weathafella Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Too lazy to go north. Lets hope for an unexpected outcome in mby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 fwiw, the gfs and euro were too fast with precip onset in NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 flakes now reported in and around the city Nothing here yet, despite a couple bands passing over head in the past hour or so. The radar echo free zone is closing up fast around the city, so expect flakes here by about 2:30-3 at the latest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Storm coming, birds have been chirpping like nuts for over an hour now. Robins going to town on our dogwood tree today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Nothing here yet, despite a couple bands passing over head in the past hour or so. The radar echo free zone is closing up fast around the city, so expect flakes here by about 2:30-3 at the latest. yea Euro has it at 21Z , on schedule. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Initial portion only. Someone in the Easton to Walpole/Sharon/norwood/Foxboro area could easily pick up 2-4/3-6 where the noon forecasts had very little. Blue Hill should do OK. Walpole to Sharon and Norwood should hit 3-5. I'm only expecting an inch here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 colder early thump, Jefffafa should give us precip out breaks. Looks like over 1.50" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Looks like over 1.50" Nice, and you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 I do not see support for that 18-24 zone at all. Only way is to get a prolonged banded mode tomorrow afternoon, which I suppose is possible, but man, 18-24 is just a completely different ballpark of snowstorms than 10-18 ... Taunton lowered amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Nice, and you? Close to 1.75", tough read on the SV qpf map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Even the coldest models are verifying too warm. I just talked to Will who's on the Merrit near BDR on way back from Jersey. Even the cold Euro didn't have BWI getting snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 I do not see support for that 18-24 zone at all. Only way is to get a prolonged banded mode tomorrow afternoon, which I suppose is possible, but man, 18-24 is just a complete ly different ballpark of snowstorms than 10-18 ... What part of 2" qpf dont you undeestand? Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 I do not see support for that 18-24 zone at all. Only way is to get a prolonged banded mode tomorrow afternoon, which I suppose is possible, but man, 18-24 is just a complete ly different ballpark of snowstorms than 10-18 ... What part of 2" qpf dont you undeestand? Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Close to 1.75", tough read on the SV qpf map Thumper the Dumper. i hope to see a couple of inches of snow while you see a couple of inches of water in the snow form., enjoy bro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 This is going to be an epic battle with the mid levels, starting to think ice might be an issue in interior sw ct. NE drain is holding the bl temps down but the mid level warming is advancing pretty quickly off the ocean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 one thing to watch will be the 825-700 layer warm punch. how quickly that manages to move into/across SNE will make a big difference. the actual transition zone from snow to sleet is a good distance further N than the 850 0C line as most models have a good push of mid-level warm air above that layer. the front end thump could be substantial but likewise the transition may be earlier than you'd think. might be one of those things where it manages to punch all the way to the Pike without much trouble then slows down quite a bit. just something to keep in mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Even the cold Euro didn't have BWI getting snow yes it did. last night's run showed a few inches and so does this morning's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ericnh Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Hav a feeling I won't even change over here in manchester Nh. box had me at 6 to 8 now their map says 8 to 10 but in my detail forecast has mme getting 6 to 10 tonight then 1 to 3 tomorrow whicch is more like 7 to 13" total. If we don't change over I think I wil be looking at 12 to 16" can only hope! going t be a fun night to watch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 one thing to watch will be the 825-700 layer warm punch. how quickly that manages to move into/across SNE will make a big difference. the actual transition zone from snow to sleet is a good distance further N than the 850 0C line as most models have a good push of mid-level warm air above that layer. the front end thump could be substantial but likewise the transition may be earlier than you'd think. might be one of those things where it manages to punch all the way to the Pike without much trouble then slows down quite a bit. just something to keep in mind. As long as it slows way down... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Thumper the Dumper. i hope to see a couple of inches of snow while you see a couple of inches of water in the snow form., enjoy bro. Thanks bud, Hope you over perform down there, The obs further south are encouraging Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 yes it did. last night's run showed a few inches and so does this morning's Will said it didnt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 As long as it slows way down... you're fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 My temp and dp are now dropping with a ene bearing...not bad news for sure... left home was 26.. at work in stratford right on the sound.. 33 degrees wow.. everyone is in for a little surprise.. Upton now has accumulation right on coast.. they are still slacking for us.. only in the 1-3" range.. I was looking at a map of seymour/shelton.. I think we are only about 5 miles from eachother same latitude, you are due west of me... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 one thing to watch will be the 825-700 layer warm punch. how quickly that manages to move into/across SNE will make a big difference. the actual transition zone from snow to sleet is a good distance further N than the 850 0C line as most models have a good push of mid-level warm air above that layer. the front end thump could be substantial but likewise the transition may be earlier than you'd think. might be one of those things where it manages to punch all the way to the Pike without much trouble then slows down quite a bit. just something to keep in mind. Yeah agreed. I can't see above 850 on the euro, but the GFS did have a decent 800mb warm punch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Will said it didnt here's 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Sammy this is how you get 2 foot totals in upslope areas, and Hunchie this is was slows it down 250 east winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Ì think Chris in NWCT having no warning is more surprising than me. 8-12 for him lock it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 NE drain is extremely impressive! BDR back down to 32/21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Well overcast is in, temps are chilly with dews in the L-M 20s. Glad Phil's back posting. I'm thinking this is really overperforming in western areas of SNE vs east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 one thing to watch will be the 825-700 layer warm punch. how quickly that manages to move into/across SNE will make a big difference. the actual transition zone from snow to sleet is a good distance further N than the 850 0C line as most models have a good push of mid-level warm air above that layer. the front end thump could be substantial but likewise the transition may be earlier than you'd think. might be one of those things where it manages to punch all the way to the Pike without much trouble then slows down quite a bit. just something to keep in mind. Yea been mentioning that , the sleet is closer than it appears. I still see V day 07 similarities down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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