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Good riddance 2012. Rockin 2013? Obs and Banter


Bob Chill

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Nice post from gymengineer, maybe I can go back to lurking in the NE threads. I had been assuming they were cashing in while we were not. I ilke it they are generally getting hosed too.

 

 

It's not been a great winter for the major cities northeast of us either-- Boston's "only" had 7" so they are running well behind where they should be. NYC's at 5" at Philadelphia's only at 1".       

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If recent history tells us anything, 2016-2017 will be our winter. Nothing else will be truly rockin'.

Then again, a normal winter (which we really don't have) would seem rockin' after the last three years.

Actually, if you look at the pattern, it should be next winter when we get a 8"+ storm.  I know zwyts and others have said its just one big coincidence... but its an interesting one:

 

2009-2010

2005-2006

2002-2003

1999-2000

1995-1996

1992-1993

1986-1987

1982-1983

 

Ever since the 1980s... about every 3-4 winters we have a major snowstorm in DC.  Once again, its most likely just coincidence... but I find this lil tidbit interesting

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The DCA snow drought got me wondering about Baltimore.  I don't think BWI has had a snowfall of greater than 1" since 2/22/11.  That's nearly 700 days.

yep. i noted it here: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/post/washington-dc-in-longest-drought-without-a-2-inch-or-greater-snowfall-event/2013/01/03/38c6a4c0-548b-11e2-8b9e-dd8773594efc_blog.html

 

i didn't do the history there as it would have taken a long time.. but it's gotta be the longest stretch there as well as it's now longer than any of the prior dc ones and balt has at least a bit better climo. 

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I'm just fulfilling my duty as a sensible weenie. Just pointing out what I'm seeing until a red tag fulfills their responsibility of putting the smack down on sensible weenies not making any sense...if that makes any sense...

 

 

Wes is busy.  He'll be along later

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I know some have poo pooed the upcoming cold snap, but 5-7 consecutive days with highs in the 20s/30s is pretty good for us. Of course, I'd love to be in NNE shoes where they'll get 2-3 consecutive days with highs around 0 and lows in the -10s, but that just isn't going to happen around here. The mountains areas to our west should do well. NWS forecast for jon jon shows three consecutive days with highs in the low-mid 10s with snow Sat night - Mon night.

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Looks like CWG thinks the NWS issuing the WSW was "one of its worst winter weather forecasts in recent memory".

 

Do they not know what a watch means? Am I out of line here or is that statement outlandish?

 

When it was clear DC wasn't getting warning criteria snow, or any for that matter, the watches were dropped. I just don't understand the argument there and to be frank, it annoys me. 

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Looks like CWG thinks the NWS issuing the WSW was "one of its worst winter weather forecasts in recent memory".

Do they not know what a watch means? Am I out of line here or is that statement outlandish?

When it was clear DC wasn't getting warning criteria snow, or any for that matter, the watches were dropped. I just don't understand the argument there and to be frank, it annoys me.

I was upset to see that. Whether we agreed with it or not, I subscribe to the philosophy that professional meteorologists do not throw colleagues under the bus, at least not in a public forum like that. It's highly unprofessional. But I suppose when you're a private entity, when your bread and butter are through ratings, the gloves can come off. It must be nice to not have the accountability for watches/warnings/advisories. Not that I condone some of the 'hasty' headlines that occasionally come out, or when I see an office seemingly give into the urge to be "the first with the worst". It's one thing to badmouth a forecast near the water cooler, or on FB, or even on a forum such as this. But to go through the press, ugh, that's just wrong.
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