain. We've just spent the last 7 days continuously below freezing until just a few hours ago. The ground surfaces are going to take a while to warm up even if air temps rise above 32. That will only prolong the ZR possibilities. Hit 35 here about an hour ago and it felt really nice outside with almost no wind. Now we prepare for the roller coaster ride of the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 Guys im feeling this one, steady light rain and ground thats very cold. Could be a big big mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 Guys im feeling this one, steady light rain and ground thats very cold. Could be a big big mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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