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January 2013 General Discussion


Chicago Storm

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I wonder if we might pop something in the dryslot tomorrow afternoon. Models have been hinting at it...there is an axis of low instability and freezing levels are tanking by then so maybe some small hail can't be ruled out with anything more vigorous.

Entirely possible.

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I wonder if we might pop something in the dryslot tomorrow afternoon. Models have been hinting at it...there is an axis of low instability and freezing levels are tanking by then so maybe some small hail can't be ruled out with anything more vigorous.

 

 

the most interesting weather prospect for the next 7-10 days

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Figures LAF would stop reporting wind obs late last night. Report of a 47 mph gust at the TV station on the westside.

 

1.34" storm total. 3.57" for the month. Could add a tenth or two if the frontal band/rain develops this afternoon, as hinted by some models.

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Today was one of those days where the record high was uncharacteristically low (53F - 1969)...but it mattered not...as DTW smashed it with a 62F. Oh...and at 4am! Temp has fallen to 50F so I assume we have seen the high for the day. Since the precip has been coming in waves, its kinda hard to tell whats what so the easy breakdown....

 

Jan 28/29 snow/ice component: 0.42" precip (2.0" snow)

Jan 29/30 rainfall: 0.83" (only 0.28" came from that intense band that models showed 1"+ qpf in).

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The most exciting event for the month of January...  Zapping lightning bolts like it was the middle of June or something.

 

 

I just wish we could buy some more legit WINTER weather excitement.  Oh well.  Nicke-and-dime lake effect on the order of 1-3" per day should slowly build the fluffpack back over the next week.  Until the next rainstorm comes in and wrecks it all again.  :axe:

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The most exciting event for the month of January...  Zapping lightning bolts like it was the middle of June or something.

 

 

I just wish we could buy some more legit WINTER weather excitement.  Oh well.  Nicke-and-dime lake effect on the order of 1-3" per day should slowly build the fluffpack back over the next week.  Until the next rainstorm comes in and wrecks it all again.  :axe:

Welcome back 1990-1999.

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Welcome back 1990-1999.

 

'94, '96, and '99 had persistently cold and snowy Januaries as far as I remember.  It seems the 1990s had a lot more good periods in January.  2000-2009 featured more snowy Decembers and Februaries with a lot of uneventful Januaries, either warm and wet or cold and dry.

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So... the weather network app on my phone has 6-8" here tomorrow from lake effect.. but the local forecast only has 1-2"... and EC has 1".

 

WOAH! The weather network just updated the 3pm local forecast to 6-8" here tomorrow. Is this for real? SSC!

 

Some of the hi-res models are painting in a megaband off Huron with upstream connection to both Lake Michigan and Superior getting near or just south of Kitchener.

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High confidence and EC is low-balling, or low confidence and twn is being too generous?

 

If you get into that band, the TWN numbers look fine. It'll be paper thin though and that's where the confidence takes a hit. I think if the 0z runs looks as ambitious as the 12z runs did, EC will bump you up with 5.00am issuance.

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If you get into that band, the TWN numbers look fine. It'll be paper thin though and that's where the confidence takes a hit. I think if the 0z runs looks as ambitious as the 12z runs did, EC will bump you up with 5.00am issuance.

Not gonna hold my breath for the time being but I nearly fell off my chair when I saw those numbers. If t does happen and it's not IMBY I'll take a drive and check it out.

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Snow, Sleet, Freezing Rain Jan 28/29: 0.42" precip, 2.0" snow

Rain portion Jan 29-30: 0.88"

Total since Sunday evening: 1.30"

 

Temp has finally started dropping. As expected what was a winter wonderland 2 days ago is 100% gone now, not even any shovel piles, though there are some dirty plow piles in parking lots still (that you will be able to walk on top of tomorrow :lol:).

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Looks like the front is going to come through after midnight here, meaning it will be another day where the official high is in the low 50s, but where much of our day will be spent in the mid twenties. Quite frustrating has it wreaks havoc on the monthly mean temperature.

Being that I lived in Muskoka for two years, I wanted to see what it has been like there and checked the webcams. I was shocked with how little snowfall they even have there! Looked like a few inches? They should have a couple feet on the ground this time of year!

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16 here with some residual flurries from time to time.  Was out in the open country earlier this evening and was quite surprised at how much blowing snow there was.  Would have been really bad had we had a more significant snow.  Even with our 1" or so of snowpack it looks very wintry out there now, which is nice to see again.

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