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January 2013 mid-long range disco thread


Midlo Snow Maker

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Models went from -30C 850's to -15C, about a 30F swing in 12 hours.  How can anthing that is allegedly scientific produce such a swing in such a short period of time?? All these things are is paint every picture possible in the 5+ days, push it back as the time draws near, show it over and over again in the 10-15 day range, push that back, raise temps 30*F, lower them, show the low off SC coast, show the low in the Ohio Valley and come crunch time one of the myriad of portrayls will probably come true, the money for funding keeps rolling in, and 99% of the world never knows what flip flopping, mish mashing weather resources we are stuck with.

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Anyone who has been on this board or more than a week knows your feelings about models. I, for one, would rather not get about them over and over in the discussion thread. Start a thread of your own to talk about this.

Models went from -30C 850's to -15C, about a 30F swing in 12 hours. How can anthing that is allegedly scientific produce such a swing in such a short period of time?? All these things are is paint every picture possible in the 5+ days, push it back as the time draws near, show it over and over again in the 10-15 day range, push that back, raise temps 30*F, lower them, show the low off SC coast, show the low in the Ohio Valley and come crunch time one of the myriad of portrayls will probably come true, the money for funding keeps rolling in, and 99% of the world never knows what flip flopping, mish mashing weather resources we are stuck with.
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Anyone who has been on this board or more than a week knows your feelings about models. I, for one, would rather not get about them over and over in the discussion thread. Start a thread of your own to talk about this.

I am sorry. I did not read the notice where you were made hall monitor.

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you've been making the same point for years...we have responded over and over  and you just ignore every response and keep posting the exact same thing....your post asks a question we have answered probably 50 times already...so not sure why you are asking the question again

If you were voted hall monitor, I'd say this would be a d@mn good answer. 

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Models went from -30C 850's to -15C, about a 30F swing in 12 hours.  How can anthing that is allegedly scientific produce such a swing in such a short period of time?? All these things are is paint every picture possible in the 5+ days, push it back as the time draws near, show it over and over again in the 10-15 day range, push that back, raise temps 30*F, lower them, show the low off SC coast, show the low in the Ohio Valley and come crunch time one of the myriad of portrayls will probably come true, the money for funding keeps rolling in, and 99% of the world never knows what flip flopping, mish mashing weather resources we are stuck with.

$10 says this is Howard

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saw that too

anyone know if this 300mp map at 75 hrs foretells something positive wrt that system making it this far north?

nam_namer_075_300_wnd_ht.gif

 

 

Definitely and interesting run for Northern suburbs. That thing is juiced and if extrapolated would nail someone between here and central PA. Confluence should stop it from coming too far north but changing DC over won't be too difficult.

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Because it's DC and I'm extrapolating the NAM.

Oh great! And next the GGEM ( sighing) - Seriously think it gets squished south.

 

Hope not! We can't buy snow here except out of Slurpee machines and the snow is already dirty! I love me a coke Slurpee!

 

Should not trust the NAM or extrapolating. These are Weenie posts (this one included) should probably be pushed to the Weenie Snow Hopes Thread!

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Look at that lovely great lakes low on the sfc map   :axe:

that's the reinforcing clipper that will have the frigid air behind it

it's probably helping to pull the southern vort north some

 

 

EDIT: of course too far north and we get what we're used to around here

I'm really starting to hate this total lack of snow

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GFS lets that energy go awfully quick, could come north. 

it won't, or it will come too far north

look at Tuesday's system

it would be comical if it wasn't so d@mn depressing how as the precip moves north, the freeze line goes with it to screw us until it gets to our north where it is far enough south in the precip shield to give the usual suspects snow.....after days and days of the models giving them absolutely no qpf

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