Geos Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 No LES this morning? Wind convergence would suggest the city of Milwaukee would be prime right now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 prime for virga Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 It might be on to something. Radar is starting to fill in over northern IL. the RAP is struggling with the southern action and it shoots it north into WI anyways. This is looking like a non-event for IL outside the LE wildcard later and that is looking less promising as well. No LES this morning? Wind convergence would suggest the city of Milwaukee would be prime right now... delta Ts are crap...they'll get better this afternoon FWIW the NAM is doing a better job and is essentially a shutout from south of MKE and all of IL SE MI should get another nice hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 nothing ever comes good with a se wind. just another f job while just to the nw cleans up again. friv should have kept his other thread open for the southern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 nothing ever comes good with a se wind. just another f job while to the nw cleans up again. the trends with the southern piece are amazing over the last 24 hours....Indiana into SE MI could see another good hit the way things are going...so if it makes you feel better, you'll get screwed to the SE again as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Yep. NAM sucked me right in... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 12z NAM coming north with the southern piece...trend has been so it seems. These little southern vorts can be rather sneaky. IND and points south and east looking a bit better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Phasing earlier? Yesterday didnt look like a chance tge southern energy would come north enough. Still looks like a slight miss? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 lol, trying to close off at 700 at 21 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 the trends with the southern piece are amazing over the last 24 hours....Indiana into SE MI could see another good hit the way things are going...so if it makes you feel better, you'll get screwed to the SE again as well. yeah I've been keeping an eye on that the past few days and was surprised there was no talk of it in friv's thread. Hoping for a torch the 2nd weekend in January when I use my xmas gift certificate for 2 days of guided fishing in eagle river.. Hopefully a few day torch will shuffle things up slightly... Big back loaded winter for chicago I haven't been paying much attention to the long range thoughts on the board or the models.. Have you heard anything promising? Do you have any thoughts for the 2nd half of Jan and Feb? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeenerWx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 12z NAM coming north with the southern piece...trend has been so it seems. These little southern vorts can be rather sneaky. IND and points south and east looking a bit better. I'm just holding out for a, oh, 200 mile shift to the northwest. That's reasonable, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 lol, trying to close off at 700 at 21 hours. yep...you could tell this was going to be a good run for some of you guys FWIW on the LES front...this might help keep the band on the west side of the lake a little longer...if a band ever materializes that is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 I'm just holding out for a, oh, 200 mile shift to the northwest. That's reasonable, right? NAM flirting with warning criteria southwest of Indy. Looks like it may even scrape LAF with a dusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 NAM flirting with warning criteria southwest of Indy. Looks like it may even scrape LAF with a dusting. It has been inching north for quite a few runs in a row now...hard not to see the trend continuing. Mood flakes (decent size) starting downtown....good returns knocking on the door Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 It has been inching north for quite a few runs in a row now...hard not to see the trend continuing. Mood flakes (decent size) starting downtown....good returns knocking on the door Radar looks nice down there for a bit.. should have no problem getting that 1st 1 inch at ORD? dry air kicking ass here. amazing difference from yesterdays 12z nam to today's. Yesterdays 12z euro brought snow in to se mi. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Harkens memories of Feb 4-6, 2011...though this time displaced to the south and east a bit. And not as dramatic a late shift. Thinking IND may have to pop some WWA's for Indy on south in the CWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Radar looks nice down there for a bit.. dry air kicking ass here. amazing difference from yesterdays 12z nam to today's. Yesterdays 12z euro brought snow in to se mi. this band will push north into your area before too long...all models have it extremely progressive over NE Illinois AS OF 815 AM CST...A REGION OF MODERATE SNOW EXTENDS ACROSSNORTHEAST ILLINOIS AND NORTHWEST INDIANA. POCKETS OF HEAVY SNOW ARE ALSO SCATTERED WITHIN THIS REGION. SNOWFALL RATES OF AROUND AN INCH PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE UNDER THE HEAVIER SNOW...WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW EXPECTED TO FALL ACROSS NORTHEAST ILLINOIS AND NORTHWEST INDIANA. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED TO A MILE OR LESS IN THE MODERATE SNOW...AND TO A HALF MILE OR LESS IN THE HEAVY SNOW. MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 2 TO 3 HOURS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 this band will push north into your area before too long...all models have it extremely progressive over NE Illinois Should be extremely progressive here too. prob will have more hrs of virga than actual snow.. so much for a long duration event. 2-4 hrs and under 1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 The radar returns down in Illinois have me feeling a little better. Should have a few hours of decent snow rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 nice surprise snow for south of waukegan.. LOT had basically nothing for accumulation for the area in snow now and they may get more than UGN who had 1-3" forecasted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Harkens memories of Feb 4-6, 2011...though this time displaced to the south and east a bit. And not as dramatic a late shift. Thinking IND may have to pop some WWA's for Indy on south in the CWA. I was just about to bring up that system. Trended from Kentucky to se mi the last 24 hours. After the ghd storm, it looked like it was going to be suppressed. Crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Should be an ok 'pack freshener (although it's hard to call a couple crusty inches a snowpack). light snow, decent flake size downtown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 MKX saying possibly only an inch near the stateline... AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI 702 AM CST FRI DEC 28 2012 .UPDATE... SNOW HAS STRUGGLED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE SOUTH BUT HAS FINALLY STARTED AT KDBQ KMRJ AND KLNR THIS HOUR. DRY LAYER AROUND 850 MB HAS STRUGGLED TO MOISTEN AND THAT HAS DELAYED START OF SNOW IN THE SOUTH. GIVEN LOW LEVEL ASCENT AND LACK OF ICE CRYSTALS HAVE HAD A PERIOD OF FREEZING DRIZZLE HERE IN THE WAUKESHA/JEFFERSON COUNTY AREA SO ADDED FREEZING DRIZZLE IN SOUTHEAST 1/4 OF CWA FOR THE MORNING. MEANWHILE SNOW FILLING IN NICELY ACROS NORTHERN HALF GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF SURFACE TROUGH/REMNANTS OF LAKE BAND. EASTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW OFF LAKE APPEARS TO BE HELPING THE SEEDING AND MOISTENING PROCESS AND WE SHOULD ALSO SEE LAKE ENHANCEMENT IN THAT AREA SO ADVISORY STILL LOOKS GOOD. GIVEN DRY AIR AND SLIGHTLY DRIER LOOK TO 06Z NAM/GFS AND MOST RECENT RAP MODELS IN THE SOUTH...ADJUSTED DOWN THE QPF AND SNOW AMOUNTS ABOUT AN INCH MOST AREAS BUT ESPECIALLY TOWARD ILLINOIS BORDER IN SOUTHEAST. WILL NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE LESS THAN AN INCH IN THAT AREA. RECENT RAP RUNS CONTINUE TO SHOW DECENT LIFT IN THE DENDRITE GROWTH ZONE (-12 TO -18C) OVER THE NORTHERN PART OF CWA. THAT COUPLED WITH LAKE ENHANCEMENT SHOULD ALLOW HIGHER SNOW TOTALS TO VERIFY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Should be an ok 'pack freshener (although it's hard to call a couple crusty inches a snowpack). light snow, decent flake size downtown Geos half inch last covered the grass.. Must look like a michsnowfreak winter wonderland by you with 2" and now this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 nice surprise snow for south of waukegan.. LOT had basically nothing for accumulation for the area in snow now and they may get more than UGN who had 1-3" forecasted. Giant flakes coming down here right now! Looks good for a little while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Giant flakes coming down here right now! Looks good for a little while. yeah radar real nice on the north edge of snow by you. fluff should pile up to 5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Geos half inch last covered the grass.. Must look like a michsnowfreak winter wonderland by you with 2" and now this. I already had an inch on the ground from last week! BTW: I am in Waukegan right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 nice screw hole over ORD doing all it can to keep 1" futility record alive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 chicago storm hex thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 I already had an inch on the ground from last week! BTW: I am in Waukegan right now. hehehe. agonizing watching the snow struggle mightily to make it to the border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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