michsnowfreak Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Maybe just one week of CRAP for you....but some of us have been buried in it for months! A friend commutes weekly from Grand Rapids to Howell. He said not only is there more snowpack in SE MI than GRR, but on the road he notices when he gets west of Lansing for a while there is an area with NO snowcover! That is crazy. Things looking up for all past mid-month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Looks like the weather might get snowy after the warm up. GFS has some very nice white dreams in the long term. Fantacy land yes but at least there is something to look forward too. The storms seem to start NW and march SE with every one dropping more southernly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 A friend commutes weekly from Grand Rapids to Howell. He said not only is there more snowpack in SE MI than GRR, but on the road he notices when he gets west of Lansing for a while there is an area with NO snowcover! That is crazy. Things looking up for all past mid-month. Yeah, I know what area you're talking about. I saw it on my way back during Christmas. We lost most of the little snowpack we had with yesterday's screw job. Atleast it will be easier to take this week's thaw not having to watch some nice snowpack vanish away. I sure hope we see SOME snow after mid month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 NWS showing us getting up to 39F next week... Snowpack isn't very substantial around here, so its going to take a hard hit, if not disappear entirely, especially if the rain monster shows up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Fantasy land obviously, but the 12z GFS has big bomb potential at 180 hours. Tick, tick, tick... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 NWS showing us getting up to 39F next week... Snowpack isn't very substantial around here, so its going to take a hard hit, if not disappear entirely, especially if the rain monster shows up. Your area does appear to miss the bulk of the torch... 39 is a reasonable call. My backyard on the other hand is likely to hit 55. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Prediction: storms going OTS is not going to be a problem over the next 3 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Prediction: storms going OTS is not going to be a problem over the next 3 weeks. Dude I'm telling ya...I'm kinda excited for the second half/post torch. I really think this is the best potential we've all had in a long time. Time will tell... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Dude I'm telling ya...I'm kinda excited for the second half/post torch. I really think this is the best potential we've all had in a long time. Time will tell... I know its long range, but the GFS and Euro are showing this cold snap to be temporary... We have the Neg NAO, but no block. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Dude I'm telling ya...I'm kinda excited for the second half/post torch. I really think this is the best potential we've all had in a long time. Time will tell... Revving up the bus? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 The cold front did it's job and knocked us back into winter. Got down to 15 this morning, effectively shutting off the dripping sounds that were heard outside all day yesterday. The slushy snowpack is now back to a solid glacier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 I know its long range, but the GFS and Euro are showing this cold snap to be temporary... We have the Neg NAO, but no block. lol, what? Both sets of ensembles are good to go for cold from mid month onward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Revving up the bus? Fueled up and ready to go. Many seats available... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 lol, what? Both sets of ensembles are good to go for cold from mid month onward. Let's hope.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Let's hope.... There's no signs on the modeling (ensembles) that this is a temporary cold blast. But nothing is ever set in stone. I really believe it's going to be a fun period of winter for many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Prediction: storms going OTS is not going to be a problem over the next 3 weeks. SE Ridge FTW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Fueled up and ready to go. Many seats available... I'll jump on board...and I'll even give the driver a nice tip. Reading the tea leaves in other sub-forums and on the main board, it appears we'll first jump into a gradient pattern after the potential pattern-changing storm around Jan. 12. This will provide some opportunities for snow (with "decent" cold)...laying the foundation for more impressive cold for the last 10 days of the month. Of course it's far out in time...but my main takeaway is that we shouldn't expect a quick change to real arctic cold. Selfishly in the short-term, I'm hoping the warm-up over the next 7 days doesn't destroy the snow cover up north too much. We need as much snow cover as possible in order to fuel the gradient pattern and set the table for cold later on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 There's no signs on the modeling (ensembles) that this is a temporary cold blast. But nothing is ever set in stone. I really believe it's going to be a fun period of winter for many. I'm about to head into my garage and polish my s********e, gotta be ready. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobertSul Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 I'm about to head into my garage and polish my s********e, gotta be ready. You really are a petty little baby-troll. I hope you're getting all the smug self-satisfaction you're looking for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 NWS point has us back into the upper 30s tomorrow and Tuesday, and then 40s from Wed-Sat. Our 1-2" of snow cover should be all gone by Tue, so with the newly barren soil temps could easily overachieve later in the week. Wouldn't be surprised to see a few 50s around these parts. Just gonna embrace the warmth and enjoy it before the major surge of cold air. Hopefully we can get some new snow cover by mid month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 I'll jump on board...and I'll even give the driver a nice tip. Reading the tea leaves in other sub-forums and on the main board, it appears we'll first jump into a gradient pattern after the potential pattern-changing storm around Jan. 12. This will provide some opportunities for snow (with "decent" cold)...laying the foundation for more impressive cold for the last 10 days of the month. Of course it's far out in time...but my main takeaway is that we shouldn't expect a quick change to real arctic cold. Selfishly in the short-term, I'm hoping the warm-up over the next 7 days doesn't destroy the snow cover up north too much. We need as much snow cover as possible in order to fuel the gradient pattern and set the table for cold later on. Completely agree Beavis. It won't be instant arctic cold, but we don't want that. Core of the cold will be just to our west initially, which puts us in the battle zone. And I can't see it, deep cold, racing east immediately. It will eventually, for us, but in the meantime...a lot of potential fun to be had. Hopefully it all pans out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 lol, what? Both sets of ensembles are good to go for cold from mid month onward. Completely agree Beavis. It won't be instant arctic cold, but we don't want that. Core of the cold will be just to our west initially, which puts us in the battle zone. And I can't see it, deep cold, racing east immediately. It will eventually, for us, but in the meantime...a lot of potential fun to be had. Hopefully it all pans out. DLL is dropping the ball, so I'll post it: I'm liking those temperature profiles for some good midwinter action. As you said the GL/OV doesn't look to get dumped on with arctic air right away, but our area should be in play for any storm systems during this time period.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 I don't have any 50s in my forecast, but mid 40s I do. I'll get my Christmas lights down during those milder days. Decreasing clouds now at 28°. Nice layer of ice on the driveway from yesterdays slush refreezing. Yep, don't want Arctic air right away. That will only cause it to be drier than normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Prediction: storms going OTS is not going to be a problem over the next 3 weeks. What a run of the GFS for 12z! Wow! What would I give for that storm on the 17th to actually happen and then have bitter cold move in behind it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 You really are a petty little baby-troll. I hope you're getting all the smug self-satisfaction you're looking for. 117 posts in 2 years.... Do you know why I typed that post like that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 117 posts in 2 years.... Do you know why I typed that post like that? As an outsider looking in, I'd say because you are trolling Stebo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Wow...actually getting some nice lake effect snow showers...dusting the ground again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Dude I'm telling ya...I'm kinda excited for the second half/post torch. I really think this is the best potential we've all had in a long time. Time will tell... The regime over the next several days is an absolute catastrophe for winter lovers...the period after that almost has to be better simply because it can snow when it's cold. There should be chances after we flip but somebody will probably come out of it feeling cheated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 The regime over the next several days is an absolute catastrophe for winter lovers...the period after that almost has to be better simply because it can snow when it's cold. There should be chances after we flip but somebody will probably come out of it feeling cheated. Uh oh.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobertSul Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 117 posts in 2 years.... Do you know why I typed that post like that? Yup, which should be a BIG indication that even an outsider sees that you're trolling Stebo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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