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Good riddance 2012. Rockin 2013? Obs and Banter


Bob Chill

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Nobody wants to talk about tomorrow morning?

 

I haven't looked at it much, but from what I've seen, isn't the precip stays west of the cities until mid-morning tomorrow, so maybe a brief period of freezing stuff?

 

Quite different for you as light precip comes in overnight.

 

 

Hmmm.  6z gfs says maybe I spoke too soon.

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Yeah, I hear you.  I'm being a complete "2 hour delay" weenie right now.

 

I don't know that I can completely disagree. I get excited for the delays because it means an easier commute. 

 

I just can't get interested. Heavy rain and 60's looming in 72 hours leaves me completely uninterested in glaze on grass and trees for a couple hours before temps head well above freezing. 

 

Tis better to know whether there will be weather than what the weather will be? FWIW I'm looking toward the early side of mid-February.  But we shall see how it develops.

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NAM says few hundreths at best... GFS still suggests .1 of FRZ RN Blue Ridge west on their respective 12z runs

SREFs are still saying that some frozen precip for central MD is likely (particularly in the shape of freezing rain) but I don't really see it, particularly because the surface temp looks to warm up quick enough, along with the mids threatening to almost immediately crush the slippery stuff before it even considers getting out of hand.

 

Cold drizzle seems about right for most.

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Anyone else notice how high the RH was at the surface on Tuesday and Wed ahead of the front on the NAm soundings?   Those RH make trying to forecast the highs tough.  

 

I did. The NAM has been doing very weird things with moisture lately. I've using local METAR/Wx reports from areas in the OV/SE/MW prior to giving thought to any forecast in the mid/atl. Sometimes it helps just to see how everything is being handled. The 700s have been my friend lately, that's for darn sure.

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Just to add, it's this constant looking 10 days ahead for the big blizzard that makes winter seem such a short season for many of us. Enjoy the day, focus on the two or three days in front.

We had snow Wed night, Friday, Saturday, and ice today. Its been below freezing almost continually since last Monday. I know we haven't seen a big snow, but I think you miss out on fun by expecting too much. If we can't like the past week, then it really is going to be a crappy place for winter for people in this region.

I would've liked the past week a lot better if I'd seen a snow event that covered the ground fully. Maybe you have, and if so, then great, but trash can toppers just don't satisfy me, at all. And I hardly got a thing on Saturday.

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