killabud Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 jfk? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Already down to 28.8F/23F Winds: NW at 1 mph and Clear Skies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 jfk? .42" of precip. Unfortunately, warm surface of 37-39 degrees for most of the storm. Dew points are around 34 degrees. So maybe some sloppy wet flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 .42" of precip. Unfortunately, warm surface of 37-39 degrees for most of the storm. Dew points are around 34 degrees. So maybe some sloppy wet flakes. They should just take down the advisories now for coastal areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 LGA hovers at 34-36 degrees in the middle of the storm but has a 31 degree dew point. .40" of precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XtremeWx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 LGA hovers at 34-36 degrees in the middle of the storm but has a 31 degree dew point. .40" of precip. So do you think we stay all snow here in Flushing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Euro is encouraging for NYC and west. Surface usually runs a couple degrees warm on the euro and with dew points of 31-32, the euro is likely mostly snow at Knyc and points west and north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 LGA hovers at 34-36 degrees in the middle of the storm but has a 31 degree dew point. .40" of precip. How about in the surrounding counties in central nj. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I'm hoping that the warm surface temps and higher dews are only confined to the immediate shores and areas further east, given that the winds in the BL are light. Perhaps JFK will get very little but suburbs just a few miles inland can still do okay. It will be fun and albeit, stressful, to track tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 How about Teterboro Airport? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 So do you think we stay all snow here in Flushing? If the euro is correct, I think the entire north shore of Queens, all of the Bronx, NYC and then west and north of there is mostly snow. A euro surface temp of 34-36 at LGA with 31-32 degree dews is not bad at all for the euro, which usually is 2-3 degrees too warm. An area like JFK which is 39 degrees with a 34 dew point, doesn't look good right now, unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 How about Teterboro Airport? .38" of precip. Warmest point is at 18z, which is 34 degrees. 12z is 31 degrees and 0z is 32.5 degrees. Looks good there also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Big Bass Lake indeed. We really have a lot of fun up there. It becomes a circus up there for New Year's Eve. The rest of the winter it's very, very quiet. Been there for New Years 4 years in a row. Definitely a wild time. Should be no different this year. Add the snow and you have tons of fun. 7 inches tomorrow maybe and already saying more accumulating snow on New Year's Eve itself. Only one of the last 4 New Year's Eve's featured snow in good old Big Bass lake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 .38" of precip. Warmest point is at 18z, which is 34 degrees. 12z is 31 degrees and 0z is 32.5 degrees. Looks good there also. Thanks. That was the best location I can use in terms of latitude for Mount Vernon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Euro is basically a borderline event for NYC and south. Anyone north and west is looking good on the euro. Ocean influenced areas are fighting major boundary layer issues. Definitely colder then the nam, gfs or rgem though, for NYC itself and wetter then most guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XtremeWx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 If the euro is correct, I think the entire north shore of Queens, all of the Bronx, NYC and then west and north of there is mostly snow. A euro surface temp of 34-36 at LGA with 31-32 degree dews is not bad at all for the euro, which usually is 2-3 degrees too warm. An area like JFK which is 39 degrees with a 34 dew point, doesn't look good right now, unfortunately. Thanks. Hoping for the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Thanks for the info AG. Looks like a 2-4" event from the city n and w. Solid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
killabud Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 after a nice steady fall all night temps are starting to rise quickly....down to 26 an hour ago,now 28.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Got down to 27.3F at my parents in Ewing, now bounced back up to 29.7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 New nam looks pretty juicy.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 6z NAM is much more amped and closer to the coast. Need to see soundings, but it looks like its cold enough once the CCB cranks over NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nikolai Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 NAM is 6"+ for NYC. Almost on the .75 contour. Wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Hopefully still looking at 2-4". When do the next sref's come out? Interesting reading the freakouts earlier, hope things shift for a more colder, stronger dynamic cooling precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 NAM is 6"+ for NYC. Almost on the .75 contour. Wow! Definitely a much better run for NYC. Soundings support snow for the last half of the storm at least. I would say 4"-5" for NYC in this run. More in Jersey. Even the clown maps are finally showing good accumulations, even down to the coast. And it's not THAT far off from the 0z euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 29, 2012 Author Share Posted December 29, 2012 NAM is great. Awesome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 would the intensity of the precip being shown by the NAM lessen the chance of a change to rain at the coast?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 would the intensity of the precip being shown by the NAM lessen the chance of a change to rain at the coast?? The other way around. The NAM is mostly a coastal storm now and brings a piece of the CCB over us. Coastal areas that start as rain, change to snow on the NAM. 1st west and then east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jefflaw77 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Sounds like 11.7.12... started as rain- then as night came- snow accumulated quickly and i got 8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 NAM is great. Awesome! RAP has been going insane all night, and the 4km NAM has about 1.5" of precip for NYC Good stuff http://www.instantweathermaps.com/RAP-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2012122907&time=INSTANT&var=REFD&hour=013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jefflaw77 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 RAP has been going insane all night, and the 4km NAM has about 1.5" of precip for NYC Good stuff http://www.instantwe...r=REFD&hour=013 not all snow no? that would be epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.