Harry Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 I was just getting at that rain during the winter doesn't fill ground water supplies up unless you're in an area with a lack of frost depth. This rain might help raise the Mississippi River up enough stave off a barge halt because the water level is so low. Anyway, sounds like you have a good time in the great white north! Just a few flakes now. Never really saw any drizzle or sleet today. I think bows point has more to do with the record low water levels on Lake Michigan etc.. Why i say any type of precip ( rain/snow/sleet ) is good precip right now across this region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 WTF is it with the winter cancellation type posts? Sure I95 corridor may struggle ( especially south of Boston ) for a while but most in this region should be set after this week. Most of what JB cries about has to do with I95 not this region. Oh and Ottawa you need to chill. +105 Yes on both. I took him to the Bird Park hill. He gets a lil freaked out of the river at at the bottom of poop hill, lol. lol yeah, can't blame him really. Too many times when I was young we ended up skidding out onto the ice at poop hill. Well, if there was ice on the river. Bird Park works...at least the hill there isn't pointed directly at the river. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 WTF is it with the winter cancellation type posts? Sure I95 corridor may struggle ( especially south of Boston ) for a while but most in this region should be set after this week. Most of what JB cries about has to do with I95 not this region. Oh and Ottawa you need to chill. My last post was intended to be funny. JB always used to throw that joke out. I imagine he'll be "feeling the heat" from his I-95 subscribers over the next week. Only goes to show that being a meteorologist is a "high pressure job". I'm sure winter will return after next week after which I will most certainly be able to chill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 I think bows point has more to do with the record low water levels on Lake Michigan etc.. Why i say any type of precip ( rain/snow/sleet ) is good precip right now across this region. The lake is definitely important. We need a wet pattern all around to start bringing them all up. I mention ground water because I'm on a well and have studied ground water movements and recharge. The CPC outlooks look good. Let's hope some of it's snow! lol 37°/17° for today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Have had a blast the past week or so. The cold and snow on the ground has done wonders to my outlook. As for tonights snow about 0.2" totals as of now. Wonder how much more??? Might hit the 1/2" mark.... Full salt run no matter what!! $$$ As for the lakes, a quick storm or two will not do much. The ground water table is so low that any substancial liquid get sucked up by the soil. Haven't seen a puddle in months in this region. I'm hoping for a very long winter with lots of snow pack followed by a spring with many heavy flood like rains. There were boat docks yesterday with no water under them, NTM the boat on the slings suspended over rocks !! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Snowing really nicely outside...looks like an 1-2" are set in stone for sure.... +SN here close to 2" so far... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 +SN here close to 2" so far... Yup, over an inch here for sure.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 00z MEX is popping a 61 here next Saturday, which would be almost 30 degrees above average. I don't know if I've ever seen that a week out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 00z MEX is popping a 61 here next Saturday, which would be almost 30 degrees above average. I don't know if I've ever seen that a week out. Nice to see MEX MOS has the LAF warm bias integrated. Highest temp in the state for next Saturday outside of EVV and HNB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Nice to see MEX MOS has the LAF warm bias integrated. Highest temp in the state for next Saturday outside of EVV and HNB. lol who is HNB? A quick look at the setup and factoring in MOS bias suggests we'd probably surpass 61 if it evolves like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 N. Oakland county wins again again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 lol who is HNB? A quick look at the setup and factoring in MOS bias suggests we'd probably surpass 61 if it evolves like that. Huntingburg, southern Indiana. Low to mid 70's first call for you know who? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Cold surge is still on target..... Yesterday it was 216 hours out until the front comes through, now its 180 hours.. We just have to grind through until Sunday, one week of CRAP... maybe 6 days techincally, supposed to be low 30's here tomorrow. Dec 21st - Jan 7th: Cold Jan 8th - Jan 13th: Warm Jan 14th - ???????: Cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Huntingburg, southern Indiana. Low to mid 70's first call for you know who? Let's not go overboard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Let's not go overboard. Yeah but....you know who (Chad) likes to do that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Freaking downsloping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Pretty much right on 1" here. Gotta admit, I've had at least a trace on the ground for 15 days and 5"+ for 11 days, and that's pretty nice after last winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Temps falling back now as the cold front just passed through. Should be in the teens later in the night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Yeah but....you know who (Chad) likes to do that. It will be interesting to see what he thinks. I don't think he's posted about it yet. We might even wipe out the bigger piles if it gets that warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 I can't believe the GFS is that warm this far out, but it warrant's it. And it's still to cool in many spots. Obviously initially snow cover North of me will definitely help out a bit. But this Cut-Off keeps being slowed down, it's likely still a bit to fast and heights keep getting pumped up and mid-level temps continue to come in warmer and the models are finally catching on to more realistic surface temps in a scenario like this. My Snow is already almost all gone. So it doesn't matter much now. From a forecaster's perspective the models leading up to this will get better but in many area's will be over playing the left over snow cover. Tough forecast's coming up. Anyone the GGEM after 144? The GGEM appears to have a bit of a longer lasting Torch than the GFS. I do not like that energy swinging so far to the SW and closing off at 144 with the ridge building over the South and not depicted here but very warm air flowing in from the Deep South West Flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Cold surge is still on target..... Yesterday it was 216 hours out until the front comes through, now its 180 hours.. We just have to grind through until Sunday, one week of CRAP... maybe 6 days techincally, supposed to be low 30's here tomorrow. Dec 21st - Jan 7th: Cold Jan 8th - Jan 13th: Warm Jan 14th - ???????: Cold Maybe just one week of CRAP for you....but some of us have been buried in it for months! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 GFS flips everything on D7 about (Sunday). Would like to see the cut off eject out a bit quicker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 00z MEX is popping a 61 here next Saturday, which would be almost 30 degrees above average. I don't know if I've ever seen that a week out. Pretty incredible to see that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 GFS flips everything on D7 about (Sunday). Would like to see the cut off eject out a bit quicker. Me too as the stronger solutions predicate on the initial cut off ejecting quicker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Euro looks like it has a 1000-1004mb low over Chicago at 192, that's a solution I could live with, though not the strong runs it showed earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Most unnotable precip event of the year so far, 2 hours of light snow and drizzle.Temp up to 36 F, seeing some melting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Pretty incredible to see that. I was thinking about it again and wondering if it might've happened this past March. Ended up having some days over +30 then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 WTF is it with the winter cancellation type posts? Sure I95 corridor may struggle ( especially south of Boston ) for a while but most in this region should be set after this week. Most of what JB cries about has to do with I95 not this region. Oh and Ottawa you need to chill. I know, right!? Its not even like the models are showing some massive lasting torch. It will get warm, and very likely melt all our snow (we have had snow on the ground since Dec 21st), but after a few days right back into winter we go. We had a fresh 0.6" of fluffy snow tonight (0.03" water content), very interesting in that it stuck to everything including the pavement, did a very nice refresher job of the snowpack, and yet temps were 32-33F while it snowed and have since risen to 34F, yet the snow is still sitting there with a nice fresh look. Feels balmy outside, looks a winter wonderland. Small amounts of fresh snow do WONDERS for an old snowpack, especially around the edges. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 +SN here close to 2" so far... I should have known when I saw a fluffy 0.6" when I expected like a trace that the snow would be "piling" up up there . N Oakland wins again! The real snowbelt in southern MI anymore is not SW MI, its Detroits northern suburbs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 It will be interesting to see what he thinks. I don't think he's posted about it yet. We might even wipe out the bigger piles if it gets that warm. As ugly as they will be, Id like to keep most of the snowbanks everywhere. You get a fresh coat of white and they can make a 2" snowfall looks so much better lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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