usedtobe Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 mid 20's 1pm 1/23 even hatters is at freezing then I'm not sure we'll be in the 20s as we could still get screwed by a clipper going across the lakes but think the 30s is likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 we have 850 temps of around -22 next Wednesday with an afternoon max in the low 20s and the core of the cold isnt here yet..I'm sure it is over done but I love it! Next week is going to be beautiful for cold lovers like us. Still believe we won't be able to enter and exit that type of air mass without at least a bit of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Euro has -10 afternoon highs for MSP by next Tuesday Congrats to a city in the upper Midwest? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 and not a hint of the white stuff right? no but we need to get cold 1st January 2009 DCA had a dry high of 18 and IAD 17 with no snowcover...we got that semi-crappy storm a week later, but at least it was a couple inches...i want cold...then we have things to track that can work with bad tracks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 no but we need to get cold 1st January 2009 DCA had a dry high of 18 and IAD 17 with no snowcover...we got that semi-crappy storm a week later, but at least it was a couple inches...i want cold...then we have things to track that can work with bad tracks why would you want to track bad tracks? Its very possible that its cold and dry and then we get a back storm that starts as ice because surface temps are still cold but it changes to rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 no but we need to get cold 1st January 2009 DCA had a dry high of 18 and IAD 17 with no snowcover...we got that semi-crappy storm a week later, but at least it was a couple inches...i want cold...then we have things to track that can work with bad tracks looks like something's getting its act together out in the western plains on Day 10 Accuwx maps haven't updated yet....any potential to that? the trough in the east seems to be relaxing at that point EDIT: this: http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/charts/medium/deterministic/msl_uv850_z500!Geopotential%20500%20hPa%20and%20Temperature%20at%20850%20hPa!240!North%20America!pop!od!oper!public_plots!2013011412!!/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 looks like something's getting its act together out in the western plains on Day 10 Accuwx maps haven't updated yet....any potential to that? the trough in the east seems to be relaxing at that point EDIT: this: http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/charts/medium/deterministic/msl_uv850_z500!Geopotential%20500%20hPa%20and%20Temperature%20at%20850%20hPa!240!North%20America!pop!od!oper!public_plots!2013011412!!/ Raleighwx's maps show a 995 low in western Iowa with a lobe of the PV looking to drop into it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 nah, day 10 looks like a warm front heading towards us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 why would you want to track bad tracks? Its very possible that its cold and dry and then we get a back storm that starts as ice because surface temps are still cold but it changes to rain because it is better than dry and with cold we can still do ok or have a chance without threading the needle...you got 3 snowstorms from bad tracks..you should welcome it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 frozen precip in N. Louisiana and Miss. last hour but nothing like that anytime soon here lol http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sfc_map.php?inv=0&t=cur®ion=sp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 frozen precip in N. Louisiana and Miss. last hour but nothing like that anytime soon here lol http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sfc_map.php?inv=0&t=cur®ion=sp The signal on the OP and ensembles is for 1/26-1/30...be patient Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrederickWX Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 we have 850 temps of around -22 next Wednesday with an afternoon max in the low 20s and the core of the cold isnt here yet..I'm sure it is over done but I love it! At least that's something. Maybe upper 20s and low 30s? At least that will feel more like winter, even if it's dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Here is the JMA 192. No comment necessary Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Here is the JMA 192. No comment necessarylooks like we get the shaft Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 looks like we get the shaft Yep and SE Ontario gets the....um....well....nevermind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 mid 20's 1pm 1/23 even hatters is at freezing then Maybe there can be some Bay effect snows!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 looks like we get the shaft It looks like New Jersey might be pregnant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 It looks like New Jersey might be pregnant. And that would be awful. This country cannot handle a reproducing NJ. I almost suffered a stroke when I accidentally tuned into jersey shore and went deaf after listening to 4 minutes of jersey housewives. Thank god the JMA sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 *boom* we're now sne.. minus the snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 *boom* we're now sne.. minus the snow No we are not, we are just bored stiff. There has been no snow for 2 years and there is nothing on the horizon. They are like that even when there is 2 feet of snow on the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 I always gladly add any intelligent disco I can irt snow threats but right now if I add anything about a threat it would not include intelligence. I'll shut up now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 NAM is showing some frozen out here for Wednesday. But unfortunately it is the NAM afterall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 NAM is showing some frozen out here for Wednesday. But unfortunately it is the NAM afterall. That closed low on NAM is a powerhouse...need to get it to KY and move due east...I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Here is the JMA 192. No comment necessary umm, that's too far ahead JMA does give us precip for the 24 hrs ending 96 hrs check out the loop http://grib2.com/animate/foreign_loops.php3?type=CONUS_JMA_1000-500_SLPTHKPRP&width=1280&height=1024&model=JMA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 umm, that's too far ahead JMA does give us precip for the 24 hrs ending 96 hrs check out the loop http://grib2.com/animate/foreign_loops.php3?type=CONUS_JMA_1000-500_SLPTHKPRP&width=1280&height=1024&model=JMA meh, nevermind day 4 didn't update Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 more confusion the Accuwx Day 6 map (that did update) shows qpf getting into DCA/BWI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 That closed low on NAM is a powerhouse...need to get it to KY and move due east...I think Powerhouse except at the surface but at least it has the h5, h7, and h85 lows all consolidated in the same area. Off to the 18z DGEX! Its a fools chance for Friday night... but I will play the fool Alos, seems like some of the 15z SREF individual members by 87 hrs have QPF of 0.1 moving into our CWA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 That closed low on NAM is a powerhouse...need to get it to KY and move due east...I think Prob is the precip shield will cut off so quick with no surface reflection. I know it's the nam and it's prob wrong but if we could get some kind of waa precip out in front and some sort of surface reflection in front as well it would make a huge difference. It's looking doubtful at best. Just a hard core wall of denial to the north. At least the models think so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Euro ensembles very supportive of the arctic outbreak next week, more so than I recall with the countless other arctic outbreaks the Op has shown. 192hrs also has suggestions of a coastal storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Powerhouse except at the surface but at least it has the h5, h7, and h85 lows all consolidated in the same area. Off to the 18z DGEX! Its a fools chance for Friday night... but I will play the fool But, but, but...what about the CRAS??? Fools chance, yes. As a former president mis-quoted, "Fool me once, shame on you...fool me twice, uhhh, uhhh, you can't get fooled again!" Ah, heck, I'm always getting fooled again when looking for winter weather, especially in a (non)winter like this one (so shame on me, I suppose)! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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