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12/29 Winter Storm OBS/Disco Part II


earthlight

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looks like a moderate event for much of the region... the .50 contour is not far from the city on both the NAM and GFS. I would not be surprised if it actually ends up west of the city in the end. Looks like a general 3-6 inches for the city on north, including the north shore of LI and NE/NW Jersey; with pockets of up to 8 in some locations. Will be a nice fast snow event for us. And it will stick around for a while since we will be really cold next week!!!

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I'd shift that zone farther to the west and include parts of the north shore of Nassau. Those maps are skewed towards some particularly good C-E LI winters in the 2000s. You could probably find a similar period where the bullesye was Nassau - western Suffolk.

Good point, as anyone living on C-E Long Island after Blizzard of '78 knows the storms until the new century were a West v East variety. March 2001 began a great decade for North Shore v South Shore snow totals, and those are precisely the winters I was reviewing on your website.

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