TugHillMatt Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Hoping some snow starved areas can get some snow from the WAA tomorrow. Perhaps not lose it all before the cold comes? A couple models are even showing a couple inches for West Michigan from some lake enhancement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Some very cold air not all that far away already. Near -20 as close by as northern Minnesota. Poised and ready to drop south in a few days.... http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/20/jan17.jpg/'> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ukrocks Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 After a minor sleet storm on Tuesday, today we got to near 50 while the deep-south got a nice little snow event. Future looks dry and cold here. May not hit freezing two consecutive days here next week. All I want is a nice 6+ inch snowstorm and then we can send the storms up north to you guys. But at this rate, we aren't going to see more than flurries here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Down to 14° at this hour. No WAA yet. Lock in hour 300 on the GFS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Down to 14° at this hour. No WAA yet. Lock in hour 300 on the GFS! Lol, an almost exact repeat of 12/20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Down to 14° at this hour. No WAA yet. Lock in hour 300 on the GFS! I was going to mention it. A storm like that to end January with would make up for the boring January periods prior to that. That's the beauty of being a big storm lover rather than a snow cover lover, one storm can make up for a lot of heartbreak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Regarding the upcoming cold snap, here's something for the LAF people. I mentioned the raw model output showing dewpoints of -15 or less here on Tuesday. I went back and found 97 days with dewpoints of -15 or lower at LAF since 1973. 94 out of those 97 days had a low temperature below zero. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Flakes in the air and temperature has risen to 20 F. Solid area of precip in central WI, looks like Milwaukee has a better chance than Madison at cashing in on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Just had a decent band come through, have the fluffiest dusting ever on cars, sidewalks, and roads. Always get this really fluffy snow when it's so cold out, 16 F on top of the met building even though warm air advection has been ongoing all night. The real band is sliding past well to the north, up around Devil's Lake. I bet some people will see 1-2" in that. Impressive 40-50 kt LLJ roaring from Iowa to Minneapolis, here comes the real warm up, NWS saying it'll get up to 40 F but GFS says more like mid 30s. Special weather statement just issued for slippery roads, pavement is so cold that none of this fluff is gonna melt until we get some sun in a couple hours: TEMPERATURES DURING THE SNOWFALL WILL REMAIN IN THE 15 TO 25DEGREE RANGE...WELL BELOW FREEZING. HENCE THE LIGHT SNOW WILLACCUMULATE ON UNTREATED ROADWAYS...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN SOMESLIPPERY SPOTS AND STRETCHES. EARLY MORNING COMMUTERS IN THESEAREAS SHOULD TAKE EXTRA PRECAUTION THIS MORNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Wow thats surprising. What did you get down to on Jan 2? DTW hit 7F with 5" snowpack, I think your snowpack was similar. Maybe bad radiational cooling conditions? slightly less snowpack and clouds inhibited radiational cooling that day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Still a LONG way to go this month...but it is time to start taking a peak at January snowfall futility. Snowcover-wise, this January is already guarenteed to not even touch the top 25 barest Januaries...but only 0.6" of snow has fallen so far. Top 10 least snowy Januaries 01.) 0.4" - 1933 02.) 0.8" - 1921 03.) 0.9" - 1932 04.) 1.1" - 1916 05.) 1.4" - 1894 06.) 1.4" - 1935 07.) 1.5" - 1891 08.) 1.5" - 1983 09.) 1.6" - 1890 10.) 1.7" - 1919 11.) 1.9" - 1944 12.) 2.4" - 1973 13.) 2.6" - 1896 14.) 2.8" - 1980 15.) 2.9" - 1955 16.) 3.3" - 1942 17.) 3.3" - 1961 18.) 3.4" - 1958 19.) 3.4" - 2001 20.) 3.7" - 1882 Side note...what an absolute DISASTER January 1932-35 was Year.......Snow....1"+ snwcover days...Mean temp.....notes 1932.......0.9"..........0...........36.7F......warmest Jan....3rd least snowy...18 days over 40F, 7 days over 50F 1933.......0.4"..........0...........34.7F......4th warmest Jan....least snowy...17 days over 40F, 1 day over 50F, 0.4" snow Jan 30th only snow of Jan 1934.......6.0"..........8...........30.0F......9 days over 40F, 3 days over 50F 1935.......1.4"..........4...........24.8F......5th least snowy....5 days over 40F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Still a LONG way to go this month...but it is time to start taking a peak at January snowfall futility. Snowcover-wise, this January is already guarenteed to not even touch the top 25 barest Januaries...but only 0.6" of snow has fallen so far. Top 10 least snowy Januaries 01.) 0.4" - 1933 02.) 0.8" - 1921 03.) 0.9" - 1932 04.) 1.1" - 1916 05.) 1.4" - 1894 06.) 1.4" - 1935 07.) 1.5" - 1891 08.) 1.5" - 1983 09.) 1.6" - 1890 10.) 1.7" - 1919 11.) 1.9" - 1944 12.) 2.4" - 1973 13.) 2.6" - 1896 14.) 2.8" - 1980 15.) 2.9" - 1955 16.) 3.3" - 1942 17.) 3.3" - 1961 18.) 3.4" - 1958 19.) 3.4" - 2001 20.) 3.7" - 1882 Side note...what an absolute DISASTER January 1932-35 was Year.......Snow....1"+ snwcover days...Mean temp.....notes 1932.......0.9"..........0...........36.7F......warmest Jan....3rd least snowy...18 days over 40F, 7 days over 50F 1933.......0.4"..........0...........34.7F......4th warmest Jan....least snowy...17 days over 40F, 1 day over 50F, 0.4" snow Jan 30th only snow of Jan 1934.......6.0"..........8...........30.0F......9 days over 40F, 3 days over 50F 1935.......1.4"..........4...........24.8F......5th least snowy....5 days over 40F Josh, I think we are in a 1932-1935 type period now.... Disaster, thankfully it will end eventually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 What was the total precip for those 4 years for the month of January ?? In a glance I think the overall rsult of snowless is the same but the winters are much different feel to them. I hope... 3 more winter like this will drive many into the poor house. There are alot of industries and regions of the north which count on the snow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 We actually had a little burst of snow this morning... Add another 1/4 to 1/2 inch to the total... Another band looks like it is trying to form. Still waiting to see over an inch from a non-lake effect event around here. At least the ground is somewhat white! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 We actually had a little burst of snow this morning... Add another 1/4 to 1/2 inch to the total... Another band looks like it is trying to form. Still waiting to see over an inch from a non-lake effect event around here. At least the ground is somewhat white! Nothing but flurries here. Ground is bare again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnweather Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 3.5" of new snow today and still coming down moderately. Best event of the winter so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Jumped 6 degrees between observations, up to 38 now with a SW wind gusting to 33mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 3.5" of new snow today and still coming down moderately. Best event of the winter so far. At least someone's getting snow today! Low over achieved this morning at 10°. Up to 34 37° now. GGEM showing that arctic front snow still.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 At least someone's getting snow today! Low over achieved this morning at 10°. Up to 34 37° now. GGEM showing that arctic front snow still.. It did back off a bit from previous runs. Looking at the soundings from the NAM and GFS, the issue is the wave runs into a brick wall of dry air aloft once to northern IL. I'm less optimistic than I was a few days ago but there's still time for changes. It would be nice if the Canadian could be right and an inch or so of snow falls to see how cold we get Mon night. The NAM has -26 (!) 850s over us late Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 At least someone's getting snow today! Low over achieved this morning at 10°. Up to 34 37° now. GGEM showing that arctic front snow still.. It did back off a bit from previous runs. Looking at the soundings from the NAM and GFS, the issue is the wave runs into a brick wall of dry air aloft once to northern IL. It would be nice if the Canadian could be right and an inch or so of snow falls to see how cold we get Mon night. The NAM has -26 (!) 850s over us late Monday. Darn dry air... I was just looking at the Canadian for Monday. A robust clipper compared to the GFS. I have a feeling this cold snap is going to lead to some water pipe breaks some places. Edit: That wind today is not enjoyable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Up to 36 F in Madison and 45 F at Prairie Du Chien Most of southern WI gusting over 30 mph, bad day to be an old pile of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 On that GGEM map, the lightest blue shade (Chicago area) is only 0.1 mm to 0.5 mm of liquid in 3 hours...which translates to 0.004" to 0.02" of liquid. So, even taking the higher end of that range and assuming a 20:1 ratio, it's only 0.4" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 up to 45 here. average high is 26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 On that GGEM map, the lightest blue shade (Chicago area) is only 0.1 mm to 0.5 mm of liquid in 3 hours...which translates to 0.004" to 0.02" of liquid. So, even taking the higher end of that range and assuming a 20:1 ratio, it's only 0.4" of snow. Thanks for pointing that out. I was thinking that was cm for some reason. I'm surprised that the model would even bother plotting under 1mm of water. A non-event for the GGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Thanks for pointing that out. I was thinking that was cm for some reason. I'm surprised that the model would even bother plotting under 1mm of water. A non-event for the GGEM. No problem! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Temp keeps climbing, up to 43. MKE reported a gust to 47mph the last hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Temp keeps climbing, up to 43. MKE reported a gust to 47mph the last hour. You're beating UGN and MBY by 2°. Sun is really filtered atm though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Brutal wind today. Feels bone chilling outside even with warmer temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Your beating UGN and MBY by 2°. Sun is really filtered atm though. Winds are mixing down nicely today, should add a few more degrees to that today. Might be even warmer tomorrow with mid 50's being reported back in Iowa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Well, most of this morning's snow has melted. Time to hibernate inside until tomorrow night when the arctic front comes and lake effect begins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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