ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Yeah it did. Looks like at least HVN east got it. Good stuff. Looks like a solid 4-7" along the ct shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Can se MO, srn IL, and IN get anymore snow? Holy crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Can se MO, srn IL, and IN get anymore snow? Holy crap. Was that modeled? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Frequently MO snow is a good signal for us in a general sense. The radar/satellite look like it can't miss so it probaby will...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Was that modeled? Yeah, but they just got smoked a few days ago. Not exactly an area for synoptic heavy snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Yeah, but they just got smoked a few days ago. Not exactly an area for synoptic heavy snows. MET/MAV snow numbers are in synch with your forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 This is an interesting thing - kinda almost want the primary to hold on in this case: Pitt to Albany may very well end up the Jackpot. Primary is usually under-modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 MET/MAV snow numbers are in synch with your forecast. If the GFS is right we could do 4-6. I may be too bearish, but I also don't like riding the NW fringe of big forcing either. 25 miles could mean a hell of a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I'll remind people the primary snow shield will look good into tomorrow morning where it then will weaken. Probably another separate jackpot out in NY state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Glad my legacy lives on!!! I loved seeing my old showfx scenes from '04 sticking around! Seriously though with max the rpm gives you a lot of great ways to display things. I just feel like deterministic totals/amounts are generally a bad way to go. Even if you're showing "what one model shows" I feel like it wastes a lot of time explaining and in general is confusing. That's just my opinion though there are many better ways to present WX on tv than what i do I'm sure Makes sense...I've definitely seen some mets here that show what the RPM (or any model for that matter) is showing but have difficulty getting their point across. I'm definitely excited to use the system...we should be starting with it the second or third week of the semester! Should help down the line with internships and what not too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Lowering final call from 4-7" to 3-6". A little worried we great screwed in between best snow from primary and best snow from coastal. Snow is snow, and even though I'm working I'll enjoy it. Won't be able to provide totals until after 9pm though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I feel decent for about 4" here. BUF went with WWA...could see 5" if things go right...or maybe only 2" if things go wrong. It definitely feels like winter for once, I hope this continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Lowering final call from 4-7" to 3-6". A little worried we great screwed in between best snow from primary and best snow from coastal. Snow is snow, and even though I'm working I'll enjoy it. Won't be able to provide totals until after 9pm though. yeah i could see central MA getting screwed a bit due to some subsidence from the coastal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I feel decent for about 4" here. BUF went with WWA...could see 5" if things go right...or maybe only 2" if things go wrong. It definitely feels like winter for once, I hope this continues. This is like 2009-2010 for the mid-atlantic in BUF for synoptic snows....lol. Usually its hard there to get more than 1-3" in a synoptic event...the hills southeast do better, but BUF itself and the lower spots north of the escarpment never do well synoptically. Looks like an epic one followed now by a pretty solid one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Was that modeled? Yes but the models were playing catchup for 2 days. And even now, the banded precip in response to strong mid-level forcing is exceeding this afternoon's forecast totals. If it translates eastward there could be some good snows with this feature in parts of PA and SNY tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 29, 2012 Author Share Posted December 29, 2012 Someone talked about a favorable antecedent airmass...it's 23/24 up here at Sunday River on the mountain. No snow on the way up until NH, some decent amounts around Gray but you have to get way up Rte 26 to see CT Blizz'esque snowbanks. Mountain looks great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 This is like 2009-2010 for the mid-atlantic in BUF for synoptic snows....lol. Usually its hard there to get more than 1-3" in a synoptic event...the hills southeast do better, but BUF itself and the lower spots north of the escarpment never do well synoptically. Looks like an epic one followed now by a pretty solid one. that was 2007-2008 lol. 12incher in December followed by a 21incher in March. The most epic period of synoptic snow in my memory would have to be December 2008 when we got about 40" of synoptic from 3 snowstorms in about 18 days. (I happened to be visiting from Bermuda at the time.) BUF is no stranger to minor to moderate synoptic snowstorms..it's just the biggies that tend to be more elusive. It still doesn't quite feel great yet, I want to see some lake-effect mixed in. Euro offers some chances later next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Not sure if it was already posted, but the RPM is pure porn. Not that I buy it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mulen Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I think this winter is going give some sleepless nights jan. looks appetizing caa hanging tough very encouraging really dig it the type of winter we like see ya.peace Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Not sure if it was already posted, but the RPM is pure porn. Not that I buy it. Lol oh good lord how I wish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 race to the bottom is on... guidance is pretty consistent and not expecting any surprises, though northernmost low responsible for all the activity over MO/IN/IL/OH is impressive... southernmost low should become dominant by Saturday morning as it emerges off coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 yeah i could see central MA getting screwed a bit due to some subsidence from the coastal. Yeah and ironically we are one of the few areas in a watch..at 4am it will be downgraded to a WWA though IMO... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 that was 2007-2008 lol. 12incher in December followed by a 21incher in March. The most epic period of synoptic snow in my memory would have to be December 2008 when we got about 40" of synoptic from 3 snowstorms in about 18 days. (I happened to be visiting from Bermuda at the time.) BUF is no stranger to minor to moderate synoptic snowstorms..it's just the biggies that tend to be more elusive. It still doesn't quite feel great yet, I want to see some lake-effect mixed in. Euro offers some chances later next week. I was def exaggerating a bit. But its always like pulling teeth to get a 5"+ synoptic event in C/W NY. So often we'd get 2-4 in ITH and across much of the west of the region. Those weenie areas with Ontario enhancement would obviously do better, but it was always a task. But you are def right...getting the 8"+ events are awful...and even worse are the 12"+ events using a linear scale....i.e. the 12" events are much harder than 8" events even accounting for the fact that 12" is harder to begin with all else equal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Not sure if it was already posted, but the RPM is pure porn. Not that I buy it. It's kind of a disgrace they put it on their website in this situation. Most people don't get it (even though there's a disclaimer now) and it could easily backfire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Uncle looks juiced. Of course we can't see the 36 to 42 qpf total but going by the entry and entrance views it looks like a nice hit. You can on meteocentre. Here is the total precip through hour 72: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 29, 2012 Author Share Posted December 29, 2012 Euro cranking it up vs 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 29, 2012 Author Share Posted December 29, 2012 So pretty much tonight's euro is the blizzard from two nights ago just east 50 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 wow euro! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 hello meso.... over 10mb deeper and further north at 24hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 So pretty much tonight's euro is the blizzard from two nights ago just east 50 miles. You almost made me scream with that first part lol. But that's still pretty damn good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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