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Good riddance 2012. Rockin 2013? Obs and Banter


Bob Chill

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1.56" so far this evening with no end in sight...

 

Ground here is still frozen solid so all the water is running off into creeks and gullys.

 

Ended up with 3.96" in the bucket.  Lot's of localized flooding with trees starting to drop due to the winds and saturated soil.  Peak gust is 53mph at 5:15am but there have been two gusts over 50mph since then.  Temps down to 36.9F.  Interesting, the ground is still frozen 1/2" under the mushy top layer.  There is water ponding on grassy areas that I have never seen it do so before since it can't penetrate the ice layer.  Here's the MPE image for the last 24 hours:

 

post-109-0-68940400-1359635931_thumb.png

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The title of this thread was misleading! When we said it would be a rocking 2013 we were thinking snow and a lot of it. I guess we have some time to make up for the low snow January, but maybe we should have been clear on what type of weather would be rockin' us! Warm and buckets o' rain, or cold and dry. Not really rockin' for me!

 

Just sayin'

 

OK - I have complained for the day! On to the Flizzard event!

 

(the statements do not represent people who, for some reason, were blessed with multiple moderate snow events, including part of the eastern shore and lower southern MD and the Higher elevations of the SW parts of VA. I, of course, complain about my own back yard!)

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...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR

THE GOOSE CREEK NEAR LEESBURG.

* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.

* AT 9 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.9 FEET.

* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.

* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.

* RECENT ACTIVITY...THE MAXIMUM RIVER STAGE IN THE 24 HOURS ENDING AT

9 AM THURSDAY WAS 17.9 FEET.

* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.3 FEET BY

EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE

OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.

* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...WATER THREATENS SEVERAL HOMES SOUTH OF

LEESBURG. HIGHWAY 15 WILL LIKELY HAVE TO BE CLOSED.

* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 18.9 FEET

ON MAY 12 2008.

&&

RIVER FLOOD OBSERVED 2PM 8PM 2AM 8AM CREST

LOCATION STAGE STG DAY TIME THU THU FRI FRI STG DAY TIME

GOOSE CREEK

LEESBURG 12.0 17.9 THU 9 AM 18.3 15.2 12.0 8.5 18.3 THU 1 PM

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Ended up with 3.96" in the bucket.  Lot's of localized flooding with trees starting to drop due to the winds and saturated soil.  Peak gust is 53mph at 5:15am but there have been two gusts over 50mph since then.  Temps down to 36.9F.  Interesting, the ground is still frozen 1/2" under the mushy top layer.  There is water ponding on grassy areas that I have never seen it do so before since it can't penetrate the ice layer.  Here's the MPE image for the last 24 hours:

 

attachicon.gifpast24.png

Amazing....that was my storm total too, 3.96 inches.  Must be a record broken for that.  Either for January or a winter month storm total.  Was anyone seeing this kind of output on the models the last couple of days?

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