snywx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Down here in the BX for the 1st part of the storm. Hopefully I get to enjoy the 2nd part with my NW crew Snowing at a good clip here in the north Bronx. Roughly 3" otg here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Down here in the BX for the 1st part of the storm. Hopefully I get to enjoy the 2nd part with my NW crew Snowing at a good clip here in the north Bronx. Roughly 3" otg here Coming down good here in Monroe- would say we are at 4 inches right now. Hope we get in on some heavy banding tonight. Have a safe trip back north. I ran out around 1pm to town and the roads were already pretty poor then. So your commute back will probably be a rough one. Hope you have your emergency road kit handy lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Coming down good here in Monroe- would say we are at 4 inches right now. Hope we get in on some heavy banding tonight. Have a safe trip back north. I ran out around 1pm to town and the roads were already pretty poor then. So your commute back will probably be a rough one. Hope you have your emergency road kit handy lol Yeah.. 4WD is a beautiful thing Nice and easy will do it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0124 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0351 PM CST FRI FEB 08 2013 AREAS AFFECTED...SRN NEW ENGLAND...LONG ISLAND AND SRN NY...FAR NERN NJ CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW VALID 082151Z - 090145Z SUMMARY...SNOWFALL RATES ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE MARKEDLY THIS EVENING ...WITH RATES OF 1-2 INCHES PER HR OVER SRN NY/NERN NJ...TO 2-3 INCHES ACROSS SRN NEW ENGLAND. ADDITIONALLY...STRENGTHENING WINDS MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED BLIZZARD CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE COAST. DISCUSSION...SFC OBS FROM 21Z CONTINUE TO REFLECT A RAPIDLY DEEPENING OFFSHORE CYCLONE...WITH PRESSURE FALLS OF 3-4 MB/HR OBSERVED. RADAR REFLECTIVITY MOSAIC SHOWS HIGHER PRECIPITATION RATES ARE BEGINNING TO SPREAD INLAND ACROSS LONG ISLAND AND TOWARDS RI/SRN MA/SRN CT. HOWEVER...SOME BRIGHT-BAND ENHANCEMENT MAY BE OCCURRING AS MIXED P-TYPE OF RAIN AND/OR SNOW IS PREDOMINANT ACROSS LONG ISLAND...WHERE SFC TEMPERATURES ARE CURRENTLY RANGING FROM 33-35 F. INITIALLY...NEAR- OR ABOVE-FREEZING TEMPERATURES MAY SUPPRESS RATES IMMEDIATELY ALONG THE COAST...BUT WITH LOW-LEVEL COLD ADVECTION INCREASING AS THE CYCLONE TRACKS N-NE...A CHANGEOVER TO PREDOMINANTLY SNOW IS EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 2-3 HRS ACROSS MOST OF THE HIGHLIGHTED AREA. SNOWFALL RATES WILL BE INCREASING IN CONCERT WITH INTENSE ISENTROPIC LIFT AND LOW-LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS WITHIN A DEFORMATION ZONE. ADDITIONALLY...AN UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE UPPER TROUGH /LOCATED OVER THE UPPER OH VALLEY PER 2130Z WATER VAPOR IMAGERY/ IS FORECAST TO PHASE WITH THE OFFSHORE DEEP-LAYER CYCLONE. AS THIS OCCURS...THE COMBINATION OF STRONG MIDLEVEL HEIGHT FALLS AND UPPER DIVERGENCE WITHIN A COUPLED UPPER JET STRUCTURE WILL CONTRIBUTE TO INCREASING DEEP-LAYER ASCENT. FORECAST MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW A NEARLY SATURATED COLUMN WITH A DEEP ISOTHERMAL LAYER LOCATED BENEATH THE DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE. THESE FACTORS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR EXTREMELY HIGH SNOWFALL RATES...ESPECIALLY FROM ERN LONG ISLAND INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND...INCLUDING THE BOSTON METRO AREA...AS SUPPORTED BY THE RECENT SUITE OF HIGH-RESOLUTION NUMERICAL GUIDANCE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Yeah.. 4WD is a beautiful thing Nice and easy will do it No doubt- as rough as it may be, it's fun if you have to be out in it- provided there are no issues on the commute. I'm on my 3rd Audi over the years and the AWD Quattro is awesome, I swear by it - just as good as my Jeep. Good fun! Enjoy the snowy trek back! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Yeah.. 4WD is a beautiful thing Nice and easy will do it Just got home from Bergen Co. NJ.. And yes 4Wd is abeautiful thing. Getting into some heavy snow here now. Close to 4" otg. Temp is 26.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Hows it looking up there guys? Im hearing its coming down pretty good in Orange County.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Patrick Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Radar STILL looks like crap here in Sussex and it's STILL moderate snow. 5" so far. Looks like we might get clobbered in the 9pm-3am band? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Radar STILL looks like crap here in Sussex and it's STILL moderate snow. 5" so far. Looks like we might get clobbered in the 9pm-3am band? Yeah that is gonna be the main deform band.. I would think from Sussex,Passiac,Orange northeastward still looks on target for 12-16" If you have at least 4" right now then 12" is def in your future. That band is crawling right now wait until it latches onto the coastal.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Hows it looking up there guys? Im hearing its coming down pretty good in Orange County.. Yup - getting pummeled here in Monroe right now. Heavy snow- closing in on 6 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGrenn Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Montague, NJ...Just to the west of main snowband...Not even 1" yet. Can't wait for the storm to start Friends however in Boston are getting clobbered and the main bands are barely on shore! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Patrick Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 funny enough... as we speak, that band is merging right over my house. lol Yeah that is gonna be the main deform band.. I would think from Sussex,Passiac,Orange northeastward still looks on target for 12-16" If you have at least 4" right now then 12" is def in your future. That band is crawling right now wait until it latches onto the coastal.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 funny enough... as we speak, that band is merging right over my house. lolYup, looks like it's setting up here in the county.http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/archiveviewer.php?sector=16&parm=pmsl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fishmn Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Phase I total bust here. 0.0 " not even a flake to be seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Patrick Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 sorry man. I know how you feel. Lower Passaic County was the snowhole of the past 5 years.. literally...if you check out climatology, missed the deform bands 5 out of the last 5 biggies. hopefully you cash in as phase two gets underway. Phase I total bust here. 0.0 " not even a flake to be seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
threeyoda Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 5.7 inches here. Snow starting to lighten up as the dry slot comes closer. Expecting it to get heavy soon though as it fills in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Latest forecast for lower Hudson Valley still calling for 10-16 inches for us. So far about 6 inches here in Monroe- will see what we end up with, but still coming down heavy and winds are kicking up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northwest NJ Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 I'm in the eastern 1/3 of sussex county and we have been dry slotted for almost two hours with light snow/flurries. I thought the snow in PA was going to come through about an hour ago but the dry slot is holding strong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 I'm in the eastern 1/3 of sussex county and we have been dry slotted for almost two hours with light snow/flurries. I thought the snow in PA was going to come through about an hour ago but the dry slot is holding strong I have seen this too many times in the past. I had the luck to be in this same situation numerous times in the past. The storm will pull away the band out in PA will swing thought and drop 2 inches & its done. Getting stuck between snow bands robs the energy in the shaft zone. I smell the dry air sucking the snow away:) Going to be tough to get the lower end of the warning snow total predicted at this point I suspect imby. Cheers, Darkstar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Light snow has started again. took a quick look at the radar and it seems the bands may start to go though bombogenesis and form one band together Hopefully the trend continues. Cheers, Darkstar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
threeyoda Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Just went outside, almost 6 inches on the ground, and the snow is getting heavier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Patrick Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Wicked winds and heavier snow than we saw all day up here... closing in on 6.5" and looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northwest NJ Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 By far the heaviest snowfall rates of the day. Definitely not a scientific measurement but snowfall rates probably close to 1 inch an hour now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Patrick Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 RIPPING outside right now here on the range. On a clear night, I can see High Point Tower. On a 1/2 mile night, I can see Lake Wallkill. On a 1/4 mile night, I can see the first tree where my landscaping ends. For the past 45 minutes, I can't see that tree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 It is absolutely coming down outside right now!! Took me 2.5hrs to get home from the Bronx. 7" otg here & Heavy Snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 It is absolutely coming down outside right now!! Took me 2.5hrs to get home from the Bronx. 7" otg here & Heavy Snow Same here- just pouring snow with winds kicking up. Just plowed the driveway- I would say we have 8 easy already and by time I was finished the driveway was covered again. Hope it lasts to morning- any word on end time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Same here- just pouring snow with winds kicking up. Just plowed the driveway- I would say we have 8 easy already and by time I was finished the driveway was covered again. Hope it lasts to morning- any word on end time? I would say a good 3-5hrs before it starts to die down. With these rates 3-5hrs can yield an additional 6-8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Should be pretty sweet then. All in all a nice storm for sure. Some of those guys in the NYC thread are not happy, to put it mildly. That's why I always temper my expectations when it comes to snow. I feel for them, but it's turning out great for us. Even if it ended now it still the best storm of the season so far. But in the end it all melts and its just water lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Should be pretty sweet then. All in all a nice storm for sure. Some of those guys in the NYC thread are not happy, to put it mildly. That's why I always temper my expectations when it comes to snow. I feel for them, but it's turning out great for us. Even if it ended now it still the best storm of the season so far. But in the end it all melts and its just water lol They act is if they control weather. they must be a blast to hang out with too. I will take a final measure around 11:30-11:45 prior to bed. Overall a solid storm. Hopefully a few more down the road. Cheers, Matt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2112wxgrl Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 This has been a nice storm. I think the phase happened in the nick of time. The result being the precip shield finally filling in and gracing us with a good band of snow. My kids are looking forward to sledding this weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.