snowstormcanuck Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 I think we'll get atleast a inch, it looks to be light snows falling persistently so in my opinion it will accumulate to atleast a inch or so. Upper air temps support 13:1 to 15:1 snow ratios, so yeah. And btw Canuck i think you should remove your "Winter storm free since 08" lool, this past storm was the first widespread Winter storm we've seen across Ontario and Quebec since 2008-09. Though it wasnt a whole alot it was more than any storm we've seen since lol. Wow, I'm actually more aggressive with amounts than you. There's a first. And no, I won't remove the sig. It's still valid. That wasn't a widespread 6"+ snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 If nothing else, this should be very atmospheric. At least the snow futility record will stand. Still along way to go. I'm not certain of anything anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Did you start the new cable sales job yet? Good..need a break. Get these clouds out and lets make some ice at night before a brief torch in Jan.. Kind of excited to see where we sit come later in Jan and Feb. Yep, but it isn't for me. Now I'm looking forward to one more day of slipping, sliding and selling in the cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Still along way to go. I'm not certain of anything anymore. Snow futility as in least snowiest season for Toronto? If so, yeah, that's a stupid call to make in late December. Also, I sense a tiny hint of optimism in your post above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDude Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Light snow continues. Not sure how much longer this is going to last but would probably have to last until midnight for us to get an inch over here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Snow futility as in least snowiest season for Toronto? If so, yeah, that's a stupid call to make in late December. Also, I sense a tiny hint of optimism in your post above. We're on two different streets here. By saying "At least the snow futility record will stand" I inferred OB to mean that we WON'T be breaking the futility record this year, and that 2011-12 is safe. I'm saying I'm not sure if that's true. It's still a possibility, although, a low one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Wow, I'm actually more aggressive with amounts than you. There's a first. And no, I won't remove the sig. It's still valid. That wasn't a widespread 6"+ snowstorm. lol, well thats my personal opinion, based on current indications im sticking with my 1-3cm amounts, haha. I have lost faith in the NAM, its way too aggressive with its qpf amounts. oh true. Based on current stratospheric conditions, I dont see anything noteworthy through the first 15 days of January with a dead MJO but there after i expect the AO/NAO to tank and thats when i suspect we will see some larger storms forming esp if the MJO goes into phases 7-8-1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Steady light snow here in Waukegan. Another batch of heavier returns moving NE across western Cook/DuPage. RAP tries to develop more snow over N IL during rush hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Geos always keeping hope alive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Yep, but it isn't for me. Now I'm looking forward to one more day of slipping, sliding and selling in the cold. That sucks.. Kinda figured that job was going to go over as well as a turd in a punch bowl. Still probably openings at my wife's place. Nice little area on radar to move in by geos. other than that the radar sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoar_Frost Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 incredible that far north and safely away from UHI/lake warmth I got .2" out here... And it is dissapearing quickly. Still under 1" for the year. Season-to-date snowfall remains under one inch here in Geneva, as well (~0.6"). Earlier today, there was respectable light snow, but it has become quite anemic in the last half hour or so. Good thing that I don't actually live here anymore -- just visiting for Christmas before heading off to Austin for a conference next Friday and back to Pennsylvania (where seasonal snowfall is -- gasp! -- slightly above normal attm) the week after. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Geos always keeping hope alive Just calling it as I see it! Not that I believe that model necessarily. Or any model for that matter past a certain point! Trees have a really nice coating on them. Everything looks frosted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeenerWx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Crown Point probably won out this morning with 1.3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 We're on two different streets here. By saying "At least the snow futility record will stand" I inferred OB to mean that we WON'T be breaking the futility record this year, and that 2011-12 is safe. I'm saying I'm not sure if that's true. It's still a possibility, although, a low one. My bad then, I took it wrong. Ottawa Blizzard isn't the most positive person typically...no offense OB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Crown Point probably won out this morning with 1.3" multi-page threads where the winner comes in with 1.3"....winter 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Lol^ above comment. New disco from LOT: 000 FXUS63 KLOT 281611 AFDLOT AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL 1011 AM CST FRI DEC 28 2012 .DISCUSSION... 943 AM CST MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL DEVELOPED EARLY THIS MORNING OVER NORTHEAST IL AND NORTHWEST IN AHEAD OF A UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE. THE DISTURBANCE IS VISIBLE IN WV IMAGERY...WITH THE NORTHERN EDGE CURRENTLY STRETCHING FROM MOLINE IL THROUGH ROCHESTER IN. ANALYSIS ALSO SHOWS WARM AIR ADVECTION MAY HAVE ADDED TO THE OVERALL LIFT...WHICH PRODUCED CONVECTIVE LOOKING CLOUD TOPS ON VISIBLE SATELLITE. THE DISTURBANCE WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTHEAST AND PUSH THE MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW NORTHEAST AT AROUND 20-25 MPH. BASED ON THE CURRENT TIMING THINKING THE MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL BE NORTHEAST OF THE CWA AROUND NOON. SNOW TOTALS OF 1-2 ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE HEAVIER SNOWS THIS MORNING. VISIBILITIES WILL ALSO BE REDUCED TO A MILE OR LESS IN THE HEAVIEST SNOW. GUIDANCE HAS NOT PICKED UP ON THE SNOW THIS MORNING...SO CONFIDENCE ON THE FORECAST FOR THE REST OF TODAY IS LOW. AN AREA OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW IS OUT OVER IOWA NOW AND AS THE LOW DRIFTS EAST EXPECTING IT TO DRIFT EAST AS WELL. STILL THINKING AREAS NEAR THE WI/IL STATE LINE WILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCE AT MEASURABLE SNOW...WITH THE ONGOING SNOW BEING THE BIG SHOW FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA TODAY. THEREFORE SNOW TOTALS WHEN ALL IS SAID AND DONE TONIGHT WILL LIKELY BE 1 TO 3 INCHES ALONG THE IL/WI STATE LINE...1-2 INCHES ALONG AND NORTH OF I-80...AND AN INCH OR LESS SOUTH OF I-80. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeenerWx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 LSX WRF looks moderately fun for South Bend area tomorrow afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 RAP bringing .40 QPF to my backyard all Snow out of no where. Deformation zone already forming in OK: Local Met Chris Higgin's first forecast: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 lock it in friv Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Nice little birthday present snow... I'll take it, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 last gasp wave pushing through...going to be maybe .10 downtown...maybe .20 up by my apartment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 lol.. had a thread already for this until you abandoned it and looked farther ahead.. what a cluster****...dec. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Moving on over. As posted in the other thread... Like this right now. LAF: 0.5-1.0" KFickle, OKK: 1-2" BMG, FWA, IND: 2-4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 lol.. had a thread already for this until you abandoned it and looked farther ahead.. what a cluster****...dec. Yeah lol. Well the damn models dropped the precip within 100 miles of us for a time. Now the Southern Vort is ballz out and gonna phase with that little guy in Iowa it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 one breath of snow here was pretty. so much for a long duration event. I have longer duration in the bedroom... Good luck to those down south and east on the northern edge.. And a big FU to those to cashing in to my north again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 12z hi-res models not that exciting for LE potential...band has little to no inland component on the west end and pushes through very quick. next. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 one breath of snow here was pretty. so much for a long duration event. I have longer duration in the bedroom Nothing more needs to be said. End thread. I'm getting that one short gasp right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Snow futility as in least snowiest season for Toronto? If so, yeah, that's a stupid call to make in late December. Also, I sense a tiny hint of optimism in your post above. We're on two different streets here. By saying "At least the snow futility record will stand" I inferred OB to mean that we WON'T be breaking the futility record this year, and that 2011-12 is safe. I'm saying I'm not sure if that's true. It's still a possibility, although, a low one. Canuck is correct. I meant that the futility record will stand, which isn't hard for December. I believe 1890, 2006 and 2011 are the snow futility records for Toronto. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 So we're now severing discussion about the southern and northern wave? Ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 My bad then, I took it wrong. Ottawa Blizzard isn't the most positive person typically...no offense OB. None taken. Snow-wise though, it's hard to be positive when you live in one of Canada's least snowiest cities east of the Rocky Mountains. :-) I've also had to learn to lower my expectations after 6 years of living in Ottawa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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