Deck Pic Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 euro has a swath of precip Tue night that may be snow for some...hard to say... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 @102 precip is gone. Hard to tell what is frozen/liquid w/o soundings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 @90 2nd slug of moisture moves in. Temps colder. Unsure of profiles but frozen N&W of DCA. about .15 for IAD, 0.20" for DCA that falls TUE night with 850 temps <0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Euro is an improvement from 0z leave it at that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 @102 precip is gone. Hard to tell what is frozen/liquid w/o soundings. Would be happy to see snow fall out of sky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 for those with SV maps, is there a clipper day 6.5-7? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Euro is awfully unimpressive with the cold through day 7 I day we're between -10C and -15C and then poof....it's pulling out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Euro is awfully unimpressive with the cold through day 7 I day we're between -10C and -15C and then poof....it's pulling out Probably will help with storm track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 for those with SV maps, is there a clipper day 6.5-7? no...it goes way north of here...cold air hasn't really made a push south yet...one day with highs in the mid to upper 30s and then back to 40s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Probably will help with storm track. not when we're at -3C or so on day 7 with this surface map http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=namer&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1280x1024&mo=ecmwf≤=sfc&va=slp&in=4&pl=cf&ft=7day&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest just gimme some snow this week and I'll be happy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 The big cold push comes at the end of the run like last night..day 9...low to mid teens late evening on day 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 no day 9 storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 no day 9 storm? since it's not there, and it's been there for the last few days, it must mean there will be one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 actually, day 10 has an incredible +PNA and something coming down on the west side of the PV other than that, enjoy cold and dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 one of JB's old signals for a trough in the east is a trough off Japan means a trough in the east in 7 days (I think it's 7!) nice day 10 trough on the Euro over Japan so if the pattern does relax a bit for us after day 10, it will probably come back if that signal holds true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Weenie love Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Weenie love Holy Crap!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Holy Crap!!! Lol stay calm, that's usually overdone, but I'm liking where we stand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Lol stay calm, that's usually overdone, but I'm liking where we stand. BWI ain't DCA, so where you stand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 BWI ain't DCA, so where you stand My apologies, not bad for DCA either I hear. Couple inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Lol stay calm, that's usually overdone, but I'm liking where we stand. stand? I'm still picking myself up off the floor it isn't going to happen like that but if half that fell, I'd be ecstatic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 stand? I'm still picking myself up off the floor it isn't going to happen like that but if half that fell, I'd be ecstatic Heck yea man, 2-3" would be sick, any more, get outta town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 no day 9 storm? Of course not, the weenie proverb says "Winter is always 10 days away!" so all snowstorms should disappear day 9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 unfortunately, the reality is that the GFS at Day 3+ has looked sooo good over the years then ultimately shiat the bed so at this point, it's nice to dream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThreeRedheads Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Might as well post for IAD and DCA: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 I doubt these outputs are accurate....not sure why we use them or maps... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 NAM blows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 NAM blows Holds the precip back consolidated more into the one wave, it was wrong before when it was bringing in precip 15hrs before the other models. It's current solution is more believable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 this is the 1pm sounding for DC Proper from the 12z GFS...has no support from the 12z Euro or 18z Nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 this is the 1pm sounding for DC Proper from the 12z GFS...has no support from the 12z Euro or 18z Nam GFS_3_2013011212_F78_39.0000N_77.0000W.png Figures it looks great This is a gametime call as Bob noted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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