CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 The comma head will be hellacious, just where does it end up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Yea climo says that in this situation. OT but nobody mentioned, fooking cold Euro run, holy heck and oh who starts the Jan 3rd threat thread. Your area is tough... I could see it going either way. You could rip if cold conveyor belt starts going to town or you could be under subsidence and screwed. I wouldn't be surprised if you got 2" or 7" to be honest lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 http://ge.ssec.wisc.edu/modis-today/index.php?satellite=a1&product=true_color&date=2012_12_28_363&overlay_sector=false&overlay_state=true&overlay_coastline=true§or=USA4&resolution=250m Thanks should be all white to the coast come Sunday as all of SNE locks in deep pack. I'm surprised NW RI had no snow. They must have torched yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Jan 27 2008 incoming? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 The comma head will be hellacious, just where does it end up? Here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Man should be another fun storm... BTV going with a general 4-8" in this area. Winter Weather Advisory now up for the Greens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 NAM has .52 for BOS per FOUS. All snow fwiw with the warmest BL temps at 0C. .38 falls between 30 and 36 hours so it should be a very fun evening tomorrow. Solid event....certainly 3-6 and if we get lucky a tick or 2 higher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Here? I think you could get quite the wind dirven pasting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Thanks should be all white to the coast come Sunday as all of SNE locks in deep pack. I'm surprised NW RI had no snow. They must have torched yesterday. Oh yea that and heavy heavy rain yesterday morning, poof went the squeaky old lady Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 The NAM was the farthest NW track of the guidance down the stretch on the last system. just sayin' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Here? As rain..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 I agree. I think the jump of best forcing and mid level low centers will be too late for my backyard (probably a 1-3 or 2-4 kinda deal most of CT) but once the mid level low jumps it will rip for a eastern areas. I like the PVD to Sharon/Foxborough kinda deal south toward TAN and depending on boundary layer issues the canal and places like Sandwich etc. When you get a jump of 850/700mb centers you can get sort of a sucker hole when that occurs. If I were to pick a place for that to occur it would be E NY and W SNE lol. If that jump can happen earlier then we'd be in better shape. Yeah a lot of the guidance today has been picking up on that sucker hole. When the secondary starts going to town, that initial band of snow from the primary just dries up very quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Jan 27 2008 incoming? Not a terrible comparison actually. Marginal air mass and system that took all day to get going but went nuts when it finally did Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Your area is tough... I could see it going either way. You could rip if cold conveyor belt starts going to town or you could be under subsidence and screwed. I wouldn't be surprised if you got 2" or 7" to be honest lol. Thanks, I think the sucker hole judging by the Euro would be much further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Not a terrible comparison actually. Marginal air mass and system that took all day to get going but went nuts when it finally did Messenger starting his tracker to drive off his 150' cliff, only to get 13" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 As rain..... Yeah definitely a chunk of the event. If it actually does develop a solid left flank it would flip though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Not a terrible comparison actually. Marginal air mass and system that took all day to get going but went nuts when it finally did What was the end result with that system...somehow I don't remember it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 What was the end result with that system...somehow I don't remember it... http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/climate/pns/Jan_27-28_2008.txt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 I was half joking, but it popped in my head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 MRG to ALB dryslot? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 What was the end result with that system...somehow I don't remember it... http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/climate/pns/Jan_27-28_2008.txt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 http://www.erh.noaa...._27-28_2008.txt lol....we'd have to root then for futility to keep our sanity... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 I still think 3-6 for MBY is the best call based on everything I've seen the past 2 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Your area is tough... I could see it going either way. You could rip if cold conveyor belt starts going to town or you could be under subsidence and screwed. I wouldn't be surprised if you got 2" or 7" to be honest lol. I think windham, middlesex, and new London counties are a general 4-7. Most models are 0.40-0.70" qpf so 4-7" is pretty general, considering there should be decent ratios and growth from these locations into SE mass. 3-5" fairfield, new haven and Tolland counties. 2-4" litchfield and Hartford counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Yeah definitely a chunk of the event. If it actually does develop a solid left flank it would flip though O definitely. Would be fun to watch temps crash from northwest to southeast if the left flank develops enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 WWA for all of Srn CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Upton going with WWAs for all zones...but mention the possibility of a few 6"+ amounts in their CT zones. Reasonable call at this point considering it is really a borderline event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 O definitely. Would be fun to watch temps crash from northwest to southeast if the left flank develops enough Yeah I still have some serious doubts/lack of confidence on this whole thing. I haven't had a chc to even look at the euro outside of my iPhone yet either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Messenger starting his tracker to drive off his 150' cliff, only to get 13" of snow. lol...I remember that storm. I saved the weenie messenger band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 I think windham, middlesex, and new London counties are a general 4-7. Most models are 0.40-0.70" qpf so 4-7" is pretty general, considering there should be decent ratios and growth from these locations into SE mass. 3-5" fairfield, new haven and Tolland counties. 2-4" litchfield and Hartford counties. Certainly possible. I'm just going by synoptics here haven't had time to dig at all... been skiing all day. Was just a phenomenal day! Yeah I could see S CT doing OK as long as everything goes as planned. Just checked out the Euro and the Euro screams sucker hole to me for most of N CT along the I-84 corridor. You can see a local min in QPF. Have to understand too that the models, by and large, really broadbrush QPF forecasts and while the "sucker hole" is noticeable, but unimpressive, on the Euro QPF fields I bet it is much uglier in reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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