TUweathermanDD Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 on the bright side we might miss a cold rain Good call pro forecaster Ian. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 on the bright side we might miss a cold rain Rain? Dude, enough with the pessimism. It's gets old. We get it. What can go wrong will go wrong, it's been warm, sun angle, road temps, boundary layer, etc, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Rain? Dude, enough with the pessimism. It's gets old. We get it. What can go wrong will go wrong, it's been warm, sun angle, road temps, boundary layer, etc, etc. Its rain for basically everyone down south anyway... no one gets snow really besides NC mt region (yes I know what the silly snow maps show) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Its rain for basically everyone down south anyway... no one gets snow really besides NC mt region (yes I know what the silly snow maps show) I doubt it would be all rain, even with dicey sfc temps, all other crits are below freezing. but wait, i just realized, who cares. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 GFS will win a prize if the H5 low verifies in NW LA and the surface low verifies along the Georgia coast @84hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Its rain for basically everyone down south anyway... no one gets snow really besides NC mt region (yes I know what the silly snow maps show) Yeah, it's a tough system at the lower levels. Soundings are not that COLD, just dry-- waiting to get the air to cool, cloud up-- cool more dynamically. Ugg. And, if it's a qpf maker the latent heat usually pushes it a little north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 on the bright side we might miss a cold rain I won't. I'll bring you back some money if I win. On a serious, weather related note, I bet you the cold shot get's warmer. 1 day of "cold", then back to our normal pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 FWIW, 18z DGEX brought the snow up to DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 I won't. I'll bring you back some money if I win. On a serious, weather related note, I bet you the cold shot get's warmer. 1 day of "cold", then back to our normal pattern. meh, cold air w/o snow is like having a hot girlfriend who won't give it up who needs that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 meh, cold air w/o snow is like having a hot girlfriend who won't give it up who needs that +1....hundred. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 I won't. I'll bring you back some money if I win. On a serious, weather related note, I bet you the cold shot get's warmer. 1 day of "cold", then back to our normal pattern. i hope so. on both notes. i do think we'll see some good cold.. hopefully it keeps getting pushed back so we get away from our climo coldest period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 On a positive note, Wes did say earlier this season that he favored DC receiving its yearly median snowfall this winter. If DC doesn't get any snow through early Feb, then about 14 inches of snow will have to come down in a hurry. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 On a positive note, Wes did say earlier that he favored DC receiving its yearly median snowfall this winter. If DC doesn't get any snow through early Feb, then about 14 inches of snow will have to come down in a hurry. MDstorm PD III Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 We just have to wait 384 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 you've been making the same point for years...we have responded over and over and you just ignore every response and keep posting the exact same thing....your post asks a question we have answered probably 50 times already...so not sure why you are asking the question again Ok well instead we should embrace and limit our observations to "winter's over....blowtorch....worst run ever" Get serious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Maybe the Canadian will give us hope (said in weeniest of voices) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 it is going to take some time... I heard the euro weeklies and ensembles look really good 2nd week of FEB....we might have to punt the next 2 weeks..we'll see... 40" in March? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 it is going to take some time... I heard the euro weeklies and ensembles look really good 2nd week of FEB....we might have to punt the next 2 weeks..we'll see... I'm going to punt myself into a new hobby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 it is going to take some time... I heard the euro weeklies and ensembles look really good 2nd week of FEB....we might have to punt the next 2 weeks..we'll see... You've had me punting so much already this winter, my shoes have holes in them. When do we go for the Hail Mary? MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 I'm going to punt myself into a new hobby by the 2nd week of FEB, we're 2 weeks away from spring, and unlike winter, it's met spring with actual spring weather (not that what we have tonight wouldn't qualify as early spring for that matter) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 it is going to take some time... I heard the euro weeklies and ensembles look really good 2nd week of FEB....we might have to punt the next 2 weeks..we'll see... the second week of FEB starts 3 weeks from today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 it is going to take some time... I heard the euro weeklies and ensembles look really good 2nd week of FEB....we might have to punt the next 2 weeks..we'll see... 12/25/13-01/12/14 will be just what we want. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 the second week of FEB starts 3 weeks from today By then we should be able to officially cancel winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 By then we should be able to officially cancel winter except for 4 days in DEC, it has been canceled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 It helps that I knew this winter would suck back in November when many people had dreams of KU's and arctic blasts I thought this would be a good year to hit normal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 It helps that I knew this winter would suck back in November when many people had dreams of KU's and arctic blasts True...you were not very optomistic about this winter early on. But a shut-out would be tough to take (even with low expectations). I'm going to ride the MJO train for now. Models have been pushing the current wave further along.....perhaps phase 8/phase 1 by early Feb. If the wave gets stuck in 6/7 or decays into COD, then I give up. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 True...you were not very optomistic about this winter early on. But a shut-out would be tough to take (even with low expectations). I'm going to ride the MJO train for now. Models have been pushing the current wave further along.....perhaps phase 8/phase 1 by early Feb. If the wave gets stuck in 6/7 or decays into COD, then I give up. MDstorm if you're a man of your word, cya next year http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/CLIVAR/clivar_wh.shtml Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 if you're a man of your word, cya next year http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/CLIVAR/clivar_wh.shtml I'm aware of the models and have been following them for a while. A lot of the models have been pushing things further east as each model run goes by. We will see how things look in about a week as this wave is moving through phase 7. NCPE------FTW. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 I'm aware of the models and have been following them for a while. A lot of the models have been pushing things further east as each model run goes by. We will see how things look in about a week as this wave is moving through phase 7. NCPE------FTW. MDstorm I know the MJO has a huge effect on our wx but as a weenie, I just stick with the models since it's more technical than I care to get lol so I just go with the models on that link hope you're right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Well, ECMWF shows NOTHING, even in Danville-- colder, low is more suppressed. (Haven't seen h5, but I assume it's weaker as well) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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