mitchnick Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 mitch, 12z EURO has NO accumulated QPF during the entire 240 for DC. .01" for the 6 hrs ending 168 hrs per Accuwx print out but I agree that is virtually nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 January 2005 dryslot on the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 January 2005 dryslot on the euro I wish BWI had 4" out of it with T-Snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phils1 Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 The current major SSW event continues to unfold with dramatic warming now over the eastern and central US. There are lots of similarities between this event and wintertime events in 1984/1985 and 1998/1999. Those recent history events give us some clues as to the potential impact of the current event. An overall colder-than-normal temperature pattern in the eastern and central US that begins in earnest early next week should last into February based on these analogs. Detailed breakdown in this video: http://spam.com/category/phl/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 I hadn't noticed this until today, but the GFS is painting some nearly -20F Dew Points on Wednesday. That can't happen too often around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 I hadn't noticed this until today, but the GFS is painting some nearly -20F Dew Points on Wednesday. That can't happen too often around here. Cold and dry is our middle name Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 I hadn't noticed this until today, but the GFS is painting some nearly -20F Dew Points on Wednesday. That can't happen too often around here. I recorded a dewpoint of 5.7°F today at the time of maximum mixing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 I recorded a dewpoint of 5.7°F today at the time of maximum mixing. and it was those kinds of dews that gave us our virga blizzard last evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 I hadn't noticed this until today, but the GFS is painting some nearly -20F Dew Points on Wednesday. That can't happen too often around here. Will the anomalous dryness be noticeable? If I can actually feel the "dryness" I may have to take a jebwalk in negative dews. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 I hadn't noticed this until today, but the GFS is painting some nearly -20F Dew Points on Wednesday. That can't happen too often around here. The 18Z GFS actually gives us a dusting with a clipper and looks quite a bit colder than the previous runs for the 180hr time period. Not sure what that means. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 The 18Z GFS actually gives us a dusting with a clipper and looks quite a bit colder than the previous runs for the 180hr time period. Not sure what that means.It's ens members like that idea of precip developing in the southern miss valley. The 12z had one showing it. Didn't seem to be much upper support on the operational run. That kinda thing confuses me. Seems like about 10 days ago we had what looked like a good vortex pass south of us and it produced nothing and this one seems to blow up from nothing. Maybe you could enlighten me on this. It's a long way out there, probably nothing, but still interesting to me.Edit: I'm referring to the 168-192 time frame Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMan1 Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Gotta keep an eye on the system next Fri-Sat, the 25-26. Very Miller B-ish, come due east from the OH Vly, however the EC was correctly trending the low farther south. The antecedent cold air is key...if the confluence to the north and the lllvl cold air is as strong as we think it can be next week, and knowing that the models love to scour it out too soon in the medium range, we may have a legit shot here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Starting late next week, the pattern starts to get active and with cold air coming in and out of the mid atlantic, we just might pull a rabbit out of the hat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 Cold air on 18Z sticking around a little better. Couple of minimal snow chances as well. Interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 I don't care that it's the 84 hr NAM, but tonight's run has a +PNA like they don't make any more don't know if it will help us down the road (next Fri or Sat) but it is impressive http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?model=nam&area=namer¶m=500_vort_ht&cycle=00ℑ=nam%2F00%2Fnam_namer_084_500_vort_ht.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 It's ens members like that idea of precip developing in the southern miss valley. The 12z had one showing it. Didn't seem to be much upper support on the operational run. That kinda thing confuses me. Seems like about 10 days ago we had what looked like a good vortex pass south of us and it produced nothing and this one seems to blow up from nothing. Maybe you could enlighten me on this. It's a long way out there, probably nothing, but still interesting to me. Edit: I'm referring to the 168-192 time frame I think it isn't the vort that drives the precip initially but the precip is more related to the gulf opening up and then some warm advection developing partly in response to weak srn stream energy that is trying to get involved but that's just a WAG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 I think it isn't the vort that drives the precip initially but the precip is more related to the gulf opening up and then some warm advection developing partly in response to weak srn stream energy that is trying to get involved but that's just a WAG. You are the weather equivalent of a cult leader, you know. Lives might hang in the balance as you type up a weather post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 You are the weather equivalent of a cult leader, you know. Lives might hang in the balance as you type up a weather post. Weenie King Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 Weenie King More like weenie ding a ling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 More like weenie ding a ling. Theyre one in the same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 Weenie King It is frustrating that we have the best met on the forum posting here and all he has to discuss is drizzle obs and heat waves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 More like weenie ding a ling. You need to move north or west, man. The nipple in Calvert County ain't doing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 It is frustrating that we have the best met on the forum posting here and all he has to discuss is drizzle obs and heat waves. I'm not sure I've seen Wes discuss a heat wave. He's as hard to find as Randy on the weather side in the warm season unless we are about to get raked by a Fay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 I think it isn't the vort that drives the precip initially but the precip is more related to the gulf opening up and then some warm advection developing partly in response to weak srn stream energy that is trying to get involved but that's just a WAG. Thanks Wes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 I'm not sure I've seen Wes discuss a heat wave. He's as hard to find as Randy on the weather side in the warm season unless we are about to get raked by a Fay. By "heat wave" I mean "January." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 More like weenie ding a ling. Put down the lambrusco Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 So far 00z GFS holds the cold air much longer for next Friday/Saturday with increasing moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 So far 00z GFS holds the cold air much longer for next Friday/Saturday with increasing moisture. I would LOVE to lock in tonight 00z GFS.....please? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 I would LOVE to lock in tonight 00z GFS.....please? APPROVED Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 168 and 171 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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