Hoosier Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 On 12/25/2012 at 3:52 PM, Chicago WX said: Small ticks NW (precip shield or track early on) are pretty huge for here, relatively speaking. 12z NAM and GFS delivered in that regard...but, it's just coming in line with what the Euro has been advertising for LAF. IND, MIE, CMH, DAY, CLE, etc are going to get it good. At least we've stopped the bleeding. Another bump north puts us in 6+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 On 12/25/2012 at 4:12 PM, Chicago WX said: Nice spread across Tippecanoe County on the 12z NAM clown map. 2-3" in the NW corner to 6" in the SE corner. While by no means the tightest gradients we have ever seen, no doubt there's going to be a few counties with substantial snow ranges. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 NWS PADUCAH FYI....talking with the forecaster working this event - we are getting concerned about the projected flow at 850mb which may tend to lower snowfall totals from PAH to EVV. There still will be a band of very heavy snow...that will likely set up near or just north of the Ohio River. Updates snowfall totals and multimedia briefing within the next hour. Stay tuned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 DTX is examining the potentials for higher snow amounts for its western regions including Oakland cnty. Per their FB page. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 On 12/25/2012 at 4:37 PM, Hoosier said: At least we've stopped the bleeding. Another bump north puts us in 6+. Yes, tourniquet applied. For now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 On 12/25/2012 at 4:43 PM, B-Rent said: While by no means the tightest gradients we have ever seen, no doubt there's going to be a few counties with substantial snow ranges. Yep, there have been some crazy ones in the past. Of course, they're probably a little more common than I like to believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 On 12/25/2012 at 4:49 PM, Chicago WX said: Yep, there have been some crazy ones in the past. Of course, they're probably a little more common than I like to believe. I have a feeling this may be a case where the SE side of town gets 4 or 5" and the west side gets like 2 or 3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 Been a while since I've seen a GEFS run with the 0.5 line this far west again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 Lol at the thread subtitle. No doubt buckeye will be buried..... ....the question is with what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 Boy oh boy are we on the line down here south of Dayton.... Its going to be a thread of the needle type of event.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 Do you guys think that sleet or freezing rain will happen in Columbus? I had a hard time reconciling the SREF p-type with NAM and GFS P-type plots from coolwx.com. Looks like it's an interesting and important question to ask. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 On 12/25/2012 at 4:56 PM, blue60007 said: I have a feeling this may be a case where the SE side of town gets 4 or 5" and the west side gets like 2 or 3". Us FTW then. FWIW, 12z IWX and LSX local WRF's are pretty much a whiff for LAF. 12z NMM and ARW concur with those thoughts too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrad08 Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 On 12/25/2012 at 5:02 PM, Madmaxweather said: Boy oh boy are we on the line down here south of Dayton.... Its going to be a thread of the needle type of event.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 On 12/25/2012 at 5:14 PM, Chicago WX said: Us FTW then. FWIW, 12z IWX and LSX local WRF's are pretty much a whiff for LAF. 12z NMM and ARW concur with those thoughts too. lol, I hate this and love it at the same time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 On 12/25/2012 at 5:05 PM, Chinook said: Do you guys think that sleet or freezing rain will happen in Columbus? I had a hard time reconciling the SREF p-type with NAM and GFS P-type plots from coolwx.com. Looks like it's an interesting and important question to ask. I'd be shocked if we got all snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 updated acwx map FWIW. Seems they are going with a slightly further NW track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrad08 Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 Ya I agree here around dayton is going to be tricky. A jog of 50 miles could mean 12" of snow, ice, or rain mixing most of the time. I won't take the official forecast seriously until tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowx467 Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 On 12/25/2012 at 5:05 PM, Chinook said: Do you guys think that sleet or freezing rain will happen in Columbus? I had a hard time reconciling the SREF p-type with NAM and GFS P-type plots from coolwx.com. Looks like it's an interesting and important question to ask. The 12z GFS makes me really nervous with precip type.... It seems like whenever we are on the line here in Columbus it defaults to the Freezing rain/rain and it the GFS appears to be putting the heaviest precip during the warmest part of the storm for us... I was feeling much better about this before the latest runs.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 On 12/25/2012 at 5:14 PM, Chicago WX said: Us FTW then. FWIW, 12z IWX and LSX local WRF's are pretty much a whiff for LAF. 12z NMM and ARW concur with those thoughts too. For sure. FWIW as well, the hires WRF runs I've been doing (GFS initialized) have pretty much been doing the same thing for the last couple of days. I'm debating whether I should take tomorrow off to watch this thing off. I hate to do that if we just end up with flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 On 12/25/2012 at 5:17 PM, Hoosier said: lol, I hate this and love it at the same time. Yep. Not that there is ever a sure thing in weather, but I'd like all the guidance right now to say...here's your 2-4". Sit back, relax, and enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 On 12/25/2012 at 5:19 PM, blue60007 said: For sure. FWIW as well, the hires WRF runs I've been doing (GFS initialized) have pretty much been doing the same thing for the last couple of days. I'm debating whether I should take tomorrow off to watch this thing off. I hate to do that if we just end up with flurries. I still have your WRF bookmarked. 12/25 0z run sure took a turn for the worse. I have tomorrow off, so I'll either be watching it snow...or watching overcast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 25, 2012 Author Share Posted December 25, 2012 On 12/25/2012 at 5:18 PM, Stevo6899 said: updated acwx map FWIW. Seems they are going with a slightly further NW track. 12"+ here? Uh, no. But whaddayu expected from crapuweather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 On 12/25/2012 at 5:17 PM, buckeye said: I'd be shocked if we got all snow here. I think it'll be at least 90% snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 This will no doubt be a nowcasting situation. Temperatures will be very important for I and Buckeye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 On 12/25/2012 at 5:36 PM, snowstormcanuck said: 12"+ here? Uh, no. But whaddayu expected from crapuweather. Somehow I missed that map. 6-12" for here. lololz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 On 12/25/2012 at 5:18 PM, Stevo6899 said: updated acwx map FWIW. Seems they are going with a slightly further NW track. NW trend FTW lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 On 12/25/2012 at 5:18 PM, Stevo6899 said: updated acwx map FWIW. Seems they are going with a slightly further NW track. That seems to be their old map. It looks exactly like the one from a few days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 On 12/25/2012 at 5:36 PM, jbcmh81 said: I think it'll be at least 90% snow. I wonder if the thump factor will help us. Im seeing that 850 line creep right up to cmh on most models right at the time of heaviest thump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 IND upgraded a portion of the area to a Blizzard Warning for tomorrow.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 Seems like its going to take its sweet ol time coming north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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