weathervswife Posted January 13, 2013 Share Posted January 13, 2013 Delete if not ok......... Yeah, I saved that one. Nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 13, 2013 Share Posted January 13, 2013 Models went from -30C 850's to -15C, about a 30F swing in 12 hours. How can anthing that is allegedly scientific produce such a swing in such a short period of time?? All these things are is paint every picture possible in the 5+ days, push it back as the time draws near, show it over and over again in the 10-15 day range, push that back, raise temps 30*F, lower them, show the low off SC coast, show the low in the Ohio Valley and come crunch time one of the myriad of portrayls will probably come true, the money for funding keeps rolling in, and 99% of the world never knows what flip flopping, mish mashing weather resources we are stuck with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted January 13, 2013 Share Posted January 13, 2013 Anyone who has been on this board or more than a week knows your feelings about models. I, for one, would rather not get about them over and over in the discussion thread. Start a thread of your own to talk about this. Models went from -30C 850's to -15C, about a 30F swing in 12 hours. How can anthing that is allegedly scientific produce such a swing in such a short period of time?? All these things are is paint every picture possible in the 5+ days, push it back as the time draws near, show it over and over again in the 10-15 day range, push that back, raise temps 30*F, lower them, show the low off SC coast, show the low in the Ohio Valley and come crunch time one of the myriad of portrayls will probably come true, the money for funding keeps rolling in, and 99% of the world never knows what flip flopping, mish mashing weather resources we are stuck with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Anyone who has been on this board or more than a week knows your feelings about models. I, for one, would rather not get about them over and over in the discussion thread. Start a thread of your own to talk about this. I am sorry. I did not read the notice where you were made hall monitor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 I am sorry. I did not read the notice where you were made hall monitor. No one made me the hall monitor, I'm just giving voice to many in this mid-long range discussion (see, it's not called "bash the models") thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Delete if not ok......... lol, That's a terrible picture of me. I probably will be impressed by the cold in 11 days or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 you've been making the same point for years...we have responded over and over and you just ignore every response and keep posting the exact same thing....your post asks a question we have answered probably 50 times already...so not sure why you are asking the question again If you were voted hall monitor, I'd say this would be a d@mn good answer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 lol, That's a terrible picture of me. I probably will be impressed by the cold in 11 days or so. Sorry, only one I could find that was the right size Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Sref and NAM leaving more energy behind every run. Friday timeframe could get interesting for someone. However It maybe rain for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Sref and NAM leaving more energy behind every run. Friday timeframe could get interesting for someone. However It maybe rain for us. saw that too anyone know if this 300mp map at 75 hrs foretells something positive wrt that system making it this far north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Models went from -30C 850's to -15C, about a 30F swing in 12 hours. How can anthing that is allegedly scientific produce such a swing in such a short period of time?? All these things are is paint every picture possible in the 5+ days, push it back as the time draws near, show it over and over again in the 10-15 day range, push that back, raise temps 30*F, lower them, show the low off SC coast, show the low in the Ohio Valley and come crunch time one of the myriad of portrayls will probably come true, the money for funding keeps rolling in, and 99% of the world never knows what flip flopping, mish mashing weather resources we are stuck with. $10 says this is Howard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 $10 says this is Howard It took you this long to figure it out, I thought you were brighter than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 $10 says this is Howard He had that other fake name back in the day too- Had a TN link as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 saw that too anyone know if this 300mp map at 75 hrs foretells something positive wrt that system making it this far north? Definitely and interesting run for Northern suburbs. That thing is juiced and if extrapolated would nail someone between here and central PA. Confluence should stop it from coming too far north but changing DC over won't be too difficult. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 The folks on the SE thread are expecting snow so how are we worried about precip type issues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 500mb RH hmmmm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 The folks on the SE thread are expecting snow so how are we worried about precip type issues Because it's DC and I'm extrapolating the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 500mb RH hmmmm... Look at that lovely great lakes low on the sfc map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 This is a winter we are going to luck into something late. Obviously the set-up is far from ideal but too soon to punt. Seen a north trend too many times to write this one off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 It took you this long to figure it out, I thought you were brighter than that. Probably because I generally ignore such incoherent ramblings.. Go Ravens! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Because it's DC and I'm extrapolating the NAM. Oh great! And next the GGEM ( sighing) - Seriously think it gets squished south. Hope not! We can't buy snow here except out of Slurpee machines and the snow is already dirty! I love me a coke Slurpee! Should not trust the NAM or extrapolating. These are Weenie posts (this one included) should probably be pushed to the Weenie Snow Hopes Thread! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Look at that lovely great lakes low on the sfc map that's the reinforcing clipper that will have the frigid air behind it it's probably helping to pull the southern vort north some EDIT: of course too far north and we get what we're used to around here I'm really starting to hate this total lack of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 it's gunna' be another whiff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 GFS is quicker than the SREFS ejecting the SRN cutoff. GFS is almost always wrong when it is the fastest with the SRN stream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 I'm gonna throw up.... So much heavy qpf....so close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 it seems like every NINA has a southern system that misses us, even in total cr@p years 01/02 had one I recall 07/08 or 08/09 too off the top of my head EDIT: I guess I should have said NINA or NINA-like winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 GFS lets that energy go awfully quick, could come north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 on the bright side we might miss a cold rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 0z GFS is the biggest slap in the face for DC yet.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 GFS lets that energy go awfully quick, could come north. it won't, or it will come too far north look at Tuesday's system it would be comical if it wasn't so d@mn depressing how as the precip moves north, the freeze line goes with it to screw us until it gets to our north where it is far enough south in the precip shield to give the usual suspects snow.....after days and days of the models giving them absolutely no qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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