Ian Posted December 30, 2012 Share Posted December 30, 2012 I said "fwiw" I was talking about the model predictions as a whole. I see some claims they are good but not sure anyone has data to back that up. Or if they are like short term hi res models and ofteb show every possible scenario but we remember mostly when it was right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 31, 2012 Share Posted December 31, 2012 0Z Euro has absolutely zero precip of any kind over the next 10 days for either DCA or BWI, then it warms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 31, 2012 Share Posted December 31, 2012 Sounds about right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 31, 2012 Share Posted December 31, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted December 31, 2012 Share Posted December 31, 2012 Pattern has truly gone bad on the long range models! Maybe they could be really wrong! But that is my weenie hope! Every index is opposed to anything good. LAME! So, what needs to happen to make it change. The screaming jet is a serious bummer! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted December 31, 2012 Share Posted December 31, 2012 Very dry pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted December 31, 2012 Share Posted December 31, 2012 we just can't seem to get the timing right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 31, 2012 Share Posted December 31, 2012 I think we will have to wait until mid-January at this point for any real hope. I wouldn't be surprised if all if not most of January is a done deal, with a few 1" or car toppers in the mix. Would anybody be surprised at a one month winter here? I hope not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 31, 2012 Share Posted December 31, 2012 The first half of January looks like its over. But the Models are hinting at some decent blocking returning on the long range. Maybe we can salvage the second half of the month? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 31, 2012 Share Posted December 31, 2012 Dry is our greatest enemy. The only signal I'll watch for on the models is storminess. Give us enough precip chances, some will be frozen. And.........I wouldn't sweat anything models are throwing out past 5-7 days. I think everyone already knows that, just made me feel better to say it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 31, 2012 Share Posted December 31, 2012 I think we will have to wait until mid-January at this point for any real hope. I wouldn't be surprised if all if not most of January is a done deal, with a few 1" or car toppers in the mix. Would anybody be surprised at a one month winter here? I hope not. I'd be surprised with a one month winter as we don't get winter anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted December 31, 2012 Share Posted December 31, 2012 I think we will have to wait until mid-January at this point for any real hope. I wouldn't be surprised if all if not most of January is a done deal, with a few 1" or car toppers in the mix. Would anybody be surprised at a one month winter here? I hope not. Heck, I'd be ecstatic with even a one-month winter here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted December 31, 2012 Share Posted December 31, 2012 It is like we have an extended fall now with the hope of an occasional winterlike 2 or 3 day stretches to interrupt the new climo norm. Maybe if we get lucky we sneek in 2 or 3 of these slightly colder 2 or 3 day periods for a grand total of maybe 9 days that resemble winter in an entire season. The rest of the days during the remainder of the calendar year are Spring, summer, and fall by any objective temperature or ptype metric. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted December 31, 2012 Share Posted December 31, 2012 I think we've had 1 day this season with a 32F high. I believe that would've been a -6 departure. We had days and days of consectuive +10s. How we've managed a White Christmas and a week's worth of snow cover is almost mind-boggling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 31, 2012 Share Posted December 31, 2012 I think we've had 1 day this season with a 32F high. I believe that would've been a -6 departure. We had days and days of consectuive +10s. How we've managed a White Christmas and a week's worth of snow cover is almost mind-boggling. Everyone is talking up how cold it was last night etc... but it was around normal or above normal. Good sign it's never cold anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 31, 2012 Share Posted December 31, 2012 For the superstitious folks I think we made a mistake by making all these separate threads pretty early on. We with exceptions I feel like we always do better with a general thread until pretty close in. But in the end mother nature probably just hates us in general. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 31, 2012 Share Posted December 31, 2012 Everyone is talking up how cold it was last night etc... but it was around normal or above normal. Good sign it's never cold anymore. RIP sub 25f temps. We have a much easier time hitting 100 than we do hitting 20f. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 31, 2012 Share Posted December 31, 2012 RIP sub 25f temps. We have a much easier time hitting 100 than we do hitting 20f 30f. fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoVaWx Posted December 31, 2012 Share Posted December 31, 2012 Winters here are more similar to Atlanta winters these couple years. Same with summer time temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 31, 2012 Share Posted December 31, 2012 12Z Euro has Boston at 6 degrees while BWI is at 31 7AM Wednesday lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 31, 2012 Share Posted December 31, 2012 So how much snow does the Euro show us getting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 31, 2012 Share Posted December 31, 2012 So how much snow does the Euro show us getting? don't see this very often 12z Euro is spitting out the exact same amount of snow and rain overt the next 7 days at DCA and BWI: I doubt your location is any different Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 31, 2012 Share Posted December 31, 2012 don't see this very often 12z Euro is spitting out the exact same amount of snow and rain overt the next 7 days at DCA and BWI: I doubt your location is any different It will look different in a couple of days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted December 31, 2012 Share Posted December 31, 2012 Are Europe and Siberia the only places in the world it gets cold anymore? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 31, 2012 Share Posted December 31, 2012 Are Europe and Siberia the only places in the world it gets cold anymore? No precip = No snow. No snow = Why the heck do I want it cold? If there's no chance of winter weather, I hope it hits 65. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 31, 2012 Share Posted December 31, 2012 No precip = No snow. No snow = Why the heck do I want it cold? If there's no chance of winter weather, I hope it hits 65. and that's the insult to injury, it won't be beautiful and 65 either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VAsnowlvr82 Posted December 31, 2012 Share Posted December 31, 2012 Screw 65! If I cant have snow at least let it feel like winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted December 31, 2012 Share Posted December 31, 2012 Screw 65! If I cant have snow at least let it feel like winter. Yeah, I agree. If it won't snow, then let it be cold enough for the local ponds to freeze over and the nearby ski resorts to make snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted December 31, 2012 Share Posted December 31, 2012 Well the next week will be at least seasonal more or less. The following week above seasonal. We are heading into our coldest 4 weeks from a climatological perspective. If it doesnt get frigid then it is not likely to get frigid at all. Our real hope for pond freezing cold rests in the last two weeks, because if it doesn't come then it wont come at all. The snow weenie dreams at least will live for another 4 weeks in February because after that its a battle with sun angle. Our window is now about 6 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 1, 2013 Share Posted January 1, 2013 Interesting analogs showing up on CPC site. Early Jan 1977, and 1985. Also, late Dec 1995. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.