kab2791 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Dont usually check out the 4k NAM...but LOL its totals are insane. Has a blob of 1.75"+ over Detroit, 2"+ over St Clair county, and jackpots of 3"+ near Toronto Link?, because not seeing those insane totals, not that they matter. Just curious where you're seeing this. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Check out the 4km NAM radar reflectivity. 35-40dbz just to our south at 13z, and then poof on the next frame. Not that I buy it, but it's a real pisser. http://www.meteo.psu...4_0z/rad14.html Definitely looks like lake enhancement in the thumb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 afterimage, saw your post but couldn't quote it...but I know IND was thinking 13:1 earlier. Probably in the neighborhood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Link?, because not seeing those insane totals, not that they matter. Just curious where you're seeing this. lol e wall site Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 26, 2012 Author Share Posted December 26, 2012 e wall site I think Josh misinterpreted the numbers. It's not 3.00" (liquid?) over Toronto. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
afterimage Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 afterimage, saw your post but couldn't quote it...but I know IND was thinking 13:1 earlier. Probably in the neighborhood. Thank you for your reply. Yes, I am on my phone and messed up my quote/response to you. Was my fat finger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 I think Josh misinterpreted the numbers. It's not 3.00" (liquid?) over Toronto. I think the RGEM trending wetter is a good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chuckster2013 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Looks like pingers and then rain moving toward me on radar... Snow tomorrow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 It's a nice feeling sitting in the bullseye right now (and for the past several days) but I'm just waiting for something to screw it up tomorrow. Regardless of what does fall, I will be thankful for my blizzard birthday present. How did the euro do with the snowfall for Arkansas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 OK, I think this'll be my last call: LAF: 3-5" IND: 8-11" OKK: 4-7" BMG: 8-11" MIE: 7-10" I've been holding off on a final for as long as possible. Hate being on the northwestern edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 RGEM wetter, but that's not saying much, considering how dry it was. Absolutely nothing like the NAM. Looks like about 10mm by 12z Thursday here at YYZ. Either this storm will be a dud, or it will be a huge surprise for the people of Toronto. I well remember the December 10-11,1992 storm. On the morning of December 10, 15-20cm (6-8") of snow was being forecast for Toronto. We ended up with 34cm (14") at Pearson and 40cm (16") at Buttonville. Unreal. I was in Grade 7 and we got a snow day out of it, the only one of my Elementary School years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 I am becoming slightly concerned about a dry slot poking into South Central or Southeast Indiana. That could most certainly cut down on snow totals some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 I've been holding off on a final for as long as possible. Hate being on the northwestern edge. Last call at noon tomorrow? Well, time to abandon the higher end first call anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 I've been holding off on a final for as long as possible. Hate being on the northwestern edge. I know what you mean. I feel confident in the bottom end of that range but really contemplated bumping the high end up a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Last call at noon tomorrow? Well, time to abandon the higher end first call anyway. Nah, probably in an hour or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaytonFlyers21 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 I am becoming slightly concerned about a dry slot poking into South Central or Southeast Indiana. That could most certainly cut down on snow totals some. I thought you were concerned about convection to the south robbing it.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chuckster2013 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 I am becoming slightly concerned about a dry slot poking into South Central or Southeast Indiana. That could most certainly cut down on snow totals some. Looks like rain moving up from the south too. Don't know if that will continue but if it does...oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 26, 2012 Author Share Posted December 26, 2012 Either this storm will be a dud, or it will be a huge surprise for the people of Toronto. I well remember the December 10-11,1992 storm. On the morning of December 10, 15-20cm (6-8") of snow was being forecast for Toronto. We ended up with 34cm (14") at Pearson and 40cm (16") at Buttonville. Unreal. I was in Grade 7 and we got a snow day out of it, the only one of my Elementary School years. If the RGEM verifies and we get 4-5", this storm was not a dud. Please make sure a few psychopathic NAM runs don't cloud your assessment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EvansvilleBlizzard Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 First flakes falling in evansville indiana now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 I thought you were concerned about convection to the south robbing it.... I'm wondering if multiple people is using his account Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 First reports of snow coming in from SW IN and southern IL. Won't be long before those expand north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 First flakes falling in evansville indiana now Good sign. Good luck down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 I'm wondering if multiple people is using his account It's obvious that I'm not well liked on this forum. Back off a little...thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 26, 2012 Author Share Posted December 26, 2012 It's obvious that I'm not well liked on this forum. Back off a little...thanks. Take your own advice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 26, 2012 Author Share Posted December 26, 2012 0z GFS looks like it's going the other direction. Slightly weaker and further east at 09 compared to 18z at 15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Check out the 4km NAM radar reflectivity. 35-40dbz just to our south at 13z, and then poof on the next frame. Not that I buy it, but it's a real pisser. http://www.meteo.psu...4_0z/rad14.html Interesting to see that by 24z there is 20-25dbz returns all the up to Blackrock! 20 dbz returns back into Chicago as well! I think this storm is going to pull a few good surprises. Toronto prediction: 25cm (~10") +/- 1cm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Somewhere, some weather weenie down in Arkansas is getting the Christmas gift of a lifetime tonight. He'd be here, but they just got dialup last week. Sent from my Galaxy S III on Tapatalk! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 26, 2012 Author Share Posted December 26, 2012 Toronto prediction: 25cm (~10") +/- 1cm. So who's the hacker? Snowstorms or Toronto Blizzard? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 0z GFS looks like it's going the other direction. Slightly weaker and further east at 09 compared to 18z at 15. Kinda ends up the same place at 18 hours, as the 12z run did. Precip shield actually little better out this way. EDIT: I'm gonna have to hug this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 26, 2012 Author Share Posted December 26, 2012 Kinda ends up the same place at 18 hours, as the 12z run did. Precip shield actually little better out this way. EDIT: I'm gonna have to hug this run. Step back here though. I'll have to bear hug the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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