hooralph Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 We are supposed to drive from Norfolk up to NYC today. I had been thinking if we left in the early afternoon we'd mostly be following behind it, but what do you all think the roads (mostly NJ TP) will be like in the evening, say 6:00 to 10:00? How far south do think we'll first run into snow? No 4WD. Driving a Chevy Malibu. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 What about NYC 5 boroughs? Mostly queens & Brooklyn do we all stay snow? Starts out as snow, still waiting for more frames. I'll let you know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 The NAM initialization is too far west with the precip shield as it is just cloudy now where the NAM was showing precip over VA. Remember. The initialization has to match up with the OBS at 8 AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmc10 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 The NAM initialization is too far west with the precip shield as it is just cloudy now where the NAM was showing precip over VA. The radar is blowing up and filling all those areas in. Coastal beginning this transformation. Don't worry the adjustment is coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Remember. The initialization has to match up with the OBS at 8 AM. Look how much further the east the radar is with the precip shield than the 3 hr NAM was showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 12z NAM much colder as well. Maxing out at only 35 here, 34 in NYC. Still think with some precip and evap cooling it will be even colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 The radar is blowing up and filling all those areas in. Coastal beginning this transformation. Don't worry the adjustment is coming. I think it is clear that this will happen but happen too far East for many of us to experience significant snow amounts. Still a widespread 3" snowfall for most though. Looks like places around Boston could get hammered with 10-14" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 A few flurries in West Babylon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Look how much further the east the radar is with the precip shield than the 3 hr NAM was showing. Looks like it's already filling in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 12z NAM, R/S line right over NYC at 20z. Changes to rain for LI, but then back to snow at the end. Still surprised since the NAM cooled the BL a little bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmc10 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I think it is clear that this will happen but happen too far East for many of us to experience significant snow amounts. Still a widespread 3" snowfall for most though. Looks like places around Boston could get hammered with 10-14" This has always been modeled as a moderate snowfall. That is still the case, we were never expecting huge amounts here. Radar is filling in nicely and should deliver a moderate snowfall to most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Looks like it's already filling in. It is going to fill in but the .5 precip line will be out over LI not over NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmc10 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 It is going to fill in but the .5 precip line will be out over LI not over NYC. How about we just make definitive statements after the storm has departed. I hate all these claims and definitive statements being made before the event even begins. If people knew what was going to happen there would be no need for discussion and no uncertainty. Let's see what happens today and how this unfolds. It is very well possible somewhere like the city could benefit from stronger banding which could boost their total. Precipitation amounts vary greatly across the board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 How about we just make definitive statements after the storm has departed. I hate all these claims and definitive statements being made before the event even begins. If people knew what was going to happen there would be no need for discussion and no uncertainty. Let's see what happens today and how this unfolds. It is very well possible somewhere like the city could benefit from stronger banding which could boost their total. Precipitation amounts vary greatly across the board. This. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 It is going to fill in but the .5 precip line will be out over LI not over NYC. All that convection moving off Hatteras is the system taking over , you see the radar fill in over VA in the last hour, You will see the whole radar light up by 11 am just to your south . Take a look at that deepening 1004 to 988 on the Nam in 12 hours, then to 976 east of boston . Someone up there has to see a foot . Once poast 12z the 925 mb levels back off , and its gona force UPTON to put WWA back up for Nassau and Suffolk counties at least north of LIE . Still think lotta pp see 4 inches just away from the imm shore line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 33.5/ DP 28.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 35/24 1010.7 mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Remember. The initialization has to match up with the OBS at 8 AM. 7am not 8am.. 5 hr difference Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Precip explosion happening over DCA-BWI area spreaing northeastward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Its OVAH. LI would be lucky if they finish as snow and get a dusting from this. NAM has us under light to moderate snow at the end for at least 4 hours. Dusting is too minuscule. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Light to moderate snow just pushed into Liberty NY, from nothing to moderate in minutes.Temp 23 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 7am not 8am.. 5 hr difference Oops. I'm usually forgetful of the exact timing of 00Z and 12Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Current radar looks much better now, lots of precipitation expansion to the SW, and matches up pretty well with the 12z NAM's simulated radar actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Oops. I'm usually forgetful of the exact timing of 00Z and 12Z. 0z = 7pm 6z = 1pm 12= 7am 18z= 1pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 33 degrees here in Brooklyn already UGH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 33/31 awaiting the flakes in c-nj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 33 degrees here in Brooklyn already UGH When precip begins to fall, we'll get some evaportional cooling. For how long will that help us out as the BL warms, who knows? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 33 degrees here in Brooklyn already UGH Its minus 3 at 850 , relax once the precip starts you go back to 0 c even if you get to 35 . Look at the radar in DC and see what evap cooling did for them in the past hour . You will mix today when the 925`s line gets to the coast , but you will go back to Snow and will accumulate after . Patience . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 0z = 7pm 6z = 1pm 12= 7am 18z= 1pm isnt 6z 1AM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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