Barnsteader Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 The sun is out over here... Not a good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Looks like some 35dbz moving in towards home. Anyone know why profile pic does not update? I have to keep cutting/pasting the weblink and it only lasts less then a day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 massive bust here...i haven't measured but i'd guess 6 inches and that may be generous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 You jinxed us................ haha right, because you guys were getting sooo much snow while I was gone (sarcasm) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Same here in Ayer; 5" of 6::1 glop, though. 32F on the money but the column's finally warmed enough aloft that we've been raining lightly here for the last 1 and a half or so. No freezing at the moment. Looking at p-type rad, which I have found to be a fairly reliable product throughout this, the transition has come a halt probably 5 miles NW of here. It's even begun to collapse a bit east out there around Springfield Mass. You can also note that the entire region is going through a pivot point. The low appears to be making closest pass. I suspect the rain/snow line collapses SE soon, but the amt will probably be tapering as this is a maxed rotting event at this point. And, as usual, we are taught that all models have some value. We were collectively quick to dismiss the NAM but quite objectively, this event is really a clear 50/50 compromise between the Euro and it (in fact, I was just going over some recent GGEM runs and that model did a damn good job with the temperature fields), for this NE area of Massachusetts; and seeing the low over perhaps the LI Sound and warm penetrating, I don't see how that could be argued against. It is also interesting to see the Euro edge a bit cold biased at such short ranges - very interesting. Fascinating system. strongly disagree re: the NAM. It was way too warm and too high on QPF ...it's common bias, but regardless, it did terribly and we were right to dismiss it point blank Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Looks like NWS lopped of 2" from predicted totals. Now at 10-16". My bet is we're under a foot. Stuff just doesn't seem to be accumulating that much. Tiny flakes, mediocre ratios. Back to -SN here. We had about an inch 9:30-10:30 as a 30 dbz band passed overhead. 4" new, and though it sweeps, the broom has to be pushed hard. I'm guessing 8:1 or 9:1, was hoping for at least 12:1 and maybe 15. Looks more like an 8-10" event (still good!) than the forecast 12-18, thanks to inefficent snowflakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Colonel Badger Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Had a short break. Then some IP, now back to snow. Big flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 strongly disagree re: the NAM. It was way too warm and too high on QPF ...it's common bias, but regardless, it did terribly and we were right to dismiss it point blank Yeah Euro destroyed it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Temps dropping in Western and Central areas. HFD with mixed precip and DXR with zr after being 38 and rain earlier. ORH back to all snow..Should see the flips back to snow early afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Colonel Badger Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 strongly disagree re: the NAM. It was way too warm and too high on QPF ...it's common bias, but regardless, it did terribly and we were right to dismiss it point blank Agreed. Both the NAM and the RPM were too warm for my area. I should been rain 3 hours ago. Still snowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Yeah Euro destroyed it. I mean, euro still did pretty bad too. I don't think any model managed to see the subsidence zones that screwed us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Yeah, in that same hole here too. Have about 6" and its just spitting little flakes here looks like we might be getting into something better shortly unless that black hole eats it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 27, 2012 Author Share Posted December 27, 2012 Certainly more in line with the Euro here, Nam had us RASN for most of the precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Blizzard at Sunday River.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 I mean, euro still did pretty bad too. I don't think any model managed to see the subsidence zones that screwed us A note everyone should make is that in SWFE events it's very ,very difficult to get big amounts of snow like 10+. Granted this was a pseudo swfe with the secondary..but the 2ndary got going so far north that it really threw off what might normally happen with coastal redevelopment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Absolutely pouring dendrites now in Gray. Up until now it's been rather small flake stuff like 12/13/07. Wind is up so it may be hard to measure. We'll see. NAM temps ftl again. Something has gone terribly wrong in that respect with that model this year. Have to investigate further. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Agreed. Both the NAM and the RPM were too warm for my area. I should been rain 3 hours ago. Still snowing. Agreed completely...I did change to rain around 3-4am as anticipated, but at this point the RPM/NAM had the rain/snow line somewhere between MHT and CON. And I'm snowing again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 A note everyone should make is that in SWFE events it's very ,very difficult to get big amounts of snow like 10+. After 5 years of explaining that to you you have finally caught on!!! Bravo! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Blizzard at Sunday River.... yeah, blizzard of a line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxjim207 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 solid 6" on the ground here in Brunswick Maine... Moderate Wet Snow falling. Radar echo show heavy bursts moving on shore. Probably gonna pick up a good couple of inches with these bursts. Air Temp is 30F with Dp 30F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Pinging, looks like 6'' is gonna be the final. At least it looks like winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 A little over 3". lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Absolutely pouring dendrites now in Gray. Up until now it's been rather small flake stuff like 12/13/07. Wind is up so it may be hard to measure. We'll see. NAM temps ftl again. Something has gone terribly wrong in that respect with that model this year. Have to investigate further. Ripping here in Scarborough, riding the coastal front. It's really been piling up. Hope we milk this for a while longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 It looks like we have flakes mixing back in...precip is loght though. I'd be stoked to get another inch or two this afternoon but the precip will need to fill in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 27, 2012 Author Share Posted December 27, 2012 Absolutely pouring dendrites now in Gray. Up until now it's been rather small flake stuff like 12/13/07. Wind is up so it may be hard to measure. We'll see. NAM temps ftl again. Something has gone terribly wrong in that respect with that model this year. Have to investigate further. Same her in LEW, SN over the last couple hrs, Eyeballing 6" here, Going to take an official area measurement in an hour or 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Ripping here in Scarborough, riding the coastal front. It's really been piling up. Hope we milk this for a while longer. based on radar CC, you stay for awhile. You may not go over to rain at all. It's still snow in Kennebunk at the inlaws...a good sign for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 nothing like some upslope 35 degree rain right now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 nothing like some upslope 35 degree rain right now! How much did you get? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Been pouring all morning here. No idea what total of snow might have been....2" at best maybe. Most of it has washed away or turned to slush. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Ripping good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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