SnowMan Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Even Boxing Day had an H7 low south of us and we know what happened then. It will be an intersting storm. I'm actually most interested in Kevin and Ray's totals..because those two may be the toughest forecast. Bust potential there. Yeah....22 inches of snow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 And to be fair to me I really have him on the border of 3-6 and 6-10. Tickling the isopleth over his bald head. I think I'll get 7-8 in all honesty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 With Elmo giggles. Sort of like Ray. Tickle the pickle? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 I think the entire N part of CT up into Rays area is an incredibly hard forecast. I out and say that Albany is wrong but that's solely because I want more. I understand that for my hood out that way this could literally be 2" or 12" (or maybe even more). These are the kind of storms that made me not want to go to met. school. I'd honestly have to forecast 2-12" for my house tonight lol. No way you're only getting 2. I say 5-9 or 6-10 should do it for where people live in the NW hill towns. Even if someone pulls a 4 inch or 12 inch amount, the forecast would still verify so you don't necessarily need a huge range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 I think Chris sees 10+ I just built a sweet snow measuring board and am going to put it outside soon...I'm sure now I'll get about 3" because of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 You: 6-10" Kevin: hears 12-18" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 You should get 12-16 with ease my Pony o friend. Pony up Are you going to stay up past 9pm to see more then 3 hours of snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Maybe CON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 I think I'll get 7-8 in all honesty I think that's reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Yeah....22 inches of snow... But Tip dryslot tied and threw a fit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Steve, you might get a couple inches in the hills down that way, hoping for 6 here before the change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 26, 2012 Author Share Posted December 26, 2012 Even Boxing Day had an H7 low south of us and we know what happened then. It will be an intersting storm. I'm actually most interested in Kevin and Ray's totals..because those two may be the toughest forecast. Bust potential there. Eh, perhaps someone has a reanalysis source and can dig up the 700mb charts and other data layers but from my recollection there wasn't "dry slot" by definition, but "dry slot" simply because of shredding on rad - but precip can cut off for a myriad of other reasons of course, and that could give folks the illusion that were happening. The low was a deep SE U.S. seaboard detonator, and the ensuing deep layer vortex structure passed just outside Cape Cod ( sfc at ~975mb), and that path really argues against the type of dry slot we really mean when we invoke it in present discussion. I tell you what though - up here in Ayer over to FIT, we had some kind of odd dry intrusion from the N constantly evaporating the column and it deeply cut into our snow totals up this way for that reason alone - having nothing to do with dry slotting in the sense of the Norwegian-Cyclone model. We got royally screwed for snow totals. I had maybe 5" of what looked like snizzle out of that storm; so too did a Met friend who lives up on an 850' ridge line over in Fitchburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 I haven't seen it mentioned, any ideas for west Glocester Rhode Island? Hey bro No school Foster Glocester. 4-6? heavy sleet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Torn, Worcester may get 6-10 whch may not be worth traveling to. 12+ means a longer trip..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Steve, you might get a couple inches in the hills down that way, hoping for 6 here before the change. nowcast but hope so, think I get a sleetfest for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Torn, Worcester may get 6-10 whch may not be worth traveling to. 12+ means a longer trip..... Then you might want to make your trip to Amherst, NH... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Yeah....22 inches of snow... Not in SNE outside of BOS area. You were in better banding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 nowcast but hope so, think I get a sleetfest for a while. That is an impressive radar to your south stevo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Eh, perhaps someone has a reanalysis source and can dig up the 700mb charts and other data layers but from my recollection there wasn't "dry slot" by definition, but "dry slot" simply because of shredding on rad - but precip can cut off for a myriad of other reasons of course, and that could give folks the illusion that were happening. The low was a deep SE U.S. seaboard detonator, and the ensuing deep layer vortex structure passed just outside Cape Cod ( sfc at ~975mb), and that path really argues against the type of dry slot we really mean when we invoke it in present discussion. I tell you what though - up here in Ayer over to FIT, we had some kind of odd dry intrusion from the N constantly evaporating the column and it deeply cut into our snow totals up this way for that reason alone - having nothing to do with dry slotting in the sense of the Norwegian-Cyclone model. We got royally screwed for snow totals. I had maybe 5" of what looked like snizzle out of that storm; so too did a Met friend who lives up on an 850' ridge line over in Fitchburg. The interior had 50kts north wind...could very well have been downsloping too. I just want to be clear so people don't always fear. A dryslot does not mean complete ending of precip. In this case, it likely seperates the big WCB of snow from showery precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 What a fantastic bust in the good direction for the folks in and around dc and baltimore;..........always fun when that happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Thinking about setting up in downtown Worcester tonight. can you get further N Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 The interior had 50kts north wind...could very well have been downsloping too. I just want to be clear so people don't always fear. A dryslot does not mean complete ending of precip. In this case, it likely seperates the big WCB of snow from showery precip. Where is the dry slot on those? How can you tell where it is located? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
teebrdsfan Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 You need to put your location (town) in your profile...lol And in "full version" you can see this info for all of the posters who use it Ah yes, I'm such a newb! Anyway, thanks, I've updated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Then you might want to make your trip to Amherst, NH... Looking at Keene. There's a downtown pet friendly courtyard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Maybe CON MPV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Looking at Keene. There's a downtown pet friendly courtyard. Isn't Keene a snow hole because of the mountains in the area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Well, it's more about temps too. I know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 MQE could get a nice dump with 635' elevation. I may be like 34 with mash potatoes while they are ripping at 32F or 31.5 Bob may squeeze out a couple of inches possibly. I'm sort of bearish for the coast, but like I said yesterday...a good high to the north will do good things for us. Still, the Cape is 40 with NE winds right now. With winds rapidly increasing from the water...I have a tough time envisioning several inches for us. I'm capping my totals around 2" here. I wouldn't be shocked at just over an inch or 3-4". This antecedent airmass is not good for us. I think the wind off the water could tell the tale for this storm. I'd like this storm more if the winds weren't going to be as strong as forecasted.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Looking at Keene. There's a downtown pet friendly courtyard. Northern ORH county if you stay in MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 12z NAM has CON with ~2" qpf up from ~1.7" on the 6z 0z Euro had ~1.9" 6z GFS ~1.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.