cyclone77 Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 GEM looks pretty good for Chicago into much of Michigan. Also gives the QC some love. LAF would catch some tail-end action. Some interesting model opinions we have here lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 Too soon for me to bust out the DAB+? Realistically though if the system were to attempt to take on the negative tilt as it slid up the EC then someone could end up with a surprise switch from heavy rain to heavy snow. However pinpointing that down at this junction is like spinning in a circle while blindfolded then throwing a dart expecting a bullseye. Oh no, not you too (re: DAB)? I've been watching the models all along to see if they try to spin something up behind the front. I don't think it's an unrealistic scenario, but not a lock either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 Oh no, not you too (re: DAB)? I've been watching the models all along to see if they try to spin something up behind the front. I don't think it's an unrealistic scenario, but not a lock either. today's trends have me interested. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 the hell is DAB? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 dusting at best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 dusting at best oh, you kids and your crazy lingo. could have sworn I saw a "DAB+". Not sure how that makes sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 Replace the word sugar with snow and this was pretty much my reaction when just looking out the window: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2NhUFWQV_yU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 oh, you kids and your crazy lingo. could have sworn I saw a "DAB+". Not sure how that makes sense. You can blame Chi Storm (Joe) for DAB, coined last winter. DAB+ = roughly the equivalent of .1"-.2" of accumulation, the average snowfall for storms around here the past couple of years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 Oh no, not you too (re: DAB)? I've been watching the models all along to see if they try to spin something up behind the front. I don't think it's an unrealistic scenario, but not a lock either. Might be the most exciting storm we've seen in a while around here. Not often that we get a chance for sticking snow after getting so much rain. Of course it will be nothing like December 1929 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 Forecast has the Wabash River at Lafayette rising above flood stage and this is only factoring in precip through 7 AM Tuesday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 dead at birth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 You can blame Chi Storm (Joe) for DAB, coined last winter. DAB+ = roughly the equivalent of .1"-.2" of accumulation, the average snowfall for storms around here the past couple of years. Somehow I'm just cluing into this now. Thank for the info IWXwx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 Somehow I'm just cluing into this now. Thank for the info IWXwx. You're welcome. BTW, the LAF crew LOVE that phrase. Thankfully, it's looking like the zr will be minimal around here later this afternoon . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 Well November 29th 2011 I picked up 6 inches.... That storm, like the one you listed, was quite localized. Dec 26/27 wasnt localized, it was a good old fashioned snowstorm that hit the east side of town the hardest. The gray is moving in....tonight should be interesting. Our snowpack has settled to 2.5-3" of powder from our 4" of fluff yesterday. When coming home from Frankenmuth I noticed the city of Detroit itself seemed to have the least snow. Lots of potential ahead...maybe a thump of snow tonight, maybe backside snow wed, then maybe more clippers and les coming up. We had to go 9 days with bare ground after the Jan 11/12 torch..maybe not so long this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 punting until next year today's trends have me interested. Okay Alek, which is it? It's funny how the weather can frustrate you to the point of giving up and then a couple of model runs can suck you back in. If the 00z runs continue to show the back end dump for snow-starved Central/NE IL and points northeast, it could be thread worthy. 6" for ORD? Not a first call, just a possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 Okay Alek, which is it? It's funny how the weather can frustrate you to the point of giving up and then a couple of model runs can suck you back in. If the 00z runs continue to show the back end dump for snow-starved Central/NE IL and points northeast, it could be thread worthy. 6" for ORD? Not a first call, just a possibility. If the backend threats and clippers materialize...DTW could easily be above normal by next week at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 You're welcome. BTW, the LAF crew LOVE that phrase. Thankfully, it's looking like the zr will be minimal around here later this afternoon . tsk, tsk. You can't sh*t a sh*tter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 If you have an hour to kill and like James Spann, Reed Timmer did a podcast with him a few nights ago. Personally, I don't care much for Reed and had to overlook some of his interviewing techniques, but I really enjoy James: http://tvnweather.com/podcast/archives Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 18z NAM gets fun in its later range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 18z NAM gets fun in its later range. Clobbers EVV to IND to DTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 definitely a looker for the eastern lakes. would fit the theme to this winter some too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 Clobbers EVV to IND to DTW It's hard to tell because of the precip being for the previous 6 hours but the best may actually be northwest of there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 It's hard to tell because of the precip being for the previous 6 hours but the best may actually be northwest of there. was about to start a thread if the 18z GFS continues to show it. Only model that doesn't have it is the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 Clobbers EVV to IND to DTW 3-6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 euro has been dog **** to. has the feel of the December Detroit storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 27, 2013 Author Share Posted January 27, 2013 3-6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 definitely a looker for the central lakes. would fit the theme to this winter some too. fyp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 fyp yeah nam hoses us both. never a fan of these setups but someone could score a decent hit with the new snow standards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 The funny thing is that 1967 has been showing up as a pattern analog. It looks like we're about to have a severe threat unseasonably far north just like January of that year, but the winter storm part may not be quite the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 euro has been dog **** to. has the feel of the December Detroit storm This is true. It's had some shaky/stanky performances this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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