hm8 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 FWIW...the ESLR RAP (arguable the better one) looks pretty significantly different (in a bad way) than the NCEP version... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Beautiful trowal on the NAM , similar to what the RAP is alluding too. Some decent totals on this run associated with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 The RAP continues to be ridiculous here... As much as I want to believe it's accurate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 NAM came in pretty good for S/E MI again... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 FWIW nam 06Z.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Sleet issues continue here in South Central Indiana. Hoping we changeover very soon... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sidewinder Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 mixed bag of precip just began here, south of ind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 FWIW nam 06Z.... Yep, pretty good run for us... Also, just judging from my relatively untrained eye, the radar returns and motion look fairly good for us ATM too, but that can be decieving. Already getting windy, dark cloud tops starting to move in Winds are starting to get a little gusty up here too. 23 MPH gust at City Airport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GordoFabulous Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Impressive cloud motion. The winds are really howling right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
afterimage Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md2227.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2227 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0225 AM CST WED DEC 26 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...SRN IL...CNTRL AND SRN IND...W-CNTRL AND SW OH CONCERNING...BLIZZARD VALID 260825Z - 261430Z SUMMARY...HEAVY SNOW AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD NEWD FROM SE MO/SRN IL ACROSS CNTRL IND INTO W-CNTRL AND SW OH EARLY THIS MORNING. SNOWFALL RATES AROUND 1-1.5 INCHES PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE AT TIMES. NORTH WINDS AROUND 20-30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS. DISCUSSION...STRONG PVA WAS PIVOTING E/NE ACROSS WRN TN INTO SRN KY AS OF 0730Z...PROVIDING MOIST ASCENT OVER BAND OF 700 MB FRONTOGENESIS FROM SRN IL EWD ACROSS CNTRL KY. AS THE SFC LOW /CENTERED OVER S-CNTRL TN AT 08Z/ CONTINUES TO LIFT N/NE...WARM CONVEYOR BELT PROCESSES WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE FUEL FOR HEAVY SNOW. THE HEAVIEST SNOW WAS MOVING ACROSS SE MO INTO SW IL AND WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP NEWD TOWARD CENTRAL IND AND SW/S-CNTRL OH OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. SNOWFALL RATES APPROACHING 1-1.5 INCHES AN HOUR ARE POSSIBLE. BRIEF PERIODS OF EVEN HEAVIER SNOW MAY ACCOMPANY SMALLER CONVECTIVE BANDS ACROSS SRN IL...BUT INCREASINGLY UNFAVORABLE MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL LIMIT CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL ACROSS IND AND OH. ADDITIONALLY...SOME FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET MAY INITIALLY MIX WITH SNOW ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE MCD AREA AS THE TRANSITION FROM LIQUID TO FROZEN PRECIPITATION OCCURS. NLY SFC WINDS WILL INCREASE ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW /AS EVIDENT IN SFC OBS FROM NE ARK INTO SRN IL/. SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 20-30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE. IN FACT...A GUST TO 42 MPH WAS OBSERVED AT POPLAR BLUFF WAS AT 0745Z. THESE STRONG WINDS COMBINED WITH HEAVY SNOW WILL LEAD TO BLIZZARD CONDITIONS SPREADING NEWD THROUGH EARLY MORNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EvansvilleBlizzard Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 thundersnow with crazy snowfall rates in evansville now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Nice convection firing right over Evansville http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GSSLOOPS/ecwv.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergy Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 I'm not sure what to make of the radar trends, but it looks like Central IN, NW Ohio, and Detroit are about to get whomped later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EvansvilleBlizzard Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 We have had more snow the last 15 mins than all of last winter.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 DTX to hold off on making any changes/upgrades and let afternoon shift deal with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergy Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 DTX to hold off on making any changes/upgrades and let afternoon shift deal with it. As we figured. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 The wind is really howling out, no precipitation yet. Sent from my Galaxy S III on Tapatalk! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard1978 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Precipitation now 35 miles south of Pittsburgh....moving northward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 26, 2012 Author Share Posted December 26, 2012 Tough forecast this morning. NAM at 6z is holding severe with its trowal of joy scenario, spitting out a nice round 1.25" QPF at YYZ. RAP seems to be backing it up. EURO, although much more tame, has at 0.71" enough juice to make this a significant storm. Then you have the 6z GFS come in with what looks like about 0.35", 3rd straight reduction in a row, and the RGEM holding steady at 0.40". I am having a tough time believing there's going to be such a sharp northern cutoff, as per the 6z GFS, considering the positioning of the upper trough, its negative tilt, and the fact we'll be experiencing PVA. That being said, I noticed the models were a little too quick in closing off the 540 dam contour this morning over TN. Looks like I'll ride my 3-7" for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Per IND NWS Facebook page. Thunder snow reported by COOP observer in Vincennes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 This storm could crack a top ten list for calendar day snowfalls at CLE. Yes, I know that stat is kind of irrelevant, but something to watch. I do find it interesting how most of our snowfalls here have been broken up by the midnight hour, this one looks to have 90% falling during today's calendar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YHM Supercell Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Lake effect has been going nuts in Hamilton this morning. Heavy snow with whiteouts at times. About 2-3cm already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 26, 2012 Author Share Posted December 26, 2012 Lake effect has been going nuts in Hamilton this morning. Heavy snow with whiteouts at times. About 2-3cm already Nice. This shallow east-wind stuff can be tricky. Can't always believe the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 26, 2012 Author Share Posted December 26, 2012 sfc low down to 995 in n-c TN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Snowing at a pretty good clip and very windy. Needless to say visibility is low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Sleet storm here... :axe: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 The snow is so close, yet so far here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 The snow is so close, yet so far here. Should make it there shortly, it's been snowing at a pretty good clip here for the last 45 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Should make it there shortly, it's been snowing at a pretty good clip here for the last 45 minutes. First returns are starting to squeak into the county. Winds have been howling all morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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