NorthShoreWx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Its OVAH. LI would be lucky if they finish as snow and get a dusting from this. Thanks for the candid discussion. At what time does your crystal ball tell you that the impending downpour might end as a flurry on the northern half of the island? 33F here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhj Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 DYNAMICS OF STORM WILL LOWER TEMPS AND WATCH YOUR WIND DIRECTION AS LONG AS IT STAYS NORTHEAST AT WORST AND DOES NOT GO EAST NORTHEAST EVERYONE ON THE COAST WILL BE SNOW AT LEAST IN CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Its minus 3 at 850 , relax once the precip starts you go back to 0 c even if you get to 35 . Look at the radar in DC and see what evap cooling did for them in the past hour . You will mix today when the 925`s line gets to the coast , but you will go back to Snow and will accumulate after . Patience . Flag , Upon further review , looks like last frame they went back to Rain , ur Fd lol jk you will accumulate once the Low gets north of AC later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Does not look like winds are ever going to come around to the E SE over LI or the NYC metro...still generally 040 or even more north than that. All models showed 080-100 last night, probably why we're still seeing lots of 32s and 33s with DPs in the mid 20s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 33 degrees here in Brooklyn already UGH 36 and snow at Dulles, and many of the traffic cams in N Va showing snow despite warm surface temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCsnow17 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 32/27 right now, radar looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I think we are going to do good. Look at obs down south around VA and MD, some areas came near 40, but they are snowing now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 An hour ago I looked at the 12z sounding from OKX and was distressed to see an above freezing layer already just above the surface (say up to around 950). I just took another look and its not there. Either my glasses were foggy or this is a different image than was posted on UNisys before: http://weather.unisys.com/upper_air/skew/skew_KOKX.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Wetbulbs look good for basically everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Pretty nice bands blowing up across SNJ moving nwd. I may see my first flakes within the hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDemon Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Very light snow has begun to fall here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Very light snow has begun to fall here. was just gonna post that. Tiny little flakes as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Momza Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 First flakes 10:08 Floral Park Nassau County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sampson Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Its OVAH. LI would be lucky if they finish as snow and get a dusting from this. Care to make a wager? In all seriousness, this has the makings for a predominantly snow event for most of LI barring the east end and perhaps the south shore. My gut tells me even the south shore on the western half of the island stays snow for the most part. And please, for everyone out there that makes statements about LI lIke its the size of Dobbs ferry: stfu! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDemon Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 So weird. It actually sounds like sleet outside. It's falling in tiny white pebbles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Check out wide shot of the EC and the radar echo coming off hatteras , You can see the center of circulation . almost has an eye to it in last few frames. Going to deepen rapidly as it comes NE in the next 8 -hrs , so if you mix today , you will snow at some point , and where you dont mix some may see 6 inches. Starting to have a NEG tilt to the system already . Will deepen quick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Pretty nice bands blowing up across SNJ moving nwd. I may see my first flakes within the hour. fast approaching i-195 should be to monmouth in the next hour and further north by noon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 My mom just said it started as rain in Interlaken, NJ, just outside of Asbury Park Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Care to make a wager? In all seriousness, this has the makings for a predominantly snow event for most of LI barring the east end and perhaps the south shore. My gut tells me even the south shore on the western half of the island stays snow for the most part. And please, for everyone out there that makes statements about LI lIke its the size of Dobbs ferry: stfu! If you remain mostly snow, i will go to your house and shovel all of your snow for the entire winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 KMIV in S NJ reporting light rain. Philly with snow. EDIT: ACY went up a degree and now reporting light rain as well. Not good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Thanks for the candid discussion. At what time does your crystal ball tell you that the impending downpour might end as a flurry on the northern half of the island? 33F here. For a second I got the person you quoted confused with the very insightful poster Snowlover123 and was actually concerned... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sampson Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 If you remain mostly snow, i will go to your house and shovel all of your snow for the entire winter. I'm not very good at the gambling game so you're probably wise to take my bet. I hope to make you're acquaintance in the near future though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 KMIV in S NJ reporting light rain. Philly with snow. EDIT: ACY went up a degree and now reporting light rain as well. Not good. Atlantic citys forecast is 41 and rain so why are you concerned? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 32 flurries in Piscataway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Atlantic citys forecast is 41 and rain so why are you concerned? Our forecast isn't much different. Up to 39 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 35.7/26 1009.6mb No precip Temps climbing slightly, hoping for some good EC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 KMIV in S NJ reporting light rain. Philly with snow. EDIT: ACY went up a degree and now reporting light rain as well. Not good. Its a different world from BLM south...a NE wind of 020-050 is all off miles and miles of water, you can get tremendous boundary layer warmth on it. Up here thats not the case, there has been many storms that are rain down there, sometimes even rain in Belmar and snowing at JFK, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Stuck at 32F/24F RH: 72% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Its a different world from BLM south...a NE wind of 020-050 is all off miles and miles of water, you can get tremendous boundary layer warmth on it. Up here thats not the case, there has been many storms that are rain down there, sometimes even rain in Belmar and snowing at JFK, KJFK is 34/25 with a NE wind at 9mph. Pretty much aligns with what you have been saying for the T/TD spread for days now. And great to see the winds are still NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blazess556 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Light snow started around 10 am. Currently 31.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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