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January 2013 mid-long range disco thread


Midlo Snow Maker

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Rain? Dude, enough with the pessimism. It's gets old. We get it. What can go wrong will go wrong, it's been warm, sun angle, road temps, boundary layer, etc, etc.

Its rain for basically everyone down south anyway... no one gets snow really besides NC mt region (yes  I know what the silly snow maps show)

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Its rain for basically everyone down south anyway... no one gets snow really besides NC mt region (yes  I know what the silly snow maps show)

 

 

Yeah, it's a tough system at the lower levels. Soundings are not that COLD, just dry-- waiting to get the air to cool, cloud up-- cool more dynamically. Ugg. And, if it's a qpf maker the latent heat usually pushes it a little north. 

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I won't.   I'll bring you back some money if I win.

 

On a serious, weather related note, I bet you the cold shot get's warmer.  1 day of "cold", then back to our normal pattern.

i hope so. on both notes. ;)

 

i do think we'll see some good cold.. hopefully it keeps getting pushed back so we get away from our climo coldest period. :P

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you've been making the same point for years...we have responded over and over  and you just ignore every response and keep posting the exact same thing....your post asks a question we have answered probably 50 times already...so not sure why you are asking the question again

Ok well instead we should embrace and limit our observations to "winter's over....blowtorch....worst run ever"  Get serious.

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It helps that I knew this winter would suck back in November when many people had dreams of KU's and arctic blasts

True...you were not very optomistic about this winter early on.  But a shut-out would be tough to take (even with low expectations).  I'm going to ride the MJO train for now.  Models have been pushing the current wave further along.....perhaps phase 8/phase 1 by early Feb.  If the wave gets stuck in 6/7 or decays into COD, then I give up.

 

MDstorm

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True...you were not very optomistic about this winter early on.  But a shut-out would be tough to take (even with low expectations).  I'm going to ride the MJO train for now.  Models have been pushing the current wave further along.....perhaps phase 8/phase 1 by early Feb.  If the wave gets stuck in 6/7 or decays into COD, then I give up.

 

MDstorm

if you're a man of your word, cya next year

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/CLIVAR/clivar_wh.shtml

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I'm aware of the models and have been following them for a while.  A lot of the models have been  pushing things further east as each model run goes by.  We will see how things look in about a week as this wave is moving through phase 7.  NCPE------FTW.

 

MDstorm

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I'm aware of the models and have been following them for a while.  A lot of the models have been  pushing things further east as each model run goes by.  We will see how things look in about a week as this wave is moving through phase 7.  NCPE------FTW.

 

MDstorm

 

I know the MJO has a huge effect on our wx but as a weenie, I just stick with the models since it's more technical than I care to get     lol

so I just go with the models on that link

hope you're right

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