Bob Chill Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 the 6z GFS is a definite improvement.....I imagine this storm will be like the others...people who live in places I have never heard of with one traffic light will post pics of their +SN and 4" and I will be oscillating between precip types and taking pics of cartops LOL- funny post. But I know exactly what you're saying. Not this time though. We are going to witness the tried and true euro unwrapping and gfs amping. I love being a weenie. Busting had no consequences. Haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 I'll be in williamsburg this weekend. Ian rule in effect. It will be the best snow yet and I won't see it. It's gonna snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 This thread got funny...I can't blame Matt...I would be doing the same thing. I hope he gets some good accumulating snow this weekend and his favorite team wins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 This has a progressive look to it and I don't expect it to wrap up too much. I see a light overrunning event with 1-3 inches over a wide area. I just don't see a strong enough system to do much more than that. The one big question I have is if the light precip will be enough to overcome a questionable boundary layer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Hi Wes... I like you...hope you had a wonderful Christmas... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 i'm going to look at the NAM now since I am desperate and hope it gives me snow...if it doesn't no big deal...We can dismiss it like we usually do I looked the the euro on wunderground since you can get 3 hourly maps and it has a wind stream line map that shows dc with easterly winds even with the low developing to the south as it implies a weak low to the northwest. That's still the crux of the issue for you and me. My boundary layer is above freezing on the Euro. I think the GFS, even the 06Z would be mostly rain for the city and points southeast or really sloppy snow. The ncep precip algorithm has us as rain. We need the Euro to hang tough. The Ji's of the owrld probably do well with either model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Matt is like a guy that hasn't gotten laid in a while Everyone is IMBY when it comes to snow unless they are lying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 I live in the highest hill in Arlington County hopefully I'll be okay #standardimbypost Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 having the ncep site down really, really sux Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 nam looking decent, but Allan's 36 hr map has no precip qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Mike Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Everyone is IMBY when it comes to snow unless they are lying. Added to my sig. Thx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TL97 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 NAM is farther north through 42. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 I actually haven't looked at any models but if the Euro is good that's all I need. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TL97 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 48- 0 850 line at VA-NC border, slug of precip is moving in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 having the ncep site down really, really sux we can still get bad model pbp from other sites Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 NAM looks wetter and farther north with the precip but it is still a strung out mess with the low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Everyone is IMBY when it comes to snow unless they are lying. yesterday while Leesburg was getting winter weather, my temp rose to 48 degrees. Left me semi bitter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TL97 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 .3-.4 of precipitation on the nam, iffy surface temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 NAM is hot here...bl mid to upper 30's....yuck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 NAM is hot here...bl mid to upper 30's....yuck yep, where have I seen this snowfall map before? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 12Z NAM is a 2-3" snowfall for here. Temps stay in the low 30's. We don't even have a traffic light. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Would it be that much to ask to get a good 1-3/2-4 incher? I'm not being greedy this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 I'm gonna go ahead and say the NAM bl temps are too warm and call for a nice 3-4" snowfall in Leesburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 NAM is hot here...bl mid to upper 30's....yuck I like these soundings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 NAM is like 33-34 at Baltimore, DC 35-36, and I think the BL temps are a bit warm, they've been running warm recently and I'm not quite sure why. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Great soundings, MN. That's for DCA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Great soundings, MN. That's for DCA? I'm not MN, yes that is DCA. Rare we see that nice a sounding, especially in what we see as a borderline event. And that's on the NAM, good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Wundermap question. On the 2m agl map below what does the red line stand for? the color coding fo the 3m temp zero line is much different than the red line. I find having both there confusing. Thanks to anyone who can answer the question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 GFS still playing catchup in terms of organization, this run was definitely another step towards the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNO Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 First and Final call on this event: DCA 1-2 inches BWI 3-4 inches IAD 3-4 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.