Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 On 12/28/2012 at 8:55 PM, CT Rain said: Certainly possible. I'm just going by synoptics here haven't had time to dig at all... been skiing all day. Was just a phenomenal day! Yeah I could see S CT doing OK as long as everything goes as planned. Just checked out the Euro and the Euro screams sucker hole to me for most of N CT along the I-84 corridor. You can see a local min in QPF. Have to understand too that the models, by and large, really broadbrush QPF forecasts and while the "sucker hole" is noticeable, but unimpressive, on the Euro QPF fields I bet it is much uglier in reality. Dec 26, 2010 scarred you lol. But I see that possibility too somewhere around there possibly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Wwa here 3-5 chuck em Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 On 12/28/2012 at 8:55 PM, CT Rain said: Certainly possible. I'm just going by synoptics here haven't had time to dig at all... been skiing all day. Was just a phenomenal day! Yeah I could see S CT doing OK as long as everything goes as planned. Just checked out the Euro and the Euro screams sucker hole to me for most of N CT along the I-84 corridor. You can see a local min in QPF. Have to understand too that the models, by and large, really broadbrush QPF forecasts and while the "sucker hole" is noticeable, but unimpressive, on the Euro QPF fields I bet it is much uglier in reality. Agree. I can see BDL getting like 2" while Middletown gets 4-5" and the precip shield erodes as it pushes north. I like where I stand for once. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 RGEM went weenie-ish on us again at 18z...now has over an inch of QPF from about GHG-TAN southeastward...and over half inch even to ORE-BAF. Its almost certainly overdone, but the trend continues to be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 On 12/28/2012 at 8:58 PM, CoastalWx said: Dec 26, 2010 scarred you lol. But I see that possibility too somewhere around there possibly. Ugh I know. I still can't think of it without cringing or shedding a tear. Seriously though there will be sort of a dead zone tomorrow. I'm impressed with how things look for Boston through SE Mass and maybe Rhode Island too with a bit of luck. Those places deserve it so I'm happy that this looks like it will be a fun one for that area. Back here... meh... probably nothing special for I-84 corridor barring some mesoscale fun. Coastal CT especially from my parents house in Guilford and maybe up through Ginx have a better chance for a 3 or 4 hour period of good snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 OKX going 38 tomorrow for a high. Only maybe before snow starts. We will be near 30 by afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 On 12/28/2012 at 9:05 PM, ctsnowstorm628 said: Agree. I can see BDL getting like 2" while Middletown gets 4-5" and the precip shield erodes as it pushes north. I like where I stand for once. Lol Yeah... but Middletown never does well so I'd say your area back through Guilford/Branford could squeeze out the higher totals. Again I really haven't been able to forecast this with all available tools... just a quick glance at the synoptics here. Maybe there are positives that I just haven't seen yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Snow starts ripping by like 10:00 am in s ct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 On 12/28/2012 at 9:10 PM, CT Blizz said: Snow starts ripping by like 10:00 am in s ct I'm curious. What's your call for ct man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 On 12/28/2012 at 9:11 PM, ctsnowstorm628 said: I'm curious. What's your call for ct man 4-8 statewide with a weenie band or 2 somewhere in e/ ne ct into NRI that gets 10 or 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 On 12/28/2012 at 9:05 PM, ORH_wxman said: RGEM went weenie-ish on us again at 18z...now has over an inch of QPF from about GHG-TAN southeastward...and over half inch even to ORE-BAF. Its almost certainly overdone, but the trend continues to be good. For shts and gigs, what is it down this way? On the cell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 On 12/28/2012 at 9:13 PM, CT Blizz said: 4-8 statewide with a weenie band or 2 somewhere in e/ ne ct into NRI that gets 10 or 11 Within the realm of possibility. I'm goin 4-7" from like guilford/Madison northeast through Steve. 3-5" for you I think. I'm out til late but I'm making a map when I can. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 On 12/28/2012 at 9:13 PM, CT Blizz said: 4-8 statewide with a weenie band or 2 somewhere in e/ ne ct into NRI that gets 10 or 11 That would be great. I think you're too high by a factor of 2... but I would love a 4-8 kinda deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 On 12/28/2012 at 9:16 PM, CT Rain said: That would be great. I think you're too high by a factor of 2... but I would love a 4-8 kinda deal. Sounds reasonable south and east though. Too high NW of 84 for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 On 12/28/2012 at 9:16 PM, CT Rain said: That would be great. I think you're too high by a factor of 2... but I would love a 4-8 kinda deal. You get Shabbs text? Take em up up up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 On 12/28/2012 at 8:45 PM, weathafella said: I still think 3-6 for MBY is the best call based on everything I've seen the past 2 days. NWS afternoon update agrees: TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 6 INCHES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Zone forecast has 4-8" RI/SE MA, so looks like they will pull the warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 On 12/28/2012 at 9:22 PM, mattmfm said: Zone forecast has 4-8" RI/SE MA, so looks like they will pull the warning. think they are going watches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 On 12/28/2012 at 9:25 PM, Tropopause_Fold said: think they are going watches Yup, Watches for the 4-8 bloc with WWA outside of that. Still a bit of wiggle room in the next 12 hours but this seems like a solid forecast to me at this point in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Noyes upped.... 5 for all of SNE...7 nrn CT, nrn RI, SE MA (mentioned 9 likely in Foxboro, Sharon) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 AWT. SNE snowbelt @MattNoyesNECN: Just aired new accums map on @NECN - will tweet soon - 6" stripe from last night now 7" Ern CT/Nrn RI/interior SE MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 On 12/28/2012 at 8:45 PM, weathafella said: I still think 3-6 for MBY is the best call based on everything I've seen the past 2 days. Agree, as posted earlier... Though, if we bust, we bust too low. Writing is on the wall. 18z GFS: better vorticity rounding base of trough vs. 12z... this is gonna be a good run, methinks... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 I doubt this amount's to more than 5-6" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 18z GFS coming in slightly more amped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Yes, Little NW of 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Falalalalalalala lock it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 not sure what's up with the low levels on the GFS...remain significantly milder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 GFS will deliver the goods nicely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 h5 contours digging ~50 miles more southeast... this is gonna be an earlier capture, better run for EMA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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