Chicago Storm Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 I was content to keep cluttering the December thread, but i'll move my talk here. I'm still surprised how well models did with the band right now. Light accums downtown (they had no snow prior). Some more enhanced looking banding moving closer to the north side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 LES is the best... http://www.earthcam.com/usa/illinois/chicago/field/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 RAP is handling this well, like you said Alek. Slides up the shore slowly over the course of the day. RPM shot at 4:30pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Looking like some pretty decent mid lake convergence, wouldn't be surprised if a legit meso low develops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDude Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 i-55/dan ryan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Pretty sure i'll be one of the spots making a run for an inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 healthy band about to come on-shore near MBY EDIT: full on legit moderate with fluffy flakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Update from MKX .UPDATE...ADDED SCATTERED FLURRIES FOR THE LAKESHORE COUNTIES THROUGH THIS EVENING...GIVEN VERY LIGHT REFLECTIVITY RETURNS ON RADARS. NORTHEAST FETCH AND DELTA T VALUES REMAIN FAVORABLE AS THEY HAVE BEEN THE PAST FEW DAYS. HOWEVER...THE ISSUE ONCE AGAIN IS THE LACK OF MOISTURE IN THE DENDRITE GROWTH ZONE. MESOSCALE MODELS DO SHOW A CONVERGENCE ZONE WITH BROKEN LIGHT QPF EXTENDING FROM DOWNTOWN CHICAGO NORTHWARD AND OFF SHORE OF THE LAKESHORE COUNTIES...AND THEN NORTHEAST FROM THERE. THIS AREA REMAINS OVER THE WATER THROUGH THE REST OF TODAY...WITH SOME INDICATIONS OF IT COMING ONSHORE IN THE FAR SOUTHEAST COUNTIES THIS EVENING. THUS...NOTHING MORE THAN FLURRIES ARE EXPECTED. CLOUDY SKIES WILL REMAIN THROUGH THE DAY AND EVENING...WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING IN THE MID 20S TO AROUND 30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 convergence backing off..we'll see if it can re-organize later for those further north. hopefully we can get a mod to move uw-weather's spam to the appropriate thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 convergence backing off..we'll see if it can re-organize later for those further north. hopefully we can get a mod to move uw-weather's spam to the appropriate thread I think he posted it because the title also refers to the "snow event" during said time range, not just today's snow. Enjoy your first snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 convergence backing off..we'll see if it can re-organize later for those further north. hopefully we can get a mod to move uw-weather's spam to the appropriate thread Any idea on how much you've picked up down there? A couple tenths? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Any idea on how much you've picked up down there? A couple tenths? I'm about 400 feet in the air right now so it's hard to tell. Returns were better further east as well so i'll see when i get off later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 I think he posted it because the title also refers to the "snow event" during said time range, not just today's snow. my bad, i thought we already had a thread for the upcoming synoptic event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UW-weather Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 my bad, i thought we already had a thread for the upcoming synoptic event Sorry, i deleted it myself. I thought this also meant the snow event from the plains to the Great Lakes. Maybe there should be separate threads to avoid confusion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UW-weather Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 15z HRRR, is picking up on a little LE near Chicago also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UW-weather Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 And for what its worth: 18 hour snow total from the RAP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 27, 2012 Author Share Posted December 27, 2012 my bad Phrase of the day. BTW for all wondering, this thread is for both the LES and synoptic event, as both will be ongoing tomorrow simultaneously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UW-weather Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Here is my map i prepared for www.midwestweather.org for the light snow, minus lafe effect/enhancement. Also, just looked at eh 12z CMC, it has a 2-3" amount in NE IL due to lake effect! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 UW-weather: nice you included me in the 2"+ area! Getting increased flurry action here. Band approaching Glenview. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 The western shores of Lake Michigan are getting more snow from the lake this year than over on this side! How odd. Lots of NE wind... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 EURO looks like it spits out AOA 0.1" QPF here. Just enough to freshen the pack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 UW-weather: nice you included me in the 2"+ area! Getting increased flurry action here. Looks like this thread is directed at both events. Let's see if we can both get our grass covered Tomorrow..... Another dying low headed towards Michigan, as well a new low stealing moisture away... Won't complain, won't complain...not the right thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 RAP shows the band flaring back up later. I don't think you will be denied snow tomorrow, Blackrock! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL 1203 PM CST THU DEC 27 2012 UPDATE NEW MODEL DATA SUGGESTS MUCH OF THE DVN CWA TO RECEIVE AT LEAST ONE-HALF TO 1 INCH OF SNOW ACCUMULATION BEGINNING LATER TONIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH MUCH OF FRIDAY. QPF AMOUNTS WILL BE LOW BUT SNOW/WATER RATIOS WILL BE ABOUT 16:1 WITH AT LEAST 100 MB OF DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE...DEEP ENOUGH TO SUPPORT NICE FLUFFY FLAKES THAT PILE UP EASILY. THE MODEL DATA SUGGESTS TWO POTENTIAL HEAVIER SNOW AREAS...ACROSS SOUTHEAST MN ASSOCIATED WITH THE 850 MB LOW AND IN WESTERN IL WITH THE STRONGEST WARM ADVECTION. IN THIS WARM ADVECTION WING THERE COULD BE SEVERAL HOURS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW ON FRIDAY WITH ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 2 INCHES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 WAA wing on some of the 12z runs (NMM etc) is pretty aggressive but very transient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 From Wilmette into Highland Park is that next area to get the LES band. Still some flurries here. Clouds have increased density it seems. Seeing some 20dbz returns again! There's definitely a swirl to this feature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 From Wilmette into Highland Park is that next area to get the LES band. Still some flurries here. Clouds have increased density it seems. Seeing some 20dbz returns again! There's definitely a swirl to this feature. Nice. Enjoy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Nice. Enjoy! No guarantees yet! Seems like it wants to focus in on NE Cook county for the time being. QPF through 54 hours. Some LES for NW IN too tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 LOT bumped totals tomorrow, 1-3 NE Cook, 2-4 Geos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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