hosswx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 On 12/29/2012 at 11:00 AM, cpick79 said: Middleboro.is huge. I think u get crush'd. What side of middleboro are you on? Northeast, near Plympton/Carver, so closer to the E coast. Hoping to stay all or mostly snow, but who knows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I just fired up an obs thread. http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/38571-the-december-29-30-rpm-miracle/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 29, 2012 Author Share Posted December 29, 2012 On 12/29/2012 at 11:01 AM, moneypitmike said: Nice looking shot of cooler air at the end of the week as well. Might eek out a single-digit hghs at the end of the week? The snow will be relatively fresh, so that could help. Any sese as to whether those returns in CT are hitting the ground? I can't pull up radar on my wife's phone mine is on the charger. Odd wording by taunton. If the low is really bombing I'd think most of the Bristol and Plymouth counties stay all snow back a few miles from the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Here's the thinking from Springfield's best and brightest..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Thinking somewhere from Thompson CT-Burriville RI down to Steve and the East Killingly area may see some spot 9-10 amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Just back from an 11 miler. I didn't look at anything till i got back. Amazing the things you can think about out running on a dark, cold, snowy winter morning. I worried that it might be OTS..I thought about it coming closer and that we'd get a foot. I watched the moon slowly disappear behind lowering and thickening clouds. 7-11 on the way . A classic SNE snowstorm. Congrats everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Here's the thinking from Springfield's best and brightest..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Briz600 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I'm thinking 6-8 here possibly more. Its been such a long time since I seen some decent snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 On 12/29/2012 at 11:53 AM, Briz600 said: I'm thinking 6-8 here possibly more. Its been such a long time since I seen some decent snows. Be aware of mixing issues in the beginning. I may have them here too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I still don't like how the GFS is warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 On 12/29/2012 at 11:58 AM, CoastalWx said: Be aware of mixing issues in the beginning. I may have them here too. First snow for the baby--awesome. I hope you get another boost on the qpf in the 12z run and actuals that exceed even those! Hoping for some sneaky last minute enhancements for out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 On 12/29/2012 at 12:03 PM, CoastalWx said: I still don't like how the GFS is warm. Warm for you, or warm everywhere? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 On 12/29/2012 at 12:07 PM, Modfan said: Warm for you, or warm everywhere? It still brings in warmer air from SE CT to BOS. Again, it may be overdone, but we don't have good cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Briz600 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 On 12/29/2012 at 11:58 AM, CoastalWx said: Be aware of mixing issues in the beginning. I may have them here too. I hope the mixing if any will be short . If I do get mixing I think it should flip back to snow as the heavier stuff comes in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bruschi Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I guess I wont bother with the snow blower today:( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 On 12/29/2012 at 12:07 PM, CoastalWx said: It still brings in warmer air from SE CT to BOS. Again, it may be overdone, but we don't have good cold. You and Phil have been consistent with this. That is worrisome Hope Ullr favors you with snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I'll say it again..be aware there are going to be heavy weenie bands farther NW than modeled/forecast..there will be 2 jackpot zones Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 On 12/29/2012 at 11:58 AM, CoastalWx said: Be aware of mixing issues in the beginning. I may have them here too. yeah kBos soundings off 6z NAM show a warm boundary layer, start with rain/mix on ENE (50-70˚) winds before heavier precipitation cools the column and then all snow with NNE/N (20-360˚) winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 On 12/29/2012 at 12:14 PM, wxsniss said: yeah kBos soundings off 6z NAM show a warm boundary layer, start with rain/mix on ENE (50-70˚) winds before heavier precipitation cools the column and then all snow with NNE/N (20-360˚) winds That's why I'm still sort of meh. Might be better towards Jerry, but I think maybe 4"..possibly 6" here. I wait until I am proven wrong. The way that happens is getting into the wicked commahead, or having winds stay more NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 On 12/29/2012 at 12:13 PM, CT Blizz said: I'll say it again..be aware there are going to be heavy weenie bands farther NW than modeled/forecast..there will be 2 jackpot zones That's probably more towards NY state. If there is a second area, it may be with the coastal front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 On 12/29/2012 at 12:07 PM, CoastalWx said: It still brings in warmer air from SE CT to BOS. Again, it may be overdone, but we don't have good cold. Of course, I have nothing objective to point to with this....but I wonder if the warmth it's showing is due to the model not really having a grasp on the system (apparently it--and the EC--are trying to grab the coat tails of the mesos). It's trying to get this stronger/closer system that appears to be taking shape but is instead showing up with this warmth. If this system were more traditional, I'd heed those concerns. But, in this instance I'd throw caution to the wind. MPM has spoken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 On 12/29/2012 at 12:13 PM, CT Blizz said: I'll say it again..be aware there are going to be heavy weenie bands farther NW than modeled/forecast..there will be 2 jackpot zones On 12/29/2012 at 12:17 PM, CoastalWx said: That's probably more towards NY state. If there is a second area, it may be with the coastal front. Hi. J/K. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 On 12/29/2012 at 12:19 PM, moneypitmike said: Of course, I have nothing objective to point to with this....but I wonder if the warmth it's showing is due to the model not really having a grasp on the system (apparently it--and the EC--are trying to grab the coat tails of the mesos). It's trying to get this stronger/closer system that appears to be taking shape but is instead showing up with this warmth. If this system were more traditional, I'd heed those concerns. But, in this instance I'd throw caution to the wind. MPM has spoken. It's all for nothing if my winds back more nrly and euro is colder. Just that living here...it's something you can't ignore that's all. Should be an interesting day. Supposed to go down to the south shore for dinner this evening, might be an interesting drive back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 On 12/29/2012 at 12:24 PM, CoastalWx said: It's all for nothing if my winds back more nrly and euro is colder. Just that living here...it's something you can't ignore that's all. Should be an interesting day. Supposed to go down to the south shore for dinner this evening, might be an interesting drive back. Why in Sam Hell does a snowlover like you live 2 miles from Boston Habah? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Man after this it looks like the next 10 days are basically cold and dry with maybe a few snow showers/squalls with arctic fronts. Was hoping the stormy pattern would continue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 On 12/29/2012 at 12:28 PM, HubbDave said: Why in Sam Hell does a snowlover like you live 2 miles from Boston Habah? Hey it paid off in 10/11. Coastal front and ocean enhancement FTW. Many times that happens, just that these last two winters have had no cold and the water is warm. Look at Ray, he's no better and yet somehow SW CT has more than me this year. Just kind of crappy luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 On 12/29/2012 at 12:13 PM, CT Blizz said: I'll say it again..be aware there are going to be heavy weenie bands farther NW than modeled/forecast..there will be 2 jackpot zones i will keep that in mind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 On 12/29/2012 at 12:30 PM, CT Blizz said: Man after this it looks like the next 10 days are basically cold and dry with maybe a few snow showers/squalls with arctic fronts. Was hoping the stormy pattern would continue We may sneak a light something in before a January thaw perhaps. Then, maybe stormy after. I still like the "overall" look to the pattern for now anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 New NECN map gives all of eastern mass from the west end of the cape to the NH border 10", including you scooter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 On 12/29/2012 at 12:32 PM, PeabodyFlood said: New NECN map gives all of eastern mass from the west end of the cape to the NH border 10", including you scooter. Yeah certainly possible. Again, just depends on wind direction and precip intensity. This is me on the water...someone like Jerry will probably be fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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