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December 27/28 Storm Part II


Typhoon Tip

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one thing to watch will be the 825-700 layer warm punch. how quickly that manages to move into/across SNE will make a big difference. the actual transition zone from snow to sleet is a good distance further N than the 850 0C line as most models have a good push of mid-level warm air above that layer. the front end thump could be substantial but likewise the transition may be earlier than you'd think.

might be one of those things where it manages to punch all the way to the Pike without much trouble then slows down quite a bit.

just something to keep in mind.

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Hav a feeling I won't even change over here in manchester Nh. box had me at 6 to 8 now their map says 8 to 10 but in my detail forecast has mme getting 6 to 10 tonight then 1 to 3 tomorrow whicch is more like 7 to 13" total. If we don't change over I think I wil be looking at 12 to 16" can only hope! going t be a fun night to watch!

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one thing to watch will be the 825-700 layer warm punch. how quickly that manages to move into/across SNE will make a big difference. the actual transition zone from snow to sleet is a good distance further N than the 850 0C line as most models have a good push of mid-level warm air above that layer. the front end thump could be substantial but likewise the transition may be earlier than you'd think.

might be one of those things where it manages to punch all the way to the Pike without much trouble then slows down quite a bit.

just something to keep in mind.

As long as it slows way down... ;)

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My temp and dp are now dropping with a ene bearing...not bad news for sure...

left home was 26.. at work in stratford right on the sound.. 33 degrees wow.. everyone is in for a little surprise.. Upton now has accumulation right on coast.. they are still slacking for us.. only in the 1-3" range.. I was looking at a map of seymour/shelton.. I think we are only about 5 miles from eachother same latitude, you are due west of me...

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one thing to watch will be the 825-700 layer warm punch. how quickly that manages to move into/across SNE will make a big difference. the actual transition zone from snow to sleet is a good distance further N than the 850 0C line as most models have a good push of mid-level warm air above that layer. the front end thump could be substantial but likewise the transition may be earlier than you'd think.

might be one of those things where it manages to punch all the way to the Pike without much trouble then slows down quite a bit.

just something to keep in mind.

Yeah agreed. I can't see above 850 on the euro, but the GFS did have a decent 800mb warm punch.

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one thing to watch will be the 825-700 layer warm punch. how quickly that manages to move into/across SNE will make a big difference. the actual transition zone from snow to sleet is a good distance further N than the 850 0C line as most models have a good push of mid-level warm air above that layer. the front end thump could be substantial but likewise the transition may be earlier than you'd think.

might be one of those things where it manages to punch all the way to the Pike without much trouble then slows down quite a bit.

just something to keep in mind.

Yea been mentioning that , the sleet is closer than it appears. I still see V day 07 similarities down here.

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