DomNH Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 4:22 AM, Ryan said: Eyeballing an inch.. thinking of going to bed and hoping to wake up at 5 or 6 to snow and not rain. I was prepared to stay up until 2-3 AM watching the heavy snow roll in but the radar presentation looks like dogsh*t so I'm not sure about that anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 At this rate, 8-10" is the best bet for Keene. This is pitiful snow growth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 4:21 AM, cpick79 said: ossipee to wildcat over to the ESE crushed tomm am. crushed Wildcat yes. Ossipee I doubt. Shadowed on too many sides for big numbers. I think Jeff up in LA will do well....15+ but CON-ORH may be less than expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Always beware of dryslots in warm conveyor belts. They always come in quick. The precip is regenerating to the south, but hopefully the atmosphere doesn't warm quickly ahead of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 4:23 AM, DomNH said: I was prepared to stay up until 2-3 AM watching the heavy snow roll in but the radar presentation looks like dogsh*t so I'm not sure about that anymore. Same here, I have a 9am appointment in North Andover (and it will 100% be rain there well before then) so I might as well get some sleep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 4:23 AM, OSUmetstud said: ROC will get more than syracuse due to the wind direction and the CNY dry slot. It's even possible BUF beats ROC. I've almost moved to ROC several times but never pulled the trigger. Great snow town, cheap living and to me decent life quality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 4:22 AM, Ryan said: Eyeballing an inch.. thinking of going to bed and hoping to wake up at 5 or 6 to snow and not rain. Meteorology's a tough job haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 29/27 SN+ Light NNE wind. Bombing snow right now. 2.6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 4:23 AM, DomNH said: I was prepared to stay up until 2-3 AM watching the heavy snow roll in but the radar presentation looks like dogsh*t so I'm not sure about that anymore. Same. Weenie report of 3" when we had 1.8" tops made it worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 4:26 AM, weatherMA said: Meteorology's a tough job haha It is haha Mike Haddad on WMUR getting worried about the let-up in CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Were somehow still all snow in this huge lull of precip. Wasted cold. Terrible dendrites Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 4:26 AM, weathafella said: I've almost moved to ROC several times but never pulled the trigger. Great snow town, cheap living and to me decent life quality. I'd be somewhat disappointed with the lack of heavy les. They get nickled and dimed a bit more to average about the same as BUF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 4:24 AM, wxwatcher91 said: At this rate, 8-10" is the best bet for Keene. This is pitiful snow growth Radar is still pretty nice S of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 4:23 AM, weatherMA said: There's between 2 and 3" here but It's just consistent .75/hr type stuff. We'd need 6 more hours of this to hit the 6-8" BOX predicted here. They key will be the stuff S of LI over the next 3-4 hours or so...if that can't fill in and slam us, then we'll be on the low end of amounts...but its always difficult to predict this WCB stuff...it can sometimes get convective in nature....but I've seen it explode very quickly before....so we'll just have to wait and see...the profiles are marginal on even as late as 09z for N ORH county...so there's time to see how it evolves. Its hauling pretty good, so it wont take long to get that lull through here and see what happens behind it. But this is a good example of why I said 12" amounts are tough without the CCB/deformation. You have to deal with weird stuff like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 3:57 AM, Yukon Cornelius said: Nice. What's your temp? I've gone up 2 degrees since about 6:00... Sorry for the delay... 29F attm Up a bit 3" now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 4:27 AM, Ryan said: It is haha Mike Haddad on WMUR getting worried about the let-up in CT. I am too. I have nowhere to be tomorrow so I'll stay up and see if some areas can still pull of minimal WSW criteria. I'm worried though, esp. in SNH in MHT where I told some family a foot is likely. 4" in ORH from Noyes...ftw? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 4:28 AM, OSUmetstud said: I'd be somewhat disappointed with the lack of heavy les. They get nickled and dimed a bit more to average about the same as BUF. Past 15 years ROC has had more on average. Besides, no offense but BUF is kind of a dump vs ROC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 This location is interesting. Temp down to 27.3! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 4:28 AM, ORH_wxman said: They key will be the stuff S of LI over the next 3-4 hours or so...if that can't fill in and slam us, then we'll be on the low end of amounts...but its always difficult to predict this WCB stuff...it can sometimes get convective in nature....but I've seen it explode very quickly before....so we'll just have to wait and see...the profiles are marginal on even as late as 09z for N ORH county...so there's time to see how it evolves. Its hauling pretty good, so it wont take long to get that lull through here and see what happens behind it. But this is a good example of why I said 12" amounts are tough without the CCB/deformation. You have to deal with weird stuff like this. Thanks Will for the explanation. I'll be up at least until 1:30-2 to see what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 A little panic going on here, including me, which is understandable. But once the coastal gets going won't the precip both fill-in and start to puch back nw? Then we get our pause and pivot. I see a lot of good returns on radar that should keep coming north to me and points east and that dryslot ssw of me should fill in or become irrelevant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 4:29 AM, weathafella said: Past 15 years ROC has had more on average. Besides, no offense but BUF is kind of a dump vs ROC. yeah, ROC is a bit better off lol. I don't think they have Jerry..you sure about that? oh you're right jerry...but really it's like 2 or 3". BUF gets better events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 4:28 AM, Happy Valley said: Radar is still pretty nice S of us. I see massive dryslots developing within the warm conveyor belt. It's going to have to rip for several hours through tomorrow morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 4:29 AM, weatherMA said: I am too. I have nowhere to be tomorrow so I'll stay up and see if some areas can still pull of minimal WSW criteria. I'm worried though, esp. in SNH in MHT where I told some family a foot is likely. 4" in ORH from Noyes...ftw? And 2" in Atk... not impossible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 32.3/31 irrelevant degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Ugh, all the heavy returns have washed out before getting here and we're stuck with just light to moderate snow. Think I might start a download of Sarah McLachlan's Greatest Hits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 4:16 AM, SnowlieSnowstormson said: I have a feeling this storm will underperform pretty much everywhere... precip shield looks ok... but not nearly as good anymore imo.... Hard to call it a bust in the beginning stages. Models have it snowing up here through Friday morning, lol. That deformation and pivot point from BUF up across far NNE will be very profitable. I'm not sure why everyone's getting down on it, there's some real heavy stuff getting going south of NYC. I think we'll see "blobs" of heavy precip continue to move in on the SE inflow jet. But man TWC live in Buffalo looks pretty nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Up to 31/28 winds now NE at 22 and my highest gust was 34 mph, very light snow atm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MASSENA...MALONE...PLATTSBURGH... STAR LAKE...SARANAC LAKE...TUPPER LAKE...DANNEMORA... LAKE PLACID...PORT HENRY...TICONDEROGA...OGDENSBURG...POTSDAM... GOUVERNEUR...ALBURGH...SOUTH HERO...ST. ALBANS...NEWPORT... ISLAND POND...BURLINGTON...JOHNSON...STOWE...ST. JOHNSBURY... MONTPELIER...MIDDLEBURY...VERGENNES...BRADFORD...RANDOLPH... RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD...WHITE RIVER JUNCTION...ENOSBURG FALLS... RICHFORD...UNDERHILL...BRISTOL...RIPTON...EAST WALLINGFORD... KILLINGTON 946 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012 ...SNOW BEGINNING TO SPREAD INTO THE NORTH COUNTRY... SNOW WAS BEGINNING TO MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST VERMONT AND THE NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS. RUTLAND...TICONDEROGA...AND NEWCOMB WILL SEE SNOW BEGIN BY 1030 PM...AND SNOW WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD TO POTSDAM...SARANAC LAKE...PLATTSBURGH...BURLINGTON...MONTPELIER...AND WHITE RIVER JUNCTION THROUGH MIDNIGHT. SNOW WILL BE LIGHT AT FIRST...THEN RAPIDLY INCREASE IN INTENSITY AS VISIBILITY DROPS TO A HALF MILE OR LESS. SNOWFALL RATES OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES AN HOUR HAVE BEEN REPORTED FURTHER SOUTH IN CONNECTICUT AND SOUTHERN NEW YORK...AND THOSE SAME RATES CAN BE EXPECTED IN VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK OVERNIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. STAY OFF THE ROADS TONIGHT. TRAVEL WILL BECOME DIFFICULT VERY SOON AFTER THE ONSET OF SNOWFALL. $$ HANSON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Basically means that the CCB banded mode of the storm tomorrow afternoon can't skimp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 32.8 moderate snow now, but man, it's having a hard time sticking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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