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December 27/28 Storm Part II


Typhoon Tip

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Been completely out of the loop with working 60-70 hours a week but just got home before heading out at looks like latest run of the RAP wants to halt the northward progression of the WAA aloft a bit slower? This really is going to be real close for many locations in southern New England...some spots are on the line of like 2-4'' then changing over and getting as much as like 8-10'' before a mix or changeover.

one thing for certain is being on the right side of the coastal front is going to be pretty freaking sweet.

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  On 12/26/2012 at 8:57 PM, forkyfork said:

i said the gfs and euro were too fast with precip onset

I haven't seen the 18z run yet but all the other runs were way to warm aloft here in nnj. I think beyond maybe 6hrs the nam mid level temps have busted warm by a couple degrees C.

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  On 12/26/2012 at 8:59 PM, Amped said:

Williamsport , PA also over to sleet. Looks like we should have looked more at soundings. Probably a warm layer between 850 and 700.

Doesn't appear to be anything noteworthy for warmth but either the model must not be picking it up or snowgrowth is just terrible/

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  On 12/26/2012 at 8:59 PM, Amped said:

Williamsport , PA also over to sleet. Looks like we should have looked more at soundings. Probably a warm layer between 850 and 700.

For what it's worth my friends at Penn State say S+ right now with quarter mile visibility.

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  On 12/26/2012 at 9:12 PM, CT Blizz said:

What are you thinking for here?ryan had 7 or 8 which I'd agree with

I'm a little worried how fast the mix moves in. I'm thinking 4-6 there. I think that range is ok. Even if you get 7-8 it's only an inch or two off. I wish I could see the euro weenie maps at work. I like to know how the warm layer near 800mb looks.

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