Max Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Hmmm seems like everything went as I had thought since two nights ago. I'm happy with the result so far even if I'm only getting 6 to 10 inches of fluff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I'm upgrading from 3-6" to 5-10" for Boston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Woah, Euro and Nam both. Quite the thrust to the finish line. Looking more like could be seeing some 8-12" totals in the jackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 What does this do for p-type issues I could have on s. shore? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RI Rob Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Not sure if my 5-8 for Cumberland should be bumped up to a 7-10 forecast. Thoughts? Or am I being over confident. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 06z nam on board with the comma crusher too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 06z nam on board with the comma crusher too Woa, isn't it a crusher. Greatest pressure falls and to the northwest of the low's track during those pressure falls is the comma head. Comma head = greatest pressure falls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Verbatim, blizzard conditions for parts of Eastern MA... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Nice overnight developments! Happy for the crushjob the BOS area peeps are in line for. Looks like we'll grab a piece of the action up here as well. GYX hoisted WWAs for south NH and coastal Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 425am WSW up for much of Eastern MA Box going with 4-8" for Boston metro Statement as of 4:25 AM EST on December 29, 2012 ... Winter Storm Warning in effect from noon today to 7 am EST Sunday... The National Weather Service in Taunton has issued a Winter Storm Warning for heavy snow... which is in effect from noon today to 7 am EST Sunday. * Locations... northeast Connecticut into the greater Boston area. * Hazard types... heavy snow. * Accumulations... snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches. * Uncertainty... snow will mix with rain at times along the eastern Massachusetts coastline... including the city of Boston. Therefore highest snow amounts will likely occur across Metro west including the Route 128 and Interstate 495 corridors of eastern Massachusetts. * Timing... snow begins early this afternoon. The heaviest snow will occur from 5 PM to 1 am... then tapering off toward sunrise Sunday. * Impacts... accumulating snow which may make driving difficult. Poor visibility at times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ericnh Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Box Just updated my local forecast with 4 to 7" in the Manchester Nh area! almost to warning levels! if Nam holds true we will see 6" or more! Let see what gfs is saying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 29, 2012 Author Share Posted December 29, 2012 My threads produce 6z nam still onboard. Looks like the euro big snows of the other day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 My threads produce 6z nam still onboard. Looks like the euro big snows of the other day Still wanna bet that BOS sees no measurable between now and 1/1? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 And the 6z GFS follows, 0.5+ most of SNE, 0.75-1 into Boston, higher amounts southeast... Seems the 0z American suite just did not correctly incorporate the northern stream energy we were following... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 29, 2012 Author Share Posted December 29, 2012 Still wanna bet that BOS sees no measurable between now and 1/1? Are you through insulting the new king, the NAM/RPM combo? Lol. Jerry had his chance for dinner redemption but would not bite pardon the pun. Now he will be buried in a sea of regret as the snow stacks around him up to his knees. Even the less than faithful Ray may be rewarded. Phil went to bed expecting an inch or two and Scott should have more inches of snow than he does accumulated dirty diapers. The road to winter redemption began a few days early. I probably would have made that bet, glad I didn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
centralmass Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Nice Woonsocket. TheSnowman Mountain jackerooney 6-8" seems high here Sticking to 2" IMBY. Nice for EMA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Nice knowing cold air is in place for this one. 19/17 here. Good luck to the CP folks, hope you get crushed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Pretty solid snowfall coming region wide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 6 to 8 ill take it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 box said something about the low possibly tracking just inside the bm...isn't that usually really good for the hfd spfd area? i thought that was how we get crushed? and the low will be bombing as it goes by but the models are keeping that really heavy qpf to the east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 29, 2012 Author Share Posted December 29, 2012 box said something about the low possibly tracking just inside the bm...isn't that usually really good for the hfd spfd area? i thought that was how we get crushed? and the low will be bombing as it goes by but the models are keeping that really heavy qpf to the east Fast moving doesn't really have the time to wrap up like a slower moving system . Healthy totals though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Coingrats, everyone--especially to those for whom this has been a too long a wait. I'm shocked but thrilled on how things have changed. Perhaps the models will be one step behind this storm even through it's passage! Right now, my ZFP is showing 4-8"--lol. I'll stick with 3-6. Good luck and enjoy! 20.8/19--no evap cooling happening today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 usually but this storm seems like its going to be more compact.. off to work hoping everything works out box said something about the low possibly tracking just inside the bm...isn't that usually really good for the hfd spfd area? i thought that was how we get crushed? and the low will be bombing as it goes by but the models are keeping that really heavy qpf to the east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 29, 2012 Author Share Posted December 29, 2012 http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfhsd.html Hydro still going with east of nam towards arw/nmm and 3z srefs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosswx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I'm in Middleboro, MA... looks like a nailbiter whether it's rain or jackpot city here . Thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 29, 2012 Author Share Posted December 29, 2012 Rgem ticked up for sure too. Wow. I always fret the storms that require a huge runup development but this should be really something today for most of you. Imagine Kevin getting the snow he was hoping for? Nobody expected that even 12 hours ago. Incredible storm hopefully in its depeening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Box AFD 516am: Short range models in good agreement this morning as the low will move off the middle Atlantic coast then will rapidly developing as it quickly moves NE...passing close to the 40/70 benchmark tonight. This morning/S 00z and especially the 06z NAM runs were very concerning...as these runs bomb the system out as it moves by... coming just inside the benchmark and slowing the system down just a bit. Also...both the NAM and European model (ecmwf) have big slug of quantitative precipitation forecast moving across. Forecast quantitative precipitation forecast on order of around 1/2 inch across S New Hampshire/west Massachusetts/north central CT to 1.5 inches across S coastal Massachusetts...Cape Cod and the islands through tonight. So...the big question is...how much snow will fall. With the low S of the region...most of the precipitation will be in the form of snow. Using partial thicknesses...looks like a general 4-8 inch swath across central and eastern Massachusetts/Rhode Island into NE CT. Outside there...expect 3-6 inches except lower amounts along the S coast. Next question...the rain/snow line. With the increasing NE winds as the low strengthens...expect rain/snow line to run along the S coast...then may slip into southern Bristol and Plymouth counties possibly as far north as a Taunton to Plymouth line for a time this afternoon. Appears that the bullseye for highest snow amounts will occur from NE CT/north Rhode Island into interior southeast Massachusetts. Would not be surprised to see some locales receiving more than 8 inches. Based on all this...have issued winter storm warnings as far north as NE Massachusetts /Essex County/ then through Middlesex and southern Worcester County to Windham County CT. Elsewhere...winter weather advisories continue for remainder of region except Nantucket and Marthas Vineyard where precipitation will be mainly rain...heavy at times. Did keep Block Island in the advisory as it is possible that they may receive some snow on the backside tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Middleboro.is huge. I think u get crush'd. What side of middleboro are you on? West side may have less mixing issues but its close call bc qpf will be so high over se mass and cape, if colder bl temps present themselves , someone is getting nuke job down there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Rgem ticked up for sure too. Wow. I always fret the storms that require a huge runup development but this should be really something today for most of you. Imagine Kevin getting the snow he was hoping for? Nobody expected that even 12 hours ago. Incredible storm hopefully in its depeening. Nice looking shot of cooler air at the end of the week as well. Might eek out a single-digit hghs at the end of the week? The snow will be relatively fresh, so that could help. Any sese as to whether those returns in CT are hitting the ground? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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