Bostonseminole Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Wtf is rpm other than revolutions per minute? some secret model used by the circle of mets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Wtf is rpm other than revolutions per minute? Really Poor Model or Requires Prozac Model. It's second cousins with the Non Accurate Model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStick Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Wtf is rpm other than revolutions per minute? LOL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Jus looked at high res...nearly an inch for bos? Wtf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 http://www.chicagoweathercenter.com/maps/rpm/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Sounds reasonable. yep. why not more? awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I honestly can't believe people are posting about the RPM. There are times where it is worthwhile and there are times that it is worth nothing. This is one of those times. Looking forward to about 3" in Hartford. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 i blame scooter for all this RPM talk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 29, 2012 Author Share Posted December 29, 2012 Going to be a biggie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 It is. But its insistance is pretty funny. The 00z run is basically pulling a 12/9/05. I know it is crap. But that is my favorite weather event of all time. Can you save those images for me and send them over? Please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I honestly can't believe people are posting about the RPM. There are times where it is worthwhile and there are times that it is worth nothing. This is one of those times. Looking forward to about 3" in Hartford. I posted about it as a joke...in all honesty, the NAM hasn't been any better recently. Even the SREFs have been pretty cruddy recently too. The meso models as a whole have not had their finest winter so far. Which is unfortunate, because this is the type of event where the mesos might be more useful....but since we can't trust them at all right now, we are left waiting for the globals to come out and only talk about the mesos in passing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I honestly can't believe people are posting about the RPM. There are times where it is worthwhile and there are times that it is worth nothing. This is one of those times. Looking forward to about 3" in Hartford. Ok when would it be useful? Seems like Jerry's others crazy uncle, ya know the one that lives in Rays woodshed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I never heard of it before tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Blame the media for the RPM. I blame Ryan and the weenie OCMs. Jerry, I think 2-4 for me still. If I bust to 5 or 6"..that's not bad. If the GFS and Euro boost up QPF, then it's a little different. The one thing that scares me are the meso models. This is a tight vortmax with a low the wants to move NNE first along a baroclinic zone. Good candidate for rapid deepening off the Delmarva. It also may have a compact comma head which further complicates things too. Until I see the GFS and Euro budge, something still makes me not want to go terribly bullish here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I always wondered if there was any money in weather model programming. I mean WSI must have paid big bucks for some group of programmers to come up with a model that is only usefull when it's sunny 70/45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I never heard of it before tonight TWC uses it all the time, wunderground too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 The RGEM is still weenie-ing out with warning criteria for most of SNE. Need to wait about 40 minutes for any globals to come out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I never heard of it before tonight Exactly. There's a reason. When the synoptic pattern is well resolved and you're trying to resolve mesoscale details it can be useful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I always wondered if there was any money in weather model programming. I mean WSI must have paid big bucks for some group of programmers to come up with a model that is only usefull when it's sunny 70/45 Wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 the 4km nam dumps like 3.5" QPF at CHH. I think it gave 4.5 to 5.5 in orh hills this last storm. I find the btv wrf model is decent meso model. I'd like to know what that prints out. I think the mesos will be useful wrt areas that are favored as well as if sharp cutoffs occur. They nailed the waltham woburn melrose newburyport qpf max on last storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Thanks Steve, Ryan, etc. Is it what some of the media outlets like WCVB Boston uses? They usually put a big caveat out about it if so... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I always wondered if there was any money in weather model programming. I mean WSI must have paid big bucks for some group of programmers to come up with a model that is only usefull when it's sunny 70/45 Actually, it has done well in convection and several events this year. Actually had Ray's screw job recently too. It's a 4km meso model that is prone to crazy non-hydrostatic processes like an ARW or any other meso model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Actually, it has done well in convection and several events this year. Actually had Ray's screw job recently too. It's a 4km meso model that is prone to crazy non-hydrostatic processes like an ARW or any other meso model. Yeah it's worth a look but it rarely sways my decision making process. I never show it on tv for snow or rain totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Will if u say the meso models score a coup on compact vorts like this, which ones do you use for hints of how this storm will evolve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Yeah it's worth a look but it rarely sways my decision making process. I never show it on tv for snow or rain totals. Yeah it's a model, like anything else....and it's used by my group for turbulence which is does well with. The push for the media to use this is not the greatest IMHO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Interesting that no matter how strong the northern s/w gets, the coastal low and associated precip shield never get much further NW across SNE. However, as expected, modeled QPF is increasing across parts of NYS in response to the "primary" wave. Very impressive surface pressure falls on the NAM. The SLP deepens something like 20mb in 12 hours and 36mb in 24 hours! A total bomb. Unfortunately bombing lows often have very compact precip fields. Could be some 2" per hour + rates down in SEMA tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Will if u say the meso models score a coup on compact vorts like this, which ones do you use for hints of how this storm will evolve NAM/SREF/RGEM are usually the go-to mesomodels...sometimes the suny MM5...but most of them have been pretty bad this winter. The NAM has been horrific. So its difficult to trust them right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 hard to say, 0z RGEM looks to more or less have held serve from 12z (not comparing to 18z b/c of paneling differences for timing increments)...for eastern sections looks like around 0.7" QPF for Newburyport to Framingham to Tolland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Thanks Steve, Ryan, etc. Is it what some of the media outlets like WCVB Boston uses? They usually put a big caveat out about it if so... ya - it's the product for all the "timeline" graphics on most all Boston channels now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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