Disc Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 On 1/16/2013 at 3:42 AM, Huffwx said: GFS says fire up the bat signal 0z suite of the NAM and GFS showing us southern/central Virginianers some love tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Need another little shift to the north to get us in warning criteria. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 On 1/16/2013 at 3:49 AM, Disc said: 0z suite of the NAM and GFS showing us southern/central Virginianers some love tonight. Both are BULLY! I've got a team working NRV and a team in Danville/Martinsville currently-- LOL, gonna have to pull them out early, especially NRV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Seems like GFS does not get us above freezing all day Friday now either... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 On 1/16/2013 at 3:49 AM, Disc said: 0z suite of the NAM and GFS showing us southern/central Virginianers some love tonight. You look to do very well with this one. Even up to Harrisonburg should be a decent event. Now just give me another 50 mile shift and we are all happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Here is DT-- EW 0Z NAM MUCH COLDER AND SNOWIER.... BRING IS SIGNIFICANT SNOW TO ALL OF CENTRAL ... WESTERN SOUTHERN and YES EASTERN VA... including HAMPTON ROADS Bring IS-- good, but not great speeeling error. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Hot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 On 1/16/2013 at 3:29 AM, mitchnick said: NAM mos http://68.226.77.253/text/NAMSFC/NAM_Kdca.txt http://68.226.77.253/text/NAMSFC/NAM_Kiad.txt http://68.226.77.253/text/NAMSFC/NAM_Kbwi.txt That's not MOS, that's just an output. This is mos: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getmet.pl?sta=KDCA&sta=KBWI&sta=KIAD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 On 1/16/2013 at 3:52 AM, Huffwx said: Both are BULLY! I've got a team working NRV and a team in Danville/Martinsville currently-- LOL, gonna have to pull them out early, especially NRV For sure! NRV is definitely the sweet spot for 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Charlottesville is the new Syracuse. It just wants to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Give us 50-75 to the north overnight and I'll have a happy morning come 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 I always like to see CHO as bullseye a few days out. Means I am getting snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 On 1/16/2013 at 3:27 AM, MillzPirate said: We need this storm in the worst way You need to stop posting in the worst way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 On 1/16/2013 at 4:04 AM, PhineasC said: I always like to see CHO as bullseye a few days out. Means I am getting snow. I think we gotcha last year. 13" However, I will prepare for the sleet your flying monkeys might send my way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 On 1/16/2013 at 4:04 AM, PhineasC said: I always like to see CHO as bullseye a few days out. Means I am getting snow. It's not a few, at this time on Thursday the event is over. None the less, I like snow well north of CHO-- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 The NAM was pretty close to phasing. Would love to see a full blown phase solution show up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 On 1/16/2013 at 3:54 AM, wxmeddler said: That's not MOS, that's just an output. This is mos: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getmet.pl?sta=KDCA&sta=KBWI&sta=KIAD I'm a weenie and I'll call it mos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Whoa there NAM, calm down! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 If not for the last two years of beatdown I might be at least a little excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 On 1/16/2013 at 3:43 AM, ORH_wxman said: GFS gets DCA decently, but mid-levels are marginal. Def getting interesitng there. It does make it interesting. The nam would definitely be snow over dc and even my house. The GFS might me mixed for awhile as the boundary layer temps are kind of warm. If there were moderate snow I'd lean towards the cooler idea but this is the kind of storm you could easily get burned on if the rates stayed on the low side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 On 1/16/2013 at 4:10 AM, NOVAForecaster said: Whoa there NAM, calm down! talk about too close for comfort another 20+ miles please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 On 1/16/2013 at 4:11 AM, usedtobe said: It does make it interesting. The nam would definitely be snow over dc and even my house. The GFS might me mixed for awhile as the boundary layer temps are kind of warm. If there were moderate snow I'd lean towards the cooler idea but this is the kind of storm you could easily get burned on if the rates stayed on the low side. If your up this late it is a good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Arent those maps usually overdone anyway? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 On 1/16/2013 at 4:13 AM, yoda said: Arent those maps usually overdone anyway? Almost always. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bjohnson102184 Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 On 1/16/2013 at 4:10 AM, NOVAForecaster said: Whoa there NAM, calm down! Sorry I will use the Clown GFS MAP for CVA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 On 1/16/2013 at 4:13 AM, yoda said: Arent those maps usually overdone anyway? depends on the storm, really they do worse on marginal events imho and fine when it's a sure thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Before Phineas calls it a junk model UKIE tonight gets 0.1 to 0.2 QPF into DCA at 48 (but who knows at at 42 or 54 if there is any other QPF for us ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 DT went WOOF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Now we need to get off the edge of the precip. Baby steps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 On 1/16/2013 at 4:15 AM, mitchnick said: depends on the storm, really they do worse on marginal events imho and fine when it's a sure thing Marginal is basically all we have around here so almost always is correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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