BuffaloWeather Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 7-8 inches already on the ground and then the NWS posted this. I think this is going to be our best synoptic snowstorm in 4-5 years. March of 2008 we had 2 storms with 12+ totals. (None over 12+ since, that I can recall at least) I don't think it gets any better then this in the WNY region for synoptic snows. LOW PRESSURE REDEVELOPING NEAR THE DELMARVA PENINSULA THIS EVENING WILL LIFT NORTHEAST TO NEAR LONG ISLAND AROUND DAYBREAK THURSDAY. THIS SYSTEM IS VERTICALLY STACKED...WHICH PLACES OUR REGION IN A FAVORABLE REGION FOR SNOWFALL. A COMBINATION OF A 50 TO 70 KNOT EASTERLY LOW LEVEL JET...AND DIFFULENT FLOW ALOFT WILL COMBINE TO PRODUCE A SIGNIFICANT BAND OF SNOW IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE STORM. IR/RADAR TRENDS ARE SHOWING THIS NICELY...WITH THIS AXIS HAVING A TROWAL-LIKE APPEARANCE. AT 900 PM...THIS AXIS EXTENDS FROM BUF-ROC-SYR. BASED ON REPORTS AND MODEL GUIDANCE...THIS BAND IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 INCHES PER HOUR. MUCH OF THE HIGHER RESOLUTION MODEL GUIDANCE SUPPORTS THIS...WITH THE 18Z NAM/12Z RGEM/HRRR ARE ALL DOING A FAIRLY GOOD JOB IN CAPTURING THIS BAND. THIS AXIS HAS BEEN LIFTING SLOWLY NORTHWARD...BUT IT IS FORECAST TO STALL LATE THIS EVENING...THEN PIVOT TO A MORE SW-NE ORIENTATION AND THEN GRADUALLY EXIT TO THE NE. THIS WILL CAUSE THIS BAND TO LINGER ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN NEW YORK...WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOWS EXPECTED TO FALL ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FINGER LAKES AND GENESEE VALLEY...AND INTO THE NIAGARA FRONTIER. EXPECT STORM TOTALS OF 10 TO 16 INCHES IN THIS AREA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Made the call to DTX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 7.25" so far and its still moderate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 7-8 inches already on the ground and then the NWS posted this. I think this is going to be our best synoptic snowstorm in 4-5 years. March of 2008 we had 2 storms with 12+ totals. (None over 12+ since, that I can recall at least) I don't think it gets any better then this in the WNY region for synoptic snows. LOW PRESSURE REDEVELOPING NEAR THE DELMARVA PENINSULA THIS EVENING WILL LIFT NORTHEAST TO NEAR LONG ISLAND AROUND DAYBREAK THURSDAY. THIS SYSTEM IS VERTICALLY STACKED...WHICH PLACES OUR REGION IN A FAVORABLE REGION FOR SNOWFALL. A COMBINATION OF A 50 TO 70 KNOT EASTERLY LOW LEVEL JET...AND DIFFULENT FLOW ALOFT WILL COMBINE TO PRODUCE A SIGNIFICANT BAND OF SNOW IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE STORM. IR/RADAR TRENDS ARE SHOWING THIS NICELY...WITH THIS AXIS HAVING A TROWAL-LIKE APPEARANCE. AT 900 PM...THIS AXIS EXTENDS FROM BUF-ROC-SYR. BASED ON REPORTS AND MODEL GUIDANCE...THIS BAND IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 INCHES PER HOUR. MUCH OF THE HIGHER RESOLUTION MODEL GUIDANCE SUPPORTS THIS...WITH THE 18Z NAM/12Z RGEM/HRRR ARE ALL DOING A FAIRLY GOOD JOB IN CAPTURING THIS BAND. THIS AXIS HAS BEEN LIFTING SLOWLY NORTHWARD...BUT IT IS FORECAST TO STALL LATE THIS EVENING...THEN PIVOT TO A MORE SW-NE ORIENTATION AND THEN GRADUALLY EXIT TO THE NE. THIS WILL CAUSE THIS BAND TO LINGER ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN NEW YORK...WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOWS EXPECTED TO FALL ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FINGER LAKES AND GENESEE VALLEY...AND INTO THE NIAGARA FRONTIER. EXPECT STORM TOTALS OF 10 TO 16 INCHES IN THIS AREA. Wow, congrats. Although, from where I'm at, it's hard not to look at what could have been. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Definitely feels nice to have a storm sort of overachieve a bit in this area. Have a friend in romeo that says he measured close to 8 inches but who knows how accurate it is. im only 5 miles due west of Romeo so its accurate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Nap is over ..... Time to jump into the loader and get back to it. So what time is everyone thinking the snow is going to turn off. I'm hoping for 5am. That's probably a good bet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chances14 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Looks like sweet spot between m59 and 69..MOderate snow right now, very low visibility, 1/2 mile or so.. i am in that sweet spot right now. snowing harder than it has all day. lake huron is my best friend tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YHM Supercell Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Measured 4 inches on the flattest area I could find. Still going strong right now. Oh thats including this mornings few cm's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
n1vek Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 im only 5 miles due west of Romeo so its accurate My parents are at 29 and campground. They were saying 5" several hours ago. So 8" sounds reasonable given the radar returns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Looks like about 6 here in northern Clinton twp. One last band to rotate through. Enjoy the snow y'all. Gn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 SeMI scored big today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 buffalo band is hot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Wow, congrats. Although, from where I'm at, it's hard not to look at what could have been. Unlike the reputation, we rarely get decent synoptic events in this region. Nearly every "winter storm warning" busts here...I'd say around 70-80% of the warnings bust actually. So having a forecast come to fruition for once is a refreshing thing to see tonight! A forecast that was spot on! The heaviest snow is literally stalling out over a 50-75 mile wide band across Erie County. Going to be a long night for me! Hope you guys cash in as well! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 buffalo band is hot Delicious really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 buffalo band is hot Hell ya 35-40dbz is damn good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Hell ya 35-40dbz is damn good. especially when it's not a bright band faker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Unlike the reputation, we rarely get decent synoptic events in this region. Nearly every "winter storm warning" busts here...I'd say around 70-80% of the warnings bust actually. So having a forecast come to fruition for once is a refreshing thing to see tonight! A forecast that was spot on! The heaviest snow is literally stalling out over a 50-75 mile wide band across Erie County. Going to be a long night for me! Hope you guys cash in as well! Oh, yeah. I'm well aware of that. You guys are all about the LES. You've got the same problem as we've got in that storms don't like riding the mountains, which unfortunately means we miss out on some biggies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Not the BUF band, but looks like a secondary axis of enhanced defo zone snows forming over western Lake Ontario. Gonna be close, but getting into those would be fun. Grass tips almost completely covered which is a sign that we're in the 1.5-2" range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 pretty nasty! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Looks like a few stronger bands about to move in across the lake. Gusts just really picked up, tons of blowing snow. Just measured 3". I think we will have no problem hitting 6" Live stream IMBY: http://www.ustream.tv/channel/harrisale Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Not the BUF band, but looks like a secondary axis of enhanced defo zone snows forming over western Lake Ontario. Gonna be close, but getting into those would be fun. Grass tips almost completely covered which is a sign that we're in the 1.5-2" range. Yeah that heavier snow over the lake is moving towards the shore! No doubt that Buffalo band is rockin'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YHM Supercell Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Phoned in a report to EC. Didn't expect to see ~10cm at this time. The reduced visibility and blowing/drifting snow I expected. Have to see what happens. The band around western Lake Ontario looks great on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Too tired and lazy for anything more spectacular. Outside my window Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YHM Supercell Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 WINTER STORM WARNING FOR: =NEW= CITY OF HAMILTON Well I'll be damned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 WINTER STORM WARNING FOR: =NEW= CITY OF HAMILTON Well I'll be damned. Say what you want about EC, they're certainly not unresponsive. Just wish they were a little more proactive. I think it was obvious you were going to see warning criteria snows 24 hours ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YHM Supercell Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Say what you want about EC, they're certainly not unresponsive. Just wish they were a little more proactive. I think it was obvious you were going to see warning criteria snows 24 hours ago. I'm not bashing EC by any means. Actually im impressed. Phoned, right away they picked up and thanked me for the report. Nice to see they take action when reports from their spotters are received. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 WINTER STORM WARNING FOR: =NEW= CITY OF HAMILTON Well I'll be damned. Congrats! Wonder if that was based on your phone-in!? Wonder if there will be anymore tonight? EDIT: Just read above and below. Nice work! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 1.6" as of 10 pm. My low end (3") is a lock as far as I'm concerned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YHM Supercell Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Congrats! Wonder if that was based on your phone-in!? Came 7 minutes after. Maybe a link between the 2? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 1.6" as of 10 pm. My low end (3") is a lock as far as I'm concerned. You think we could get to 6"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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