mitchnick Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 500mb RH hmmmm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 The folks on the SE thread are expecting snow so how are we worried about precip type issues Because it's DC and I'm extrapolating the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 500mb RH hmmmm... Look at that lovely great lakes low on the sfc map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 This is a winter we are going to luck into something late. Obviously the set-up is far from ideal but too soon to punt. Seen a north trend too many times to write this one off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 It took you this long to figure it out, I thought you were brighter than that. Probably because I generally ignore such incoherent ramblings.. Go Ravens! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Because it's DC and I'm extrapolating the NAM. Oh great! And next the GGEM ( sighing) - Seriously think it gets squished south. Hope not! We can't buy snow here except out of Slurpee machines and the snow is already dirty! I love me a coke Slurpee! Should not trust the NAM or extrapolating. These are Weenie posts (this one included) should probably be pushed to the Weenie Snow Hopes Thread! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Look at that lovely great lakes low on the sfc map that's the reinforcing clipper that will have the frigid air behind it it's probably helping to pull the southern vort north some EDIT: of course too far north and we get what we're used to around here I'm really starting to hate this total lack of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 it's gunna' be another whiff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 GFS is quicker than the SREFS ejecting the SRN cutoff. GFS is almost always wrong when it is the fastest with the SRN stream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 I'm gonna throw up.... So much heavy qpf....so close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 it seems like every NINA has a southern system that misses us, even in total cr@p years 01/02 had one I recall 07/08 or 08/09 too off the top of my head EDIT: I guess I should have said NINA or NINA-like winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 GFS lets that energy go awfully quick, could come north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 on the bright side we might miss a cold rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 0z GFS is the biggest slap in the face for DC yet.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 GFS lets that energy go awfully quick, could come north. it won't, or it will come too far north look at Tuesday's system it would be comical if it wasn't so d@mn depressing how as the precip moves north, the freeze line goes with it to screw us until it gets to our north where it is far enough south in the precip shield to give the usual suspects snow.....after days and days of the models giving them absolutely no qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 on the bright side we might miss a cold rain Good call pro forecaster Ian. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 on the bright side we might miss a cold rain Rain? Dude, enough with the pessimism. It's gets old. We get it. What can go wrong will go wrong, it's been warm, sun angle, road temps, boundary layer, etc, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Rain? Dude, enough with the pessimism. It's gets old. We get it. What can go wrong will go wrong, it's been warm, sun angle, road temps, boundary layer, etc, etc. Its rain for basically everyone down south anyway... no one gets snow really besides NC mt region (yes I know what the silly snow maps show) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Its rain for basically everyone down south anyway... no one gets snow really besides NC mt region (yes I know what the silly snow maps show) I doubt it would be all rain, even with dicey sfc temps, all other crits are below freezing. but wait, i just realized, who cares. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 GFS will win a prize if the H5 low verifies in NW LA and the surface low verifies along the Georgia coast @84hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Its rain for basically everyone down south anyway... no one gets snow really besides NC mt region (yes I know what the silly snow maps show) Yeah, it's a tough system at the lower levels. Soundings are not that COLD, just dry-- waiting to get the air to cool, cloud up-- cool more dynamically. Ugg. And, if it's a qpf maker the latent heat usually pushes it a little north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 on the bright side we might miss a cold rain I won't. I'll bring you back some money if I win. On a serious, weather related note, I bet you the cold shot get's warmer. 1 day of "cold", then back to our normal pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 FWIW, 18z DGEX brought the snow up to DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 I won't. I'll bring you back some money if I win. On a serious, weather related note, I bet you the cold shot get's warmer. 1 day of "cold", then back to our normal pattern. meh, cold air w/o snow is like having a hot girlfriend who won't give it up who needs that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 meh, cold air w/o snow is like having a hot girlfriend who won't give it up who needs that +1....hundred. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 I won't. I'll bring you back some money if I win. On a serious, weather related note, I bet you the cold shot get's warmer. 1 day of "cold", then back to our normal pattern. i hope so. on both notes. i do think we'll see some good cold.. hopefully it keeps getting pushed back so we get away from our climo coldest period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 On a positive note, Wes did say earlier this season that he favored DC receiving its yearly median snowfall this winter. If DC doesn't get any snow through early Feb, then about 14 inches of snow will have to come down in a hurry. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 On a positive note, Wes did say earlier that he favored DC receiving its yearly median snowfall this winter. If DC doesn't get any snow through early Feb, then about 14 inches of snow will have to come down in a hurry. MDstorm PD III Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 We just have to wait 384 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 it is going to take some time... I heard the euro weeklies and ensembles look really good 2nd week of FEB....we might have to punt the next 2 weeks..we'll see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.