hm8 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 DTX isn't going to upgrade anyone to a warning, btw. According to the AFD at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2238 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0229 PM CST WED DEC 26 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...SRN LOWER MI...FAR NRN INDIANA CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW VALID 262029Z - 262330Z SUMMARY...BANDS OF SNOW WITH RATES LOCALLY APPROACHING 1 IN/HR WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AROUND 23Z...WITH SNOW RATES EXPECTED TO DECREASE THEREAFTER. DISCUSSION...BANDS OF MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW ROUGHLY ALIGN WITH A NE/SW-ORIENTED AXIS OF 850-MB CONFLUENCE...NW OF THE CENTER OF DEEP LOW PRESSURE OVER THE ERN CONUS. RADAR MOSAIC IMAGERY AS OF AROUND 2020Z INDICATES ONE BAND CENTERED 30 NE MTC TO 25 SW JXN...ANOTHER BAND CENTERED 30 NNE LAN TO 10 SW AZO...AND YET ANOTHER BAND CENTERED 20 SW GRR TO 20 SW SBN. SFC OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THE RECENT OCCURRENCE OF HEAVY SNOW AT PTK AND YIP...AND SNOW RATES LOCALLY APPROACHING 1 IN/HR MAY OCCUR WITH THE SNOW BANDS. AS THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW GRADUALLY BACKS WHILE THE CYCLONE SHIFTS NEWD TO THE SE OF THE AREA...SNOW BANDS MAY GRADUALLY PIVOT AND BECOME ORIENTED MORE NNE/SSW. HOWEVER...AFTER 23Z...FORCING FOR ASCENT ACCOMPANYING THE CYCLONE WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY REMOVED FROM THE AREA WITH A DECREASE IN THE INFLUX OF LOW/MID-LEVEL MOISTURE. AS SUCH...SNOW RATES ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE AFTER 23Z. ..COHEN.. 12/26/2012 ATTN...WFO...DTX...IWX...GRR... LAT...LON 42918254 42578271 42018388 41648472 41458584 41458663 41838667 42538596 43098460 43178353 42918254 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Visibility below 1/4 mile here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 This is going to be a huge bust here. Blizzard warnings for this?!? Wow. I don't think CLE will top 6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 000NOUS43 KDTX 262118 PNSDTX MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-262330- PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 418 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012 SNOW REPORTS LOCATION SNOWFALL DURATION (INCHES) (HOURS) LAT LON ...OAKLAND COUNTY... 4 ENE HOLLY M 0.8 3.5 42.82N 83.55W FERNDALE E 1.5 3.5 42.46N 83.13W WHITE LAKE M 2.3 4 42.65N 83.50W ...WASHTENAW COUNTY... ANN ARBOR M 3.0 3.5 42.28N 83.73W ...WAYNE COUNTY... 5 SSW ROMULUS M 2.0 4 42.16N 83.40W NORTHVILLE E 3.0 3.5 42.44N 83.49W ROMULUS M 3.8 4 42.22N 83.37W M = MEASURED E = ESTIMATED $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Remember when the models couldn't get a precip shield modeled accurately at all? I remember that the most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 This is going to be a huge bust here. Blizzard warnings for this?!? Wow. I don't think CLE will top 6" Blizzard Warning criteria has nothing to do with accumulations fwiw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 lol lived in South Texas for 10+ years, so this is my first snow storm that's hit me in a decade. Yeah, it was more of a tongue-in-cheek comment towards those who have lived here their entire life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Over 4" in 3 hrs. Pretty normal around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 30+DBZ band starting to set up over me now, huge flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 30+DBZ band starting to set up over me now, huge flakes. Been getting pixie dust here all day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Yeah, it was more of a tongue-in-cheek comment towards those who have lived here their entire life. To be quite honest, the most intense bursts of snow I've ever seen usually come in the form of Lake Effect, but Blizzard of '99, Jan 22-23 2005, those two are up there along with that February storm in 2011 that was supposed to be an ice storm. I was out shoveling with streaks of lightning going overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Over 4" in 3 hrs. Pretty normal around here. Such is life atop Mount Oakland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Snow should develop here in Toronto within the next hour. No later than 6pm local time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Such is life atop Mount Oakland. OK measured over 10 spots just under 5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 I estimate snowfall at 4.2" of powder as of 4:20pm...which means it has been snowing at well over 1"/hr the past 3 hours. Hard to measure with drifting, but it is an absolute winter wonderland! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Such is life atop Mount Oakland. Lol, nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Snow should develop here in Toronto within the next hour. No later than 6pm local time. I'm rooting for you guys. So far so good down here in SEMI, hoping for the same up there. OK measured over 10 spots just under 5" Nice! I estimate snowfall at 4.2" of powder as of 4:20pm...which means it has been snowing at well over 1"/hr the past 3 hours. Hard to measure with drifting, but it is an absolute winter wonderland! Yep, about 4" here too. Very pretty and a nice Christmas gift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 OK measured over 10 spots just under 5" Im dreading my drive up that way (lake orion) this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Blizzard Warning criteria has nothing to do with accumulations fwiw Exactly, winds are not even close to being blizzard warning criteria. And even if this was a Winter Storm Warning, we'd need more than 6". Either type of warning is busting as the the blizzard warning was supposed to be an overlay over the winter storm warning, but CLE's weather software wouldn't allow it: NOT SURE HOW WE CAN AVOID CALLING IT A BLIZZARD GIVEN THAT THE HEAVY SNOW/BLOWING SNOW AND GUSTS OF 35 WILL LAST AT LEAST 3 HOURS...PROBABLY LAST 6-8 HOURS. OUR SOFTWARE MAKES IT DIFFICULT TO EMBED A BLIZZARD WITH THE WINTER STORM SO WILL JUST CALL IT A BLIZZARD WEST OF I-71 AND THE LAKE SHORE COUNTIES DUE TO THE WIND COMING OFF THE LAKE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 3.75" thus far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Snow should develop here in Toronto within the next hour. No later than 6pm local time. Looking forward to it. Here goes nothing. Join me Canuck. Here we go. 1-2-3: "Let it snow!!!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Looking forward to it. Here goes nothing. Join me Canuck. Here we go. 1-2-3: "Let it snow!!!" Bupkis on the horizon. Can go into deep hibernation after this one. So yeah, let's milk it for all it's worth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 4.5" here, final. Good enough for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 INSANE OUTSIDE, HONESTLY... 1" P.H RATES ATM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Final call for YYZ : 6-8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Nothing here in Oakville, ON yet. Seems to be snowing all around us though haha... Snowhole. Things should start imminently though Live stream IMBY: http://www.ustream.tv/channel/harrisale Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 4.5" here, final. Good enough for me. Well done! IIRC, that was towards the high end of your call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Final call for YYZ : 6-8" My final call: 4-6" I hope you're right though, toronto blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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