Scraff Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Back to mod snow, medium flakes, 31 degrees. 2 miles west of 95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Because you didn't get 2-4" you thought you were getting despite the forecast for a half inch? Sure Do yourself the favor and use ignore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I was very afraid of the column...probably more than I should have been, but surface temps were perfectly fine last night when everyone was concerned...even without a high pressure...since when did 36/27 become a bad early evening temp reading the night before a storm? I was less "concerned" about them than wanting them to max their bottoming potential which they really didn't. But, they still fell quite nicely once the precip fell. An extra degree or two can make a big difference though of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Another green slug headed this way. Already 1.5 easily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Or because they are afraid of snow and sound like pansies. ok you get a trip out of here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 All you wortied about the changeover, be worried. Changed over from snow to heavy snow and changing again to even heavier snow. 30.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Started changing to snow about 45 minutes ago, almost all snow now, coating in shady areas, 34.5* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 right over HAT http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sfc_con.php?image=pr&inv=0&t=cur couldn't have asked for a better spot I guess we should feel lucky we're even getting what we are getting with that Low in OH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Almost an inch in Germantown as the edge nears. I am pretty happy with it as I expected nothing the way things looked at 6 am. I wasn't looking for any snow at all on the 24th and 26th -- both one inchers -- so I am satisfied with this week. Looks like cold and dry for a while but you never know what can pop up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowpocalypse Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Update...coming down pretty good now in Elkton Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hank Scorpio Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Down to flurries. Measured .75 inch on the high end and .5 inch on the low end. Fun to see accumulating snow three times in a six day span Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I was very afraid of the column...probably more than I should have been, but surface temps were perfectly fine last night when everyone was concerned...even without a high pressure...since when did 36/27 become a bad early evening temp reading the night before a storm? Precip type is fine, but surface temps are killing us. It is nice to see big fat flakes in the air, but they are melting as fast as they are accumulating. I won't be able to go above 0.2" with a straight face despite a couple of hours of decent rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 snow's just not staying consistent enough here to do it.. keeps weakening a bit on approach Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutMD Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I keep saying PIVOT in my head Pivot don't go away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 As a kid you didn't know the potential for any storm based on a model..you couldn't usually say what could have been..you wake up its snowing you're happy you go play....ahhhh so much better than moaning about what it was supposed to be or is somewhere else... I woke up it snowed and accumulated for the third time this week and it was Christmas to boot! Yay snow!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I was very afraid of the column...probably more than I should have been, but surface temps were perfectly fine last night when everyone was concerned...even without a high pressure...since when did 36/27 become a bad early evening temp reading the night before a storm? Yeah, we spent a long time talking about temps but they have been mostly a non-issue. It wasn't like we were 60 before the storm like sometimes happens. It has been cold enough for the past week with a good sun angle situation. We probably should have been paying more attention to the dual-low structure sapping our precip. Some were talking about that, certainly (Bob Chill for one). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Precip type is fine, but surface temps are killing us. It is nice to see big fat flakes in the air, but they are melting as fast as they are accumulating. I won't be able to go above 0.2" with a straight face despite a couple of hours of decent rates. i cant go above T with a straight face. too wet.. 2 degrees lower on starting point could have been huge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Moderate snow here. 43 pages of posts and counting for this "storm". Imagine the number of posts a real storm could bring. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Yeah, we spent a long time talking about temps but they have been mostly a non-issue. It wasn't like we were 60 before the storm like sometimes happens. It has been cold enough for the past week with a good sun angle situation. We probably should have been paying more attention to the dual-low structure sapping our precip. Some were talking about that, certainly (Bob Chill for one). you guys north and west were never a big concern--i told winterwxluvr to go to bed.. it was really just the 'transition zone'. it's nice to see snow but the sfc temps still suck considering the outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Nothing but some minor flakes left IMBY, looks like .4" on the grass and cars Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 These snow events of the past week remind me of the old days (60's;70,s). Back then, you could count on the gradual progression of winter storms making their way west to east and finally reaching the mid atlantic and further north in the first week of January. I suspect that we will have our legitimate shots of a few winter storms in January; especially past mid-month, after a slight warmup in the second week of January. I also don't believe the modeled strength of next week's high pressure. I wouldn't be suprised if we get lucky next week (obviously I have nothing to back up that feeling). I think Mr. Chill is right when he said that there haven't been many high pressure systems that have been as strong as modeled. They seemed to vacate the northern tier of states pretty quickly in December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 temps were never going to be an issue...if we had started at 5am with 0.25" precip we would have done ok Yep. I posted earlier in thread that we needed 1/2-1" before 9am, trying to accumulate after rain with snow not getting going until 10am is very tough circumstances to overcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 i cant go above T with a straight face. too wet.. 2 degrees lower on starting point could have been huge That was the reason we were optimistic for a 4 or 5 AM start. This stuff now would have been snow on snow. Once we got the snow hole the scenario was totally different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 That was the reason we were optimistic for a 4 or 5 AM start. This stuff now would have been snow on snow. Once we got the snow hole the scenario was totally different. Just a good reminder that complicated setups are complicated. When you can fail in 10 ways there's a good shot one will happen. However, the idea that it would be changing to rain around here seems to have been wrong. It's rate dependent of course but looks like most of the transition zone will stay snow till it winds down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Time to move onto the next non-event for DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 These snow events of the past week remind me of the old days (60's;70,s). Back then, you could count on the gradual progression of winter storms making their way west to east and finally reaching the mid atlantic and further north in the first week of January. I suspect that we will have our legitimate shots of a few winter storms in January; especially past mid-month, after a slight warmup in the second week of January. I also don't believe the modeled strength of next week's high pressure. I wouldn't be suprised if we get lucky next week (obviously I have nothing to back up that feeling). I think Mr. Chill is right when he said that there haven't been many high pressure systems that have been as strong as modeled. They seemed to vacate the northern tier of states pretty quickly in December. This week gives me some hope for winter. These were all marginal situations that managed to over-perform in many spots (or in the case of this latest one come back from certain disaster) in a month that has been a blowtorch and mostly written-off. Last winter these would have all been drizzle or nothing but cloudy skies. Still 2.5 months left to get something substantial in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Time to move onto the next non-event for DC And you'll be right here lurking in the threads tracking it and hoping for a dusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Yeah, the delayed start time changed the whole dynamic for those living on the edge of the mixing zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 And you'll be right here lurking in the threads tracking it and hoping for a dusting. Who said I wasn't? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Yeah, the delayed start time changed the whole dynamic for those living on the edge of the mixing zone. There wasn't enough moisture available that it would have made much, if any, difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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