nzucker Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Made the same mistake yesterday thinking we could salvage snow with a storm going that far southeast of us. The initial primary low screwed us, particularly below 850mb as those lower levels scorched us. The coastal low was too slow to develop and too far east, and here we are. Hard to expect much different in a fast progressive pattern that has almost no real cold air. Congrats Boston. Isn't the storm just starting for Long Island? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Well this one's a wrap. Is it spring time yet, maybe we'll have a snow chance then. It seems we get more snow in early and late season storms than we do in winter. If we had a storm to track every three days the rest of winter – maybe even a couple inches to show for each one – I'd be pretty content. I got about 2" OTG in the no-man's land of the mid-Hudson Valley and with models looking pretty barren for a while, I'm just glad to have some echoes on the radar screen and precipitation falling from the clouds! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Milford Highlander Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Event over - lasted a little under 3 and a half hours - 2.5 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 2" System winding down I have no idea how the system can be winding down there if I still have moderate accumulating snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Event over - lasted a little under 3 and a half hours - 2.5 inches It is still snowing moderately out to your west. The band just to your west has laid down another 1.5 inches in the last hour. It is not over there yet. I am still getting moderate accumulating snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swataz Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 37.6 and still a cold rain at the Hauppauge/Smithtown border. I would even take a 1" hit to pretty things up on the tail end at this point! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Isn't the storm just starting for Long Island? Eastern LI might get a good thump as it exits but it seems too far east for the western 1/3 of Suffolk and Nassau. With these there can be dramatic differences from one end to the other in terms of final accums. If it flips soon enough places like Riverhead can end up with several inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Milford Highlander Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 It is still snowing moderately out to your west. The band just to your west has laid down another 1.5 inches in the last hour. It is not over there yet. I am still getting moderate accumulating snow. Yea I know - maybe a half inch more, but basically over - nice little event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Up here in Liberty about 5 on the ground, lightening up but NWS says wraparound (non synoptic) will give us another 1-3 into the night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Model-ology 1, weenie-ology 0 with temps and precip type for this storm southeast of I 95.. Too much ignorin of the warm models yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Deformation band FTW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I have no idea how the system can be winding down there if I still have moderate accumulating snow here. we will still get some precip. my brother is getting mod snow out in kutztown. nothing major around though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Milford Highlander Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 we will still get some precip. my brother is getting mod snow out in kutztown. nothing major around though. Yes definitely winding down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Isn't the storm just starting for Long Island? Central and Eastern LI might get into some very solid banding later, but I think Nassau County will be too far west for that. The bands won't really be going NW, they will have a tendency to gradually consolidate towards the coastal low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Precip looks to end in about 4 hours for NYC southwest. Pretty much game over for anything more than T-1" totals NYC/coast. The 18z GFS yesterday going warmer was a bad sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Too much ignorin of the warm models yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 The 18z GFS yesterday going warmer was a bad sign. Not to mention the 18Z NAM going drier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BL03 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Model-ology 1, weenie-ology 0 with temps and precip type for this storm southeast of I 95.. Too much ignorin of the warm models yesterday Signs were there.. i was scared of this. :/ Oh well shouldn't be surprised, wasn't I-95 ideal setup. On to the next one... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Model-ology 1, weenie-ology 0 with temps and precip type for this storm southeast of I 95.. Too much ignorin of the warm models yesterday I learned a big lesson ..will be more aware of soundings and snowfall maps.24 hours they are deadly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 What a disaster this storm has been. it wouldnt be if you didnt seek out the coldest model and use it as a deity...rather use the WARMEST model as a point of reference Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 To be fair the NAM and RGEM also flipped right back at 06z...both of them gave me 6" of what we now know is imaginary snow. Not really. The 6z rgem gave you about 8-10mm of snow. With poor ratios, that's only 2"-4". How much did you get? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
readingaccount1 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I wonder if we switch to snow with that band to the west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 It is still snowing moderately out to your west. The band just to your west has laid down another 1.5 inches in the last hour. It is not over there yet. I am still getting moderate accumulating snow. Nice banding setting up in E PA.. Maybe another 1-2" before all is set and done Back to Heavy Snow here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Personally, I think the North Fork could see very good snows tonight.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
threeyoda Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Got 2.5 inches so far here, still moderate snow coming down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Not really. The 6z rgem gave you about 8-10mm of snow. With poor ratios, that's only 2"-4". How much did you get? It also nailed the cutoff to no snow right near NYC. And has the little pocket of 3"-5" in NENJ and the Lehigh Valley of PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 everybody knows our big snows usually come in late october and early november. winter isnt the right time of year. Front loaded winter on steroids. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Like a golf swing. Just when u thnk u got it u shank it and break the clubhouse window Yeah...partially a bust for those who went colder as I did. BUT there was also much less QPF than predicted. People who went with a colder forecast like me thought NYC was going to get .4" QPF like most of the models showed, not .16" which is what actually fell at Central Park. Obviously you need some heavier banding to get snow to stick in urban areas. Even the 0z ECM had us picking up like .3"+ QPF, and that's not going to verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Nice banding setting up in E PA.. Maybe another 1-2" before all is set and done Back to Heavy Snow here.. I should take a trip up on 17 today.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
readingaccount1 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 STOP...its like 40 degrees out Where? I am at 33. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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