It's Always Sunny Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 It will obviously only come so far nw...it's honestly outdone what I originally thought it'd do for nw trending. I honestly think it can maybe end up 10-25 miles more nw which would have an impact on sensible wx from HVN-IJD-ORH If that did happen you're right, one tick could equate to 10-25 miles. I'll believe it when I see it lol. I gotta run though, good disco ctsnowstorm. I'll be on later tonight most likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 If that did happen you're right, one tick could equate to 10-25 miles. I'll believe it when I see it lol. I gotta run though, good disco ctsnowstorm. I'll be on later tonight most likely. For sure, good stuff man. Learn to embrace the snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Well I don't have a Tandy like Dandy Andy in the wood paneled den. I'm i everything ...iphone,imac,ipad,iweenie lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Agree. 8" absolute max. I think a lot of this is just hype and high hopes as well, regardless of what the models say. I'd forecast 5-8" as the highest from roughly PVD to TAN ... but I do think there will be a surprise band that delivers a spot 9 or 10 somewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I wish people would not post the RPM. Like ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I will TOAST you Sweet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I'd forecast 5-8" as the highest from roughly PVD to TAN ... but I do think there will be a surprise band that delivers a spot 9 or 10 somewhere. Yep same thoughts. Maybe even into northern new London county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Anyone care to make a nowcast / verification check on H5 of the 12z/18z models... can we predict based on current mesoanalysis where 0z suite will trend before it comes out? Correct me if I'm wrong: On 23z RAP at 1 hr vs. 18z NAM/GFS at same period: I'm seeing significantly more vorticity and maximum centered a good 50+ miles more east at the Missouri-Arkansas border... if true and incorporated into 0z suite, we could see a further trend NW due to earlier capture. RAP: NAM: GFS: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Anyone care to make a nowcast / verification check on H5 of the 12z/18z models... can we predict based on current mesoanalysis where 0z suite will trend before it comes out? Correct me if I'm wrong: On 23z RAP at 1 hr vs. 18z NAM/GFS at same period: I'm seeing significantly more vorticity and maximum centered a good 50+ miles more east at the Missouri... if true and incorporated into 0z suite, we could see a further trend NW due to earlier capture. I'm on the cell but that's what I was alluding to in previous posts. If someone can confirm that'd be sweet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 It appears that the southern shortwave is capturing the northern stream shortwave on water vapor imagery, as PVA deepens on WV imagery. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 The 00z RPM is running now...I'm excited. Come on RPM! Can I get one foot here?! Does that model incorporate the measurement bias of the SW CT slant stickers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I wish people would not post the RPM. Like ever. Is that what replaced the RUC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Come on RPM! Can I get one foot here?! Does that model incorporate the measurement bias of the SW CT slant stickers? Wow..some Emotion !!!..Are you drinking tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Yep same thoughts. Maybe even into northern new London county. Northern NL and southern Windham is the sweet spot for Conn. Congrats Sultan! (and the Foster RI co-op) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Anyone care to make a nowcast / verification check on H5 of the 12z/18z models... can we predict based on current mesoanalysis where 0z suite will trend before it comes out? Correct me if I'm wrong: On 23z RAP at 1 hr vs. 18z NAM/GFS at same period: I'm seeing significantly more vorticity and maximum centered a good 50+ miles more east at the Missouri-Arkansas border... if true and incorporated into 0z suite, we could see a further trend NW due to earlier capture. RAP: NAM: GFS: Messenger enroute to SR, substitute in. Lol. Yea that would be true . The vorticity has always impressed me and I think that's what Noyes keyed well either that or the -8 isotherm, lol. What's all this talk about this air mass not being that cold? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Northern NL and southern Windham is the sweet spot for Conn. Congrats Sultan! (and the Foster RI co-op) I honestly think from like HVN northeast will do well. But yeah ginxie will probably jackpot for ct posters here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Wow..some Emotion !!!..Are you drinking tonight? No. But it is funny how SW CT slant sticks.. I know of one such person in this area that submits multiple reports to OKX under multiple towns across the border with inflated totals. At least now OKX is aware and filters that stuff out or tries to anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Hey ed,text me quick, got a question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 We're getting the gulf steam enhancements muthufukkas. At a party up in rowley. There's snow otg. Stay the course..3-6 Boston area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Messenger enroute to SR, substitute in. Lol. Yea that would be true . The vorticity has always impressed me and I think that's what Noyes keyed well either that or the -8 isotherm, lol. What's all this talk about this air mass not being that cold? I was worried about the gfs ML and BL but I think it may just be the GFS doing its own thing. The meteorology says we snow to the coast with a backing northerly flow as the low gets cranking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Hey ed,text me quick, got a question. Why wouldn't you just text him that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Why wouldn't you just text him that? Was thinking the same thing. Hahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I'm on the cell but that's what I was alluding to in previous posts. If someone can confirm that'd be sweet I wish these types of thoughts were discussed more at this time frame. I think these things are what some mets going more bullish maybe looking at, but this hasn't been confirmed to be significant or accurate so I dunno. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 ANy thoughts on potential phasing between the northern and southern stream disturbances in the trough? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I am staying on course for now 4-6 for me and Geriatric Gerry. Never ever like being in the jackpot calls, just a personal thing, you guys are correct in that zone but I would pick the most famous accordion player of them alls house as Jackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I wish these types of thoughts were discussed more at this time frame. I think these things are what some mets going more bullish maybe looking at, but this hasn't been confirmed to be significant or accurate so I dunno. Agree. I am just really learning this textbook style so it's fresh on my mind lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Messenger enroute to SR, substitute in. Lol. Yea that would be true . The vorticity has always impressed me and I think that's what Noyes keyed well either that or the -8 isotherm, lol. What's all this talk about this air mass not being that cold? Thanks Ginx. Seems significant, we'll see how it plays out. Always nice to add a little more meteorology / forecasting / analysis to all the model-humping... trying to predict trends before the 0z spits out the answer. I (and Fella / Zeus / Coastal) want a piece of that commahead... it's been 2 years. (and I'm flattered... I'll be back on the bench when Saki is back online) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Ginxy seems pretty chilly to me tonite, no question. 25 or so currently in wakefield,ma Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I am staying on course for now 4-6 for me and Geriatric Gerry. Never ever like being in the jackpot calls, just a personal thing, you guys are correct in that zone but I would pick the most famous accordion player of them alls house as Jackpot. Sounds like you and me are in a decent spot for this one. I need to get back that 1/4" that you have on me right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Jerry, we were on the Common this afternoon. Dang are those squirrels fat bastads Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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