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Good riddance 2012. Rockin 2013? Obs and Banter


Bob Chill

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Has anyone else noticed any other personal weather station's temperatures dropping fast? My parent's are in Fredericksburg and their station is down to 7.7. Granted, their weather station is located in a rural natural depression and is ideal for this area for radiational cooling. Although their temps are in line with most other stations in the area most nights. Maybe a degree or two colder when it's clear.

 

High Pressure overhead (thus light winds), clear skies and snow on the ground. Perfect for creating an inversion and dropping temps fast.

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Right where we want it at this range

I've found that what often happens is the minute I look at the MR/LR pattern and say it sucks it starts to produce. Everyone is starting to harp on how good the beginning of Feb will be and I'm all kinda meh on it.

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I'm a dummy but I see nothing in the next week to 10 days worth watching

 

I, for one, am looking forward to seeing a 12 - 18 inch hammering of snow fall across the Piedmont and southern viriginia on January 32nd while we obsessively chase 1" up this way, all along telling ourselves "it has to come north" and "north trend" over 27 model runs...

 

Its what we are now good at.

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Ok I am being held to a forecast for my husbands office... With the WWA from 2-9 are we looking at a fast snowfall period? I want to be able to advise him as to when to bail from Mo.Co. He takes 270 and I want to get him home before those drivers on that road get stupid. Thanks!

 

Latest hires nam says snow in moco around 2-3 at the earliest. I wouldn't expect any rates strong enough to disrupt traffic till after 4.

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radar hole /= snow hole

 

part of the radar hole is because of the angle of the radar bean and it has to get up so high before seeing the snow that is evaporating before it hits the ground.  You can see a huge difference between the LWX radar and the composite radar reflectivity, the latter shows more echoes as surrounding radar sites capture the elevated precip that is too high to be caught but the LWX radar that is nearer. Later in the day when the dry slot comes, then the radar hole with equal the snow hole. 

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part of the radar hole is because of the angle of the radar bean and it has to get up so high before seeing the snow that is evaporating before it hits the ground.  You can see a huge difference between the LWX radar and the composite radar reflectivity, the latter shows more echoes as surrounding radar sites capture the elevated precip that is too high to be caught but the LWX radar that is nearer. Later in the day when the dry slot comes, then the radar hole with equal the snow hole. 

I always look at the sky to see if it looks "fuzzy" and that tells me it is snowing up a few hundred feet.

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part of the radar hole is because of the angle of the radar bean and it has to get up so high before seeing the snow that is evaporating before it hits the ground.  You can see a huge difference between the LWX radar and the composite radar reflectivity, the latter shows more echoes as surrounding radar sites capture the elevated precip that is too high to be caught but the LWX radar that is nearer. Later in the day when the dry slot comes, then the radar hole with equal the snow hole. 

 

:cry:

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